Jump to content

Draw + Away Team Bet Strat.


Recommended Posts

Ok, even though I am still very new to the forum - those that have read some of my posts know I can go on a bit so please bear with another long winded ramble! :) After looking at a particularly interesting game between Troyes and Nice this midweek where the away team is 6/4 and the draw is 11/5 (see Worldwide League thread I started on this if your interested) I paricularly liked the look of an away result here - or at worst a draw. Noticing (as even a novice can do) that to cover both bets would still get me a nice profit I wondered if those experienced among you could give me the following advice / opinions? 1) Has anyone ever tried a 'cover bet' strat like this over a long time? If so what were the results / downfalls? 2) I am thinking of looking for bets like this where the away team is 'no less' than 5/4 and the draw is around the 2/1 mark (or the other way round I suppose) - as long as these odds are what I conclude, are at worst fair odds, even if not value odds. I want to use my knowledge on football to predict (as best as any of us can reasonably expect to) when a home win is unlikely and cover both other bets BUT a. Is it best to cover both bets to win at least something? Obviously this diminishes the return because of a higher stake on the losing of the two bets though. b. Is it best to break even on the lower odds (of the two results - normally the away win I would think?) so that if the 'big bet' comes in (the draw?) it maximises the winnings? c. Or is it best to break even on the higher odds (of the two results - normally the draw I would think?) so that the cover bet doesn't cost so much to place minimising the losses if the home team comes in? d. Is it just a matter of 'risk preference'? e. Does it depend on the respective odds? In conclusion I have looked at wagering reasonable sums on 'value bets' (value as has been explained to me by the more knowledgeable of you) but I want to look at alternative strats as well. So (God I'm boring myself now! :rollin ) What do you think? Oh and please keep it simple as I must admit that talk of 'overounds' and 'yields' is terminology that can confuse me a bit. (Well 'yield' I THINK is easy enough to understand... but 'overound' sounds like my girlfriend...) :lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Draw + Away Team Bet Strat. When I first joined Punters Lounge I did a lot of 2x betting. This started as a result of many of the selections for draws finishing as away wins,but the odds are too tight if the away team is favourite so I looked for leagues that have a high %age of draws and used the highest values for away odds that I could find,this means backing against strong favourites. The Spanish segunda is probably the best, just back 2x at level stakes, excluding the current top three teams,in all matches where the average odds are greater than 2.99.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This thread has more posts. To see them, you'll need to sign up or sign in.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...