Haydock 16/09

[RussP]

4.00 Haydock Class 4 handicap over 6f on heavy ground here, with 13 expected to go to post. A few soft ground specialists here but I believe it is a very open heat and, despite decent credentials, will oppose the front 3 in the market. I think Makshoof is a worthy fav but isn't superbly handicapped. Has failed to win last 3 starts off this mark, whilst the progressive Woodsley House has another penalty and step up in class to overcome, and is opposed at the price. Soft ground specialist Balakiref has solid claims but 65 days off the track is enough to put me off, especially with all the wet weather around for the last 2 months being in its favour. The one I like, provided it handles the ground, is the top one:- Dream Theme (14/1 Paddy Power) - The pick of Dandy's 2 runners here and has a solid chance if the horse handles the ground. Is better than the bare form suggests in recent runs, all 2 classes higher in some good looking Class 2 handicaps. Dropped again in mark to 85 and is surely capable of winning off this mark. Good draw in 12 too so can grab the rail if that proves the place to be. Last run at Chester, ran a big race from the plum draw until badly hampered and then eased 1f out. Possibly found the mile a little too far. Previously to that had some good form at Goodwood and Ascot when running big races from unfavourable draws. Made good headway in both those races and could not be discounted until fading inside the last furlong. Drop in class and mark puts this horse in with a big shout, provided it handles the going. At 14's, I'll take the chance.