Guest davidcampbell Posted May 12, 2003 Share Posted May 12, 2003 Re: aaron's system good stuff mate, very interesting thread (your post count will be sky high if you keep this up :rollin ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest brael Posted May 16, 2003 Share Posted May 16, 2003 aaron's system Just started reading this thread and have found it very interesting. I've tried it on the Juventus-Real Madrid and Sheffield UTD-Notts Forest games and got stuffed on both. I think it was down to inexperience coupled with a lack of discipline that turned things against me. I may have even just chosen the worst games possible!! However, I did have some success on the Inter-AC Milan game but started by BACKING the draw before KO rather than laying it. I laid it off shortly after KO, when the odds had dropped. Is there perhaps some advantage to doing this? Obviously, if the game is heading for 0-0 then you're covered but, being a novice, I can't help feeling that I'm missing something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Irish TW Posted May 16, 2003 Share Posted May 16, 2003 Re: aaron's system This may sound dumb but I've never used betting exchanges so would like to ask what it means if say you lay the draw at £10 at 3.00. Do you lose £30.00 if its a draw and gain 1/3.00 x 10 = £3.33 if its not a draw? Or by laying the draw do you mean to accept bets on it to a maximum of £10? Good luck japlunka, good to see someone sharing a winning system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest OddsAgainst Posted May 16, 2003 Share Posted May 16, 2003 Re: aaron's system If you lay the draw £10 at 3 then if it is a draw you lose £20 to the backer, if not a draw you win the backer's £10. Just think if it as being on the other side of the bookmakers counter. When you back a selection at 1/5, that is a 5/1 bet for the bookmaker. 1/5 Arsenal win, 5/1 they don't win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest raylin47 Posted May 29, 2003 Share Posted May 29, 2003 Re: aaron's system Since this thread started I have been using this system. I have layed down rules which I try to adhere to which hope will be profitable in the coming season. Here was my actual betting plan for Juventos Milan game 1 Checked the Bookmakers actual draw odds 2 days before the game 2 Placed a bet with betfair at 0.2 points above that odds at 50 pounds ie 3.3 3 During the course of the day that bet was taken possible profit 115 pounds 4 Layed the bet at 3.1 65 pounds that was taken just before the game Possible loss on bet 136.5 pounds 5 Possible loss 136.5-115 =21.5 if draw and 15 pounds profit if either team won 6 Bet on the 'No goals scored ' in running at 8.6 3pounds =22.8 7 Sat back and watched a game were at least 3 guys should have been sent off for play acting and 3 for numerous fouls If either team had scored would have used Aaron statagy covering the draw with 4 pounds and 2 pounds on the losing team and trying to make a profit on all outcomes eventual profit 1.3 point- commission = 0.3 The only disadvantage to this system is if the underdog scores first and in this case the odds of the draw only increases slightly , therefore the you need more cash to cover the draw. Since using this system I had 6 bets three which ended in 0-0 and still made a profit of 15 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest eudaemon 1 Posted May 30, 2003 Share Posted May 30, 2003 Re: aaron's system would just like to repeat others in saying that this has been a very interesting thread... cheers jablunka :smokin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeadCert Posted May 30, 2003 Share Posted May 30, 2003 ... Really enjoyed this thread. Will defo try it with no real money at first. It seems like there is a lot of feel involved hence some people got stung when they tried it for the first time. Like all of us the discipline seems to e an issue. Perhaps not watching the games but just having livescore (or someone shouting from the living room for increased speed!) would result in better discipline. Nice one though. :hat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest RamWall Posted September 2, 2003 Share Posted September 2, 2003 aarons system Hi guys Ive probably missed the boat here but ill ask any anyway . Regarding staking ? Lets say I had £100 deposited at Betfair and chose to bet a game on an in running selection i.e. Man city v Arsenal and layed the drawer at £20. Can I then draw upon the remaining £80 on deposit to back & lay either team or the draw or can i only use the profits generated by the initial £20 ??? I think I know wot im saying here.!!! Please redirect me if im in the wrong place to ask this. Cheers Ram Ps Great thread and great site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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