Guest MattyNeth Posted December 28, 2002 Share Posted December 28, 2002 Over the last few years I've noticed that teams near the bottom of the Football League tend to win their fair share of home games. This tends to happen in the second half of the season, when teams really have to start pulling out results to avoid the drop to the conference. My system involves backing any team that is in the bottom 4 of Division Three (two are relegated to the conference now) when they play a home game with a fixed stake of 2 units per game: This weekend: Exeter (3rd from bottom) to beat Macclesfield (11/10) - 2 unit win Bristol Rovers (4th from bottom) to beat Boston (11/8) - 2 unit win Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 50 units Profit/Loss: +0.00 units Total staked: 0 units Yield: 0.0% Carlisle (2nd bottom) are at Leyton Orient, and Swansea (bottom) are at Lincoln Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Dave Mardell Posted December 28, 2002 Share Posted December 28, 2002 Re: The Avoid The Drop To The Conference System different.....good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted December 29, 2002 Share Posted December 29, 2002 Avoiding the Drop Exeter (3rd from bottom) to beat Macclesfield (11/10) - 2 unit win: 1-1 :( Bristol Rovers (4th from bottom) to beat Boston (11/ - 2 unit win: 1-1 :( Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 46 units Profit/Loss: -4.00 units Total staked: 4 units Yield: 0.0% (can you have a minus yield?) Carlisle (2nd bottom) lost 2-1 at Leyton Orient, and Swansea (bottom) lost 1-0 at Lincoln Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 1, 2003 Share Posted January 1, 2003 1/1/03 Exeter to beat Kidderminster (9/5) - 2 pt win Bristol Rovers to beat Torquay (13/8) - 2 pt win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 2, 2003 Share Posted January 2, 2003 games off both games called off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 3, 2003 Share Posted January 3, 2003 Re: The Avoid The Drop To The Conference System one bet on Saturday Carlisle to beat Southend - 2 units (7/5 best price) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 5, 2003 Share Posted January 5, 2003 Re: The Avoid The Drop To The Conference System Carisle to beat Southend - 2 unit win (7/5) : :D Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 48.8 units Profit/Loss: -1.20 units Total staked: 6 units Yield: 0.0% (can you have a minus yield?) Bristol R (4th bottom) lost at Hull Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Darren C Posted January 10, 2003 Share Posted January 10, 2003 ` Being a Brighton fan I would have to agree, this system works ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 16, 2003 Share Posted January 16, 2003 Re: The Avoid The Drop To The Conference System Midweek results Swansea 2-3 Bury :( Bristol R 1-1 Torquay :( Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 44.8 units Profit/Loss: -5.20 units Total staked: 10 units Yield: 0.0% (can you have a minus yield?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Darlo Fan 1 Posted January 16, 2003 Share Posted January 16, 2003 Re: The Avoid The Drop To The Conference System Yes you can have a minus yield, I believe yours would be profit (-5.20) divided by stake (10 units) multiplied by 100 = - 52.00% yield? Or have I lost the plot? ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Darlo Fan 1 Posted January 16, 2003 Share Posted January 16, 2003 Re: The Avoid The Drop To The Conference System PS. Good Luck with your system, being a Darlington fan I see a lot of division 3 games, and its hard to see your system working at this earlier stage. I agree they do start to pick up when they realize there going out of the football league but its hard to see many of these teams winning at the moment... some of them are really bad ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 20, 2003 Share Posted January 20, 2003 Saturday Darlo - I'm sure I have started it too early, I'll run a separate test within the same thread as of March 1st. Anyway, both winners on Saturday:D Exeter 1-0 Carlisle EVENS Bristol.R 2-1 Scunthorpe 5/4 Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 49.1 units Profit/Loss: -0.9 units Total staked: 14 units Yield: -0.06% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted January 27, 2003 Share Posted January 27, 2003 Saturdays scores Swansea 2-0 Lincoln 7/5 :D Boston 0-0 Bristol R 1/1 :( Carlisle 3-0 Orient 6/4 :D Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 52.9 units Profit/Loss: +2.9 units Total staked: 20 units Yield: +14.5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted February 3, 2003 Share Posted February 3, 2003 Re: Saturdays scores Just the one game this weekend: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Carlisle :( Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 50.9 units Profit/Loss: +0.9 units Total staked: 22 units Yield: +4.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted February 5, 2003 Share Posted February 5, 2003 last night Just the one game last night Swansea 1-0 Darlington :D at 13/8 Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 54.2 units Profit/Loss: +4.2 units Total staked: 24 units Yield: +17.5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted February 14, 2003 Share Posted February 14, 2003 from last Saturday On a bit of a roll now. Just one team in the bottom four played at home last Saturday (Carlisle were 5th from bottom and Macclesfield 6th from bottom) Boston 1-0 Scunthorpe at 6/4 Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 57.2 units Profit/Loss: +7.2 units Total staked: 26 units Yield: +27.7% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted February 18, 2003 Share Posted February 18, 2003 This week Two matches this week Exeter 0-2 Boston :( Swansea 2-0 Cambridge at 6/4 :D Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 56.2 units Profit/Loss: +6.2 units Total staked: 30 units Yield: +20.7% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norfolk Enchance Posted February 18, 2003 Share Posted February 18, 2003 Re: This week Looking good Matty I think their is a lot to be said for seasonal systems in football and am watching with interest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted February 24, 2003 Share Posted February 24, 2003 Re: This week Thansk Norfolk. I've always been fascinated by this part of the FL and have seen time and time again teams down there fight their way out of trouble. Well not this weeken >D Forgot to update midweek Exeter 2-5 Kidderminster shocker :( Bristol R 1-1 Macclesfield :( Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 52.2 units Profit/Loss: +2.2 units Total staked: 34 units Yield: +6.5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest MattyNeth Posted March 5, 2003 Share Posted March 5, 2003 Upto date results From the weekend and last night Saturday: Macclesfield 2-1 Southend :D 6/4 Exeter 0-0 Bristol R :( Swansea 0-0 Wrexham :( Tuesday Exeter 1-0 Wrexham :D 2/1 Macclesfield 0-1 Hull :( Starting bank: 50 units Current bank: 50.6 units Profit/Loss: +0.6 units Total staked: 22 units (rebased) Yield: +2.7% rebased all bets from 2 units to 1 unit for the systems challenge posting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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