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The extremely simple system ( yield 3.76% )


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Re 20th April REAL SOCIADAD 1.40 vs. Rayo Vallecano 7.00 WON DEPORTIVO 1.50 vs. Sevilla 6.00 WON MONACO 1.44 vs. Stasbourgh 7.00 WON Zwolle 5.50 vs. FEYENOORD 1.44 WON BESIKTAS 1.61 vs. Fenerbache 4.50 WON STANDARD LIEGE 1.40 vs. Beveren 6.00 WON

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21st April BENFICA 1.25 BlueSq vs. Varzim 11.54 Oddsshop MAINZ 1.62 Skybet vs. Duisburg 7.00 Centrebet LIVERPOOL 1.41 Bets4all.com vs. Charlton 10.00 Pointbet NEWCASTLE 1.57 Premierbet vs. Villa 8.00 Planet Pinnacle MAN CITY 1.58 Sportfanat vs. Sunderland 7.50 SportsTAB FOREST 1.55 Bet&Win vs. Burnley 7.50 Skybet CHELSEA 1.80 UKBetting vs. Everton 5.50 Premierbet BLACKBURN 1.85 Sportsfanat vs. Bolton 5.25 SportsTAB

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Re 21st April BENFICA 1.25 BlueSq vs. Varzim 11.54 Oddsshop WON MAINZ 1.62 Skybet vs. Duisburg 7.00 Centrebet WON LIVERPOOL 1.41 Bets4all.com vs. Charlton 10.00 Pointbet WON NEWCASTLE 1.57 Premierbet vs. Villa 8.00 Planet Pinnacle LOST MAN CITY 1.58 Sportfanat vs. Sunderland 7.50 SportsTAB WON FOREST 1.55 Bet&Win vs. Burnley 7.50 Skybet WON

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22nd April LEEDS 1.80 Bets4all.com vs. Fulham 5.50 Premierbet BARCELONA 2.20 Bet365 vs. Juventus 3.90 SportsTAB VALENCIA 2.11MaximSpbet vs. Inter Milan 4.00 BetDirect SK Brann 5.00 Pacific Vegas vs. ROSENBORG 1.80 Scandic

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Re 22nd April LEEDS 1.80 Bets4all.com vs. Fulham 5.50 Premierbet WON BARCELONA 2.20 Bet365 vs. Juventus 3.90 SportsTAB LOST VALENCIA 2.11MaximSpbet vs. Inter Milan 4.00 BetDirect WON SK Brann 5.00 Pacific Vegas vs. ROSENBORG 1.80 Scandic WON

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23rd April AC MILAN 1.71 MaximSpbet vs. Ajax 6.30 Centrebet MAN UTD 2.15 Aabet vs. Real Madrid 3.60 Centrebet AEK ATHEN 1.60 Cashpoint vs. PAOK Saloni 5.80 Goldbet

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Re 23rd April AC MILAN 1.71 MaximSpbet vs. Ajax 6.30 Centrebet WON MAN UTD 2.15 Aabet vs. Real Madrid 3.60 Centrebet WON AEK ATHEN 1.60 Cashpoint vs. PAOK Saloni 5.80 Goldbet LOST

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24th April LAZIO 1.73 Stanley vs. Porto 5.10 Scandic Boavista 2.65 Planet Pinnacle vs. CELTIC 3.05 CosmoBet BRONDBY 1.75 Olympic vs. AaB 5.00 Ladbrokes BOCA JUNIORS 1.55 Centrebet vs. Paysandu 7.00 Victor Chandler

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Re 24th APRIL LAZIO 1.73 Stanley vs. Porto 5.10 Scandic LOST Boavista 2.65 Planet Pinnacle vs. CELTIC 3.05 CosmoBet WON BRONDBY 1.75 Olympic vs. AaB 5.00 Ladbrokes WON BOCA JUNIORS 1.55 Centrebet vs. Paysandu 7.00 Victor Chandler LOST

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Re 25th and games for 26th April FRANKFURT 1.57 Planet Pinnacle vs. Union Berlin 6.50 Cashpoint LOST SPORTING 1.25 Centrebet vs. Beira Mar 11.00 Bets4all.com LOST CHELSEA 1.42 SportOdds vs. Fulham 9.50 SportsTAB West Brom 8.25 SportsTAB VS LIVERPOOL 1.55 Yabet NEWCASTLE 1.75 Islenskar vs. Sunderland 7.00 Premierbet EVERTON 2.00 SportOdds vs. Villa 4.80 Bets4all.com FOREST 1.60 Bets4all.com vs. Millwall 7.00 Victor Chandler IPSWICH 1.55 Bets4all.com vs. Wimbledon 7.30 Pointbet READING 1.40 BET365 vs. Grimsby 10.00 Ladbrokes TRANMERE 1.40 Centrebet vs. Mansfield 8.00 Cosmobet

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Re 26th and games for 27th April CHELSEA 1.42 SportOdds vs. Fulham 9.50 SportsTAB LOST West Brom 8.25 SportsTAB VS LIVERPOOL 1.55 Yabet WON NEWCASTLE 1.75 Islenskar vs. Sunderland 7.00 Premierbet WON EVERTON 2.00 SportOdds vs. Villa 4.80 Bets4all.com WON FOREST 1.60 Bets4all.com vs. Millwall 7.00 Victor Chandler LOST IPSWICH 1.55 Bets4all.com vs. Wimbledon 7.30 Pointbet LOST READING 1.40 BET365 vs. Grimsby 10.00 Ladbrokes WON TRANMERE 1.40 Centrebet vs. Mansfield 8.00 Cosmobet Abandoned Tottenham 6.75 Planet Pinnacle vs. MAN UTD 1.70 Cashpoint GALATASARY 1.20 Skybet vs. Adanaspor 15.60 OddsShop FEYENOORD 1.15 vs. Roosendaal 12.30 average odds JUVENTUS 1.36 Skybet vs. Brescia 10.74 OddsShop PORTSMOUTH 1.45 WorldBet vs. Rotherham 9.00 BetInternet VALENCIA 1.45 JokerBets vs. Aleves 10.50 Planet Pinnacle Sevilla 4.50 Premierbet vs. REAL MADRID 1.95 Bets4all.com CELTA VIGO 1.62 Aebet vs. Valladolid 7.00 BetDirect MAN CITY 2.40 Centrebet vs. West Ham 3.15 MrBookmaker GRASSHOPPER 1.40 Bets4all.com vs. Xamax 9.00 Betclass Will try to put the tables up tonight.

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Re 27th April Tottenham 6.75 Planet Pinnacle vs. MAN UTD 1.70 Cashpoint WON GALATASARY 1.20 Skybet vs. Adanaspor 15.60 OddsShop LOST FEYENOORD 1.15 vs. Roosendaal 12.30 average odds WON JUVENTUS 1.36 Skybet vs. Brescia 10.74 OddsShop WON PORTSMOUTH 1.45 WorldBet vs. Rotherham 9.00 BetInternet WON VALENCIA 1.45 JokerBets vs. Aleves 10.50 Planet Pinnacle WON Sevilla 4.50 Premierbet vs. REAL MADRID 1.95 Bets4all.com WON CELTA VIGO 1.62 Aebet vs. Valladolid 7.00 BetDirect LOST MAN CITY 2.40 Centrebet vs. West Ham 3.15 MrBookmaker LOST GRASSHOPPER 1.40 Bets4all.com vs. Xamax 9.00 Betclass LOST Hills list 1.20 and under Bets placed 14 Units staked 14.00 Units returned 12.64 Profit -1.36 Yield -9.71% Strike rate 78.57% Hills list over 1.20 Bets placed 155 Units staked 155.00 Units returned 158.27 Profit 3.27 Yield 2.11% Strike rate 62.18% Bets placed 169 Units staked 408.78 Units returned 395.53 Profit -13.25 Yield -3.24% Strike rate 63.91% Betting against the list Bets placed 152 Units staked 152.00 Units returned 142.74 Profit -9.26 Yield -6.09% Strike rate 15.13% Betting 1 unit on the list for odds over 1.20 is slowly pulling itself into profit. The list that has really surprised me so far, is the “Betting against the list†This list has been about blindly backing massive outsiders, and is only 9.26 units down after 152 bets.

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30th April ESTONIA 1.45 Interwetten vs. Andorra 9.50 Victor Chandler ISRAEL 1.70 JokerBets vs. Cyprus 7.00 Set2Go LATVIA 1.10 Globet vs. San Marino 34.00 BetShop SLOVENIA 1.26 MaxiSportsBook vs. Malta 15.00 Ladbrokes BULGARIA 1.40 BetClass vs. Albania 10.00 Ladbrokes GERMANY 1.70 Interwetten vs. Yugoslavia 6,50 BetClass SPAIN 1.35 Interwetten vs. Ecuador 12.00 Ladbrokes FRANCE 1.25 Set2Go vs. Egypt 17.00 Ladbrokes HUNGRY 1.10 Bers4all.com vs. Luxembourg 34.00 Betinternet

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Re 30th April ESTONIA 1.45 Interwetten vs. Andorra 9.50 Victor Chandler WON ISRAEL 1.70 JokerBets vs. Cyprus 7.00 Set2Go WON LATVIA 1.10 Globet vs. San Marino 34.00 BetShop WON SLOVENIA 1.26 MaxiSportsBook vs. Malta 15.00 Ladbrokes LOST BULGARIA 1.40 BetClass vs. Albania 10.00 Ladbrokes WON GERMANY 1.70 Interwetten vs. Yugoslavia 6,50 BetClass WON SPAIN 1.35 Interwetten vs. Ecuador 12.00 Ladbrokes WON FRANCE 1.25 Set2Go vs. Egypt 17.00 Ladbrokes WON HUNGRY 1.10 Bers4all.com vs. Luxembourg 34.00 Betinternet WON

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3rd May MAN UTD 1.20 Skybet vs. Charlton 17.40 Scandic LIVERPOOL 1.36 Bets4all.com vs. Manchester City 12.00 PointBet BLACKBURN 1.35 Cosmobet vs. West Brom 10.00 BetDirect NEWCASTLE 1.44 TotalBet vs. Birmingham 8.50 PremierBet A VILLA 1.40 Bet365 vs. Sunderland 9.00 Premierbet Dunfermline 12.00 BetShop vs. CELTIC 1.30 Skybet AJAX 1.29 Bet365 vs. Waalwijk 10.00 Eurobet PSV 1.20 BetClass vs. Alkmaar 14.83 Oddsshop REAL MADRID 1.40 Interwetten vs. Mallorca 11.00 Dansk Tips

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Re 3rd May MAN UTD 1.20 Skybet vs. Charlton 17.40 Scandic WON LIVERPOOL 1.36 Bets4all.com vs. Manchester City 12.00 PointBet LOST BLACKBURN 1.35 Cosmobet vs. West Brom 10.00 BetDirect LOST NEWCASTLE 1.44 TotalBet vs. Birmingham 8.50 PremierBet WON A VILLA 1.40 Bet365 vs. Sunderland 9.00 Premierbet WON Dunfermline 12.00 BetShop vs. CELTIC 1.30 Skybet WON AJAX 1.29 Bet365 vs. Waalwijk 10.00 Eurobet WON PSV 1.20 BetClass vs. Alkmaar 14.83 Oddsshop LOST REAL MADRID 1.40 Interwetten vs. Mallorca 11.00 Dansk Tips LOST

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11 th May BOLTON 1.67 Totalbet - Middlesborough 6.50 Pointbet Everton 3.00 Pointbet - MAN UTD 2.60 Bet&Win LEEDS 1.91 Tote - A Villa 4.60 Bets4all.com MAN CITY 1.75 Betzone - Southampton 6.60 SportsTAB Sunderland 5.50 Pinnacle Sports - ARSENAL 1.70 Jokerbets West Brom 4.40 Bets4all.com - NEWCASTLE Veikkaus 2.30 FEYENOORD 1.30 Bet&Win - Waalwijk 12.00 Fonbet Nijmegen 5.80 Fonbet - AJAX 1.65 Cosmobet RANGERS 1.20 Globet - Kilmarnock 15.00 Centrebet VALENCIA 1.50 Centre bet - Villarreal 8.50 Eurobet

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Re 11th May BOLTON 1.67 Totalbet - Middlesborough 6.50 Pointbet WON Everton 3.00 Pointbet - MAN UTD 2.60 Bet&Win WON LEEDS 1.91 Tote - A Villa 4.60 Bets4all.com WON MAN CITY 1.75 Betzone - Southampton 6.60 SportsTAB LOST Sunderland 5.50 Pinnacle Sports - ARSENAL 1.70 Jokerbets WON West Brom 4.40 Bets4all.com - NEWCASTLE Veikkaus 2.30 LOST FEYENOORD 1.30 Bet&Win - Waalwijk 12.00 Fonbet WON Nijmegen 5.80 Fonbet - AJAX 1.65 Cosmobet WON RANGERS 1.20 Globet - Kilmarnock 15.00 Centrebet WON VALENCIA 1.50 Centre bet - Villarreal 8.50 Eurobet LOST

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End of Season figures. Here are the final tables showing how things have worked out. Hills list 1.20 and under Bets placed 16 Units staked 16.00 Units returned 14.84 Profit -1.16 Yield -7.25% Strike rate 81.25% 16 bets in total of which there were 13 wins and 3 losses. Hills list over 1.20 Bets placed 188 Units staked 188.00 Units returned 195.07 Profit 7.07 Yield 3.76% Strike rate 64.36% 188 bets in total of which there were 121 wins and 67 losses. The complete list ( Target 1 unit return ) Bets placed 202 Units staked 503.09 Units returned 491.22 Profit -11.87 Yield -2.36% Strike rate 65.35% 202 bets in total of which there were 132 wins and 70 losses. Betting against the list Bets placed 185 Units staked 185.00 Units returned 180.84 Profit -4.16 Yield -2.25% Strike rate 14.59% 185 bets in total of which there were 27 wins and 158 losses. This final list has been the one that has really surprised me. It’s all been about blindly betting on the outsider, and to only be, just over 4 units down after 185 bets, I find amazing. I have several ideas I want to look into over the summer, but if people are interested in me carrying on with this when the English season starts, I will carry on with it. Please let me know. Good luck trig

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Re: The extremely simple system ( yield 3.76% ) Trigger - only just read this thread now, strangely enough, and what interesting work you have done. I have a few comments... 1. It seems you have used the highest odds you could find on the net irrespective of how dodgy the bookie might be. Surely, if this was done for real all the way, you would not open accounts with 50 odd bookies. Scanning through the text, some of the odds pairings you have found for the fav/dog have looked very close to sure-bet territory, which means that you - bar the draw - would end up with a good result either way. On a more specific note, I noticed you listed Dansk Tipstjeneste once or twice, and they do not do single bets. Perhaps a more true reflection of this would be if you chose a realistic number of reliable bookies and took the best odds among them. 2. I must admit I lately have been very surprised myself at the amount of top teams not only drawing but losing "easy" games at home (Valencia this weekend for instance, Real last week, Dortmund, Schalke, aso.). It would be very interesting to see whether there is a seasonal change in the charts - ie. if the top teams tend to win their "easy" games more during mid-season but fall more towards the end. 3. If the argument is "do the top teams on Hills list win or not win their games - and is it sensible to back against them", it seems to me that you are leaving the draw out there in a limbo. Wouldn't it make more sense to either include the draw in a table of its own or include it in the dogs table - ie. always play the x2, for instance, when backing against a home fav? Look forward to see how this progresses :)

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