Guest bcrazy Posted March 9, 2003 Share Posted March 9, 2003 This seems to be a market Paddy Power automatically price up as 5/6 for both sides so with some research I am hoping to make them pay. Selections: 1 units on Southampton @ 5/6 vs Wolves 2 units on Grimsby @ 5/6 vs Notts Forest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 11, 2003 Share Posted March 11, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting 1 out of 1 so far- will update on Thursday. 1 unit on Man Utd @ 5/6 vs Basle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 11, 2003 Share Posted March 11, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Decided I couldnt wait after 2 out of 2 :D Starting bank: 100 units Current bank: 102.49 units Profit/Loss: +2.49% Total staked: 3 units Yield: 83% W/L: 2/0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest redchiz Posted March 11, 2003 Share Posted March 11, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting What a bizarre thing to be betting on! How on earth do you decide who to pick? Still, with your impressive strike rate so far, I think I'll carry on reading.;) Keep up the good work! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest smudge Posted March 11, 2003 Share Posted March 11, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting hiya bcrazy, why 2 units on the grimsby match? just curious! keep up the good work! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Lardonio Posted March 11, 2003 Share Posted March 11, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Interesting! But I don't understand your strategy even though you have done good so far. I would have thought the logical pick would be the favourite, as they would be likely to lead the match and therefore make tactical substitutions towards the end to stall time. But Grimsby was nowhere near a favourite. How do you decide your picks? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Method deleted on advice of Odds which I agree with. More units on Grimsby simply because I was more confident about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest OddsAgainst Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Bcrazy, if they read this they may start to do a bit of work and adjust the odds against you. Personally, I would not give too much away. Bookmakers read the Punter's Lounge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Was thinking about leaving this as I was afraid this might happen. I am very optimistic about this and would be pissed off if the bookies changed the odds or got rid of the market (dont think I have that big an influence but you never know...cant see they will make to much money from it). I think I might be better stopping this thread and if anybody is very interested then I will be happy to email them with the tips. Aaaagggh, Im turning into a subsciption tipster :p Sorry if this is an over reaction but wanted to at least make people aware of a chance to make a profit- that chance will go if Paddy Power remove the market :rolleyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Irish TW Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 max bet What is PPs max stake on this bet? Im sure its quite low so I dont thinkthey'll stop the whole thing cos of you (no offence! :) On the other hand if say, a tipster on teletext such as on ITV page 544 was successfully tipping in this market I'd say it would disappear very quick!! btw Are you (bcrazy) really only 17 as your profile says?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Irish TW Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 also do they do this bet on every game or just live games? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 Re: also 1) I know it wont disappear because of my betting but afraid that if it is shown a good profit can be made from this market they will decide it is not worth offering odds on it especially because they must not make much profit from it anyway. 2) I haven't decided for sure yet whether to stop this system, was going to wait and see what other people think- could be being extremely paranoid. 3) Seems to be just live games this market is offered on. 4) I am actually 16, don't know why it says 17 but have made a nice little income from casino offers while doing my GCSE's ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Irish TW Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 16! And how old were you when you started gambling? I'm only a few years older than you and I'm betting since I was 16 also but I've never had a credit card, I only deal in hard cash,there's no interest on hard cash! Therefore, I only bet in the Bookies and on my Ladbrokes deposit a/c. I was wondering how you get to play online casinos when you're hardly old enough to own a credit card! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest OddsAgainst Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 Re: 16! Bcrazy, I was not suggesting you stop posting them, just that you might consider removing any reference to your methods. I will delete any posts for you if you wish. This looks a bit like the shoot-out market which they also price up 5/6 each of two. I believe this is lazyness on their part but there are insufficient opportunities for anyone to take a real advantage. Could be the same here. I don't believe that bookmakers will ignore a quality gambling forum that gets on average over 15,000 hits a day and yesterday reached over 20,000. You never know how many are following your success, especially as this is not your only profitable system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 12, 2003 Share Posted March 12, 2003 Re: 16! Irish, I use my Dad's credit card and started a year ago. Odds, I have now edited the reply detailing the method and will continue posting my picks. Another pick for Wednesday: 3 units on Portsmouth @ 5/6 vs Norwich Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 13, 2003 Share Posted March 13, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Aaagghh! >: I knew this would happen when I put money on it- opened a Paddy power account specially. Starting bank: 100 units Current bank: 98.49 units Profit/Loss: -1.51 units Total staked: 7 units Yield: -21.57% W/L: 2/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 14, 2003 Share Posted March 14, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting 1 units on Aston Villa @ 5/6 vs Man Utd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 15, 2003 Share Posted March 15, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Im hoping that bet loses- by the time I was placing the bet Man Utd were 1-0 up so Ive put it on them instead- will keep the Aston Villa bet for this system though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 16, 2003 Share Posted March 16, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Wish I hadnt made that bet on Man Utd now >: Had to follow the stats though Starting bank: 100 units Current bank: 99.32 units Profit/Loss: -0.68 units Total staked: 8 units Yield: -8.5% W/L: 3/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 16, 2003 Share Posted March 16, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting 1 units on Rangers @ 5/6 vs Celtic On another note, why have Rangers only played Celtic 3 times this season in the Premiership? Surely this is unfair on Rangers because two of these games were at Celtic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest OddsAgainst Posted March 16, 2003 Share Posted March 16, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting They will be playing again but the fixtures cannot be published until it is known who will be in the top six. The league splits in two at that point, hopefully for the last time. Regarding to-day's game, have you taken into account that it is a cup final and extra-time could be played? That would have an influence on how managers plan to use their subs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 16, 2003 Share Posted March 16, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Did take the extra time aspect into account by looking at last year's league cup semi-final. Would have also looked at the the FA cup final but a 90th min goal means the planned injury time subs kept for then didnt take place. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 17, 2003 Share Posted March 17, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Rangers did make a sub in the 86th min but Celtic spoiled it with a sub in the 88th >: Does anybody know if they were still offering 5/6 on Chelsea to make the last sub after WBA had made two after 15 mins- it wouldnt surprise me wityh their attitude towards this even though I haven't managed to make them pay yet. Starting bank: 100 units Current bank: 98.32 units Profit/Loss: -1.68 units Total staked: 9 units Yield: -18.67% W/L: 3/3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest smudge Posted March 17, 2003 Share Posted March 17, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting hey bcrazy, where do you get the match info to see who made the last sub from? especially euro games? cheers mate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 18, 2003 Share Posted March 18, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting www.soccerbase.com/footballlive Doesnt have specific sub stats but click on the club, "Results/Fixtures" and one of the particular games and it shows when all the subs were made. Probably a site with easier stats but it will do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 18, 2003 Share Posted March 18, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting 2 units on Doncaster @ 5/6 vs Chester 0.5 units on No subs @ 25/1 for Doncaster vs Chester Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest smudge Posted March 18, 2003 Share Posted March 18, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting cheers bcrazy. any idea on the euro games? anybody? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 18, 2003 Share Posted March 18, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Just enter the team name into the search part near the bottom left of the soccerbase page. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest smudge Posted March 18, 2003 Share Posted March 18, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting cheers :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bcrazy Posted March 23, 2003 Share Posted March 23, 2003 Re: Last substitution betting Chester made the last sub >: Starting bank: 100 units Current bank: 95.82 units Profit/Loss: -4.18 units Total staked: 11.5 units Yield: -36.35% W/L: 3/5 2 units on Everton @ 5/6 vs Arsenal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.