bettingAlcoholic Posted November 23, 2008 Author Share Posted November 23, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports GMT +2 i applied more filters. today picks in time order: 16:00 Lecce - AS Roma, 1 @4.20 :( 16:00 Chievo - Siena, X2 @1.62 :D 16:30 Sturm - Rapid Wien, O3.5 @2.40 :D 17:00 Ml. Boleslav - Bohemians Prague, X2 @2.67 :( 18:00 Gijon - Betis, O2.5 @1.87 :D 18:00 Mallorca - Malaga, O2.5 @1.90 :D 18:00 Numancia - Atl. Madrid, O2.5 @1.87 :( RESULTS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 23, 2008 Author Share Posted November 23, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports With kelly stake today... 89.2$ Lecce @4.20 L 67.1$ Siena X2 @1.62 W 57.1$ Sturm - Rapid Wien O3.5 @2.40 W 58.1$ Bohemians Prague X2 @2.67 L 99.5$ Gijon - Betis O2.5 @1.87 W 91.7$ Mallorca - Malaga O2.5 @1.90 W 92.5$ Numancia - Atl. Madrid - O3.5 @3.00 L -89.2 +41.6 +79.9 -58.1 +86.5 +82.5 -92.5 = +50.7$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 23, 2008 Author Share Posted November 23, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports i think i will only bet kelly stake from now on..on my filtred picks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 23, 2008 Author Share Posted November 23, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports LA vs SAC = SAC +17.5 @1.83 Following Kelly Criteria, will be 68.1$ on @1.83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports LA vs SAC = SAC +17.5 @1.83 :D [118-108] Cover by 7.5 Following Kelly Criteria, will be 68.1$ on @1.83 => +56.5$ results Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports well with more filtred picks, the value seems to come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Today picks: [GMT+2] 19:00 Randers - Midtjylland, [email protected] -> [0.57-0.25-0.19]% 21:00 Wigan - Everton, [email protected] -> [0.22-0.30-0.48]% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Kelly Stake: 79.3$ on 19:00 Randers - Midtjylland, [email protected] 43.5$ on 21:00 Wigan - Everton, [email protected] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Kelly Stake: 49.8$ on Lulea HF - HV 71, [email protected] -> [0.54-0.21-0.25] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Kelly Stake: 79.3$ on 19:00 Randers - Midtjylland, [email protected] :( -79.3$ [1-2FT] Kelly Stake: 49.8$ on Lulea HF - HV 71' date=' [email protected] :( -49.8$ [1-1 Game is in OT'] 2/3 results Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports 178.3$ on Team Totals (MIL Bucks) OVER 90.5 @1.83 [87%] 139.8$ on Team Totals (MEM Grizzlies) OVER 87.5 @1.83 [80%] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 24, 2008 Author Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Today picks: [GMT+2] 21:00 Wigan - Everton, [email protected] -> [0.22-0.30-0.48]% :( [1-0] 0W - 3L Today..wtf:wall:wall:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andre44 Posted November 24, 2008 Share Posted November 24, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports keep try brother.... im wait your next tips for champion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 25, 2008 Author Share Posted November 25, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports 178.3$ on Team Totals (MIL Bucks) OVER 90.5 @1.83 [87%] [101P] :D 139.8$ on Team Totals (MEM Grizzlies) OVER 87.5 @1.83 [80%] [81P] :( +8$ :unsure NBA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 25, 2008 Author Share Posted November 25, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports no picks a while, because the only direction i am going is ... F A I L Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 28, 2008 Author Share Posted November 28, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports i did a new formula, complet different from previous one, that showed some profit when i backtracked few days... last try this weekend, if sunday night i won't have profit, i will give up: so STARTING BANK = 100$ Friday picks: 7.4$ (+0.5)Lok. Mezdra - CSKA Sofia @1.95 8.5$ Koblenz - Ahlen(+0.25) @2.02 6.0$ Innsbruck - Gratkorn(+0.75) @2.00 7.1$ Salzburg (Am) - FC Lustenau(+0.50) @1.86 6.6$ Kayserispor - Trabzonspor(0) @1.94 5.2$ Haarlem - Veendam(+0.50) @1.91 5.1$ TOP Oss - Den Bosch(-0.25) @1.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 28, 2008 Author Share Posted November 28, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports i did a new formula, complet different from previous one, that showed some profit when i backtracked few days... last try this weekend, if sunday night i won't have profit, i will give up: so STARTING BANK = 100$ Friday picks: 7.4$ (+0.5)Lok. Mezdra - CSKA Sofia @1.95 w :ok 8.5$ Koblenz - Ahlen(+0.25) @2.02 l :wall 6.0$ Innsbruck - Gratkorn(+0.75) @2.00 l :wall 7.1$ Salzburg (Am) - FC Lustenau(+0.50) @1.86 w :ok 6.6$ Kayserispor - Trabzonspor(0) @1.94 VOID :moon 5.2$ Haarlem - Veendam(+0.50) @1.91 l :wall 5.1$ TOP Oss - Den Bosch(-0.25) @1.95 l :wall with this results, i don't know if tomorrow i will spend 2 hours to do calculus for the saturday games... :spank RESULTS today = -11.7$ :\ new bank = 88.3$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 29, 2008 Author Share Posted November 29, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports A part of today picks: Sunderland - Bolton(+0.25) @1.99 8.0$ Aston Villa - Fulham(+0.75) @2.12 7.5$ Le Mans - Caen(+0.50) @1.78 8.5$ Auxerre - Monaco(+0.25) @2.01 5.5$ Heracles - Willem II(+0.25) @1.91 9.1$ Otelul - Pandurii(+0.50) @2.08 5.3$ FC Timisoara - FC Brasov(+0.50) @2.00 5.0$ Dinamo Buc - Arges Pitesti(+1.00) @1.85 7.1$ St Mirren - Dundee Utd(0:0) @1.75 7.5$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 29, 2008 Author Share Posted November 29, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Zarya - Vorskla(0:0) @2.01 6.3$ Lvov - Illychivets(+0.25) @2.02 5.8$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 29, 2008 Author Share Posted November 29, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Saturday (ALL PICKS): 8.5$ Le Mans v Caen, Caen +0.5 @1.78 9.1$ Heracles v Willem, Willem +0.25 @1.91 6.5$ Levski v Bladgovgrad, Bladgovgrad +1.75 @1.99 4.6$ Sparta Prague - Kladno, Kladno +1.5 @1.84 6.4$ Panathinaikos v Asteras, Asteras +1.5 @1.81 5.9$ Rapid Wien v Altach Altach, Altach +2.0 @2.06 5.9$ Gent v Roselare, Roselare +1.5 @1.97 8.0$ Sunderland v Bolton, Bolton +0.25 @1.99 7.5$ Aston Villa v Fulham, Fulham +0.75 @2.12 6.5$ Lyon v Valencinnes, Valencinnes +1.50 @2.00 5.5$ Auxere v Monaco, Monaco +0.25 @2.01 5.3$ Otelul v Pandurii, Pandurii +0.50 @2.08 5.8$ Timisoara v Brasov, Brasov +0.50 @2.00 7.1$ Dinamo Buc v Arges, Arges +1.00 @1.85 7.5$ St Mirren v Dundee Utd, Dundee Utd +0 @1.75 6.3$ Zarya v Vorskla, Vorskla +0 @2.01 5.8$ Lvov v Illychievts, Illychievts +0.25 @2.02 5.0$ Chermonrets v Vihren, Vihren +0.75 @1.99 4.8$ Liberec v Brno, Brno +0.75 @1.96 7.2$ Larissa v Iraklis, Iraklis +0.50 @2.07 7.9$ Beleneses v Maritimo, Maritimi +0 @2.17 6.7$ Mouscronj v Lokeren, Lokeren +0.25 @1.89 5.1$ Waregem v Charleroi, Charleroi +0.25 @1.89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 29, 2008 Author Share Posted November 29, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bettingAlcoholic Posted November 29, 2008 Author Share Posted November 29, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports playing vs big favs did me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hacmuli Posted December 18, 2008 Share Posted December 18, 2008 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Could you pls send me your system.. I really like that sys, but don't understand nothing from it. Could you share me? please send me via [email protected] or [email protected]. thank you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
humblecooper Posted February 24, 2009 Share Posted February 24, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports You should use maximum likelihood estimation for your parameters, and exponentially downweight older results Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soeyaza Posted March 1, 2009 Share Posted March 1, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports hi all I've read some of your posts on poisson. But I don't still understand how to calculate it and how to apply it on soccer prediction. can anyone explain to me or guide some posts/sites? thanks all! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daniel_5231314 Posted August 2, 2009 Share Posted August 2, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports well i had some good results last days so i will post all my predictions again... i still don't know what staking plan to play... a good systems i found in here: "How to Make ££££££’s Using my Football" I found it on internet, so i can share it with all FREE, if you guys want it pm your e-mail adress and i will send it. in the end i think i will play the 10%+ values. i will paste now todays predictions. Hello: have u still using the systems that u found it on internet? can u share with me,thanks very much....this is my e-mail address : [email protected] i will wait for u Dan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soeyaza Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports hi Could you please send me your system? I want to try it. Could you share me? thanks a lot....this is my e-mail address : [email protected] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brecki Posted August 27, 2009 Share Posted August 27, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Hi, please share it with me too. My email-adress [email protected] Thanks a lot !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doublecee Posted August 29, 2009 Share Posted August 29, 2009 Re: Poisson Goals - Forecast All Sports Hi, I was under the impression that the idea of the forum is to share all knowledge with all users. Not just with those who post their addies. Cheers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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