Whoppers Main System

[Guest Whopper73]

Right, after many weeks of research, tweaking and setting things up I have finally got a system I like. What I intend to do is post some bets each week to prove the system. If anybody wants to use these tips then they are welcome, but I won't guarantee you a thing :p Let me explain a few things. I find it very hard to find value in individual bets as I'm am never too sure on how to calculate it accurately so I have gone for value in a system. This is how it works. The system picks results from 14 European Leagues including the Champions legue. Basically some formulas based on form are calculated. The will return a measly 6 to 9 matches that may be worth betting on. From the 50 games so far the average odds have only been 1.33. The percentage of these that have been correct has been just over 80% though. The ones I have selected to bet from the ones chosen by the system have been 90% accurate. Obviously just because the system picks them doesn't mean I have to, once the system has highlighted them then I do my research/ gut feeling...call it what you will. Anyway, from the games I have picked to bet I have a 90% accuracy so far of getting it right. Now 1.33 isn't great odds to make some money so a double or treble is necessary. I am gong for overall odds of 2.0 (evens) so depending on the individual odds depends if I go for a double or treble. At 90% single accuracy that gives 81% doubles accuracy and 73% trebles accuracy. That is all value when you consider the bet is 2.0 (50%). The reason I am posting this is because I want the brains out there to pick some faults with this before I blow a big stack of cash. There are many of you who have been doing this far longer and who I respect the opinions of, so please post! My staking plan will go along the lines of: Starting bank : 100 units First stake: 5 units After each win then that that becomes the next stake. After 3 wins on the trot I keep half in the bank and use the other half as the stake. I a bet loses then I bet with the last amount i banked. If I end up betting all the money banked then I use a stake of 5 units until I have no bank! Obviously there will be a limit to how high I can bet depengin on each bookies maximum bet. If I reach the max then I will just bet the max until I lose, then keep building back up again. I have run this staking model on my PC and it works well for as low as 60% accuracy on evens betting so it should be ok. But agian, comments please. Full records will be kept of all bets. I realise the system is low on data at the moment, but I will be running this for a long time to get all the data possible. I will also be posting it's accuracy as well as the next bets. Now for the fun part! This weekends (15/02/03) bets are: Motherwell v Celtic @ 1.3 Maritimo v FC Porto @ 1.72 double is 2.236 with gamebookers 5 units will be staked. Cheers, Whopper73

[Guest madmick]

good stuff Whopper This sounds interesting. I will digest what you have posted and reply in detail later. One quick comment though - it might be an idea to put the date of the matches also, just for clarity. M.