Guest vdroplet Posted April 1, 2004 Share Posted April 1, 2004 Re: 23.03.04 Sunderland v Gillingham Over :) 26.03.04 Burghausen v Cottbus Over :( 27.03.04 Birmingham v Leeds Over :) 27.03.04 Kilmarnock v Aberdeen Over :) 27.03.04 Sochaux v Metz Over :( 28.03.04 Guimaraes v Beira Mar Over :( 28.03.04 Porto v Moreirense Under :) 28.03.04 Groningen v Twente Over :( 28.03.04 Nurnberg v Unterhaching Under :( Starting Bank 100 Current Bank 123.8 Profit 23.8 Units Staked 282.5 Yield 8.43% Number of bets 139 Strike Rate 51.1% Average Odds 2.133 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 3, 2004 Share Posted April 3, 2004 Re: 02/04 Alverca v Guimaraes Over 2.07 @ Pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 3, 2004 Share Posted April 3, 2004 Re: 03/04 Wolves v Southampton Over 2.15 @ Pinnacle 03/04 Reading v West Ham Over 2.1 @ Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 4, 2004 Share Posted April 4, 2004 Re: 04/04 Ancona v Sampdoria Over 2.09 @ Pinnacle 04/04 Motherwell v Rangers Under 2.10 @ Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 5, 2004 Share Posted April 5, 2004 Re: 05/04 Cottbus v Mainz Under 2.05 @ Fonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 6, 2004 Share Posted April 6, 2004 Re: 02.04.04 Alverca v Guimaraes Over :( 03.04.04 Wolves v Southampton Over :) 03.04.04 Reading v West Ham Over :( 04.04.04 Ancona v Sampdoria Over :( 04.04.04 Motherwell v Rangers Under :) 05.04.04 Cottbus v Mainz Under :) Starting Bank 100 Current Bank 124.575 Profit 24.575 Units Staked 297.5 Yield 8.26% Number of bets 145 Strike Rate 51.0% Average Odds 2.132 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 10, 2004 Share Posted April 10, 2004 Re: 10/04 Bradford v Reading Over 2.08 @ Pinnacle 10/04 Bolton v Aston Villa Over 2.1 @ Pinnacle 10/04 Ancona v Bologna Over 2.08 @ Betfair 10/04 Frankfurt v Werder Under 2.11 @ Betdaq 10/04 Ajaccio v Montpellier Over 2.2 @ Marathonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 11, 2004 Share Posted April 11, 2004 Re: 11/04 Sociedad v Murcia Under 2.01 @ Pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 12, 2004 Share Posted April 12, 2004 Re: A good weekend. Would have been even better if I haven't forgot to check Newcastle v Arsenal match on Sunday. 12/04 Aston Villa v Chelsea Over 2.09 @ Pinnacle 12/04 Portsmouth v Birmingham Over 2.1 @ Pinnacle 12/04 Reading v Norwich Over 2.09 @ Betdaq Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 15, 2004 Share Posted April 15, 2004 Re: 10.04.04 Bradford v Reading Over :) 10.04.04 Bolton v Aston Villa Over :) 10.04.04 Ancona v Bologna Over :) 10.04.04 Frankfurt v Werder Under :) 10.04.04 Ajaccio v Montpellier Over :( 11.04.04 Socieda v Murcia Under :) 12.04.04 Aston Villa v Chelsea Over :) 12.04.04 Portsmouth v Birmingham Over :) 12.04.04 Reading v Norwich Under :( Starting Bank 100 Current Bank 138.5 Profit 38.5 Units Staked 320.0 Yield 12.0% Number of bets 154 Strike Rate 52.6% Average Odds 2.129 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 17, 2004 Share Posted April 17, 2004 Re: 16/04 Regensburg v Oberhausen Under 2.08 @ Pinnacle 16/04 Arsenal v Leeds Under 2.37 @ Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 17, 2004 Share Posted April 17, 2004 Re: 17/04 Portsmouth v Manchester Utd Under 2.13 @ Pinnacle 17/04 Nottingham v Millwall Over 2.1 @ Bet365 17/04 Reading v Crewe Over 2.05 @ Bet365 17/04 Kaiserslautern v Hansa Under 2.01 @ Pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 18, 2004 Share Posted April 18, 2004 Re: Very suspicious odds for draw in Chievo v Reggina game, but sometimes similar fixtures end in 2-2 or 3-3. 18/04 Chievo v Reggina Over 2.47 @ Betfair 18/04 Lazio v Ancona Under 2.65 @ Canbet 18/04 Marseille v Lille Over 2.14 @ Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 21, 2004 Share Posted April 21, 2004 Re: Instead of profit italian selections increased average odds :( Regensburg v Oberhausen Under :) Arsenal v Leeds Under :( Porsmouth v Manchester U Under :) Nottingham v Millwall Over :) Reading v Crewe Over :( Kaiserslautern v Hansa Under :( Chievo v Reggina Over :( Lazio v Ancona Under :( Marseille v Lille Over :) Starting Bank 100 Current Bank 137.12 Profit 37.12 Units Staked 342.5 Yield 10.8% Number of bets 163 Strike Rate 52.1% Average Odds 2.135 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 24, 2004 Share Posted April 24, 2004 Re: 24/04 Wigan v Sunderland Over 2.23 @ Betfair 24/04 Lille v Strasbourg Over 2.16 @ Betdaq Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted April 25, 2004 Share Posted April 25, 2004 Re: 25/04 Leeds v Portsmouth Over 2.04 @ Pinnacle 25/04 Tottenham v Arsenal Under 2.05 @ Marathonbet 25/04 Ancona v Chievo Under 2.15 @ Marathonbet 25/04 Bayern v 1860 Munchen Under 2.23 @ Betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 1, 2004 Share Posted May 1, 2004 Re: 01/05 Portsmouth v Fulham Over 2.125 @ Pointbet 01/05 Manchester C v Newcastle Over 2.075 @ Pointbet 01/05 Nantes C v Lille Over 2.25 @ Fonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 2, 2004 Share Posted May 2, 2004 Re: 02/05 Sampdoria v Udinese Over 2.1 @ Pointbet 02/05 Union v Oberhausen Under 2.1 @ Marathonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 5, 2004 Share Posted May 5, 2004 Re: It seems that because of the end of the season the number of bets is going down and over bets are mostly losers. 24.04.04 Wigan v Sunderland Over :( 24.04.04 Lille v Strasbourg Over :( 25.04.04 Leeds v Portsmouth Over :) 25.04.04 Tottenham v Arsenal Under :( 25.04.04 Ancona v Chievo Under :) 25.04.04 Bayern v 1860 Under :) 01.05.04 Portsmouth v Fulham Over :( 01.05.04 Manchester C v Newcastle Over :( 01.05.04 Nantes v Lille Over :( 02.05.04 Sampdoria v Udinese Over :) 02.05.04 Union v Oberhausen Under :( Starting Bank 100 Current Bank 130.92 Profit 30.92 Units Staked 370 Yield 8.3% Number of bets 174 Strike Rate 51.1% Average Odds 2.135 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest AussieVamp2 Posted May 7, 2004 Share Posted May 7, 2004 Re: interesting thread I am not quite clear though, is a selection when one team is about 50% O/U or when both teams are? Presumed you waited a bit into each season to have enough games? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 8, 2004 Share Posted May 8, 2004 Re: Thank you for the interest. One team with 50% is enough to fit the system. Yes, I had to wait for about 5 rounds for the system to produce first selections. 08/05 Middlesbrough v Manchester C Over 2.05 @ Pointbet 08/05 Ipswich v Cardiff Under 2.2 @ Betfair 08/05 Metz v Lyon Over 2.15 @ Fonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 9, 2004 Share Posted May 9, 2004 Re: Ipswich and Cardiff play today and 2.3 is available at Betfair at the moment (lay over at 1.73 less 5%). 09/05 Nijmegen v Volendam Under 2.1 @ Marathonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest AussieVamp2 Posted May 10, 2004 Share Posted May 10, 2004 Re: ok, thanks for the answer, interesting stuff I guess the other question then is, one team is exactly 50% or just close to it like 18 over and 17 under, that sort of thing? thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 13, 2004 Share Posted May 13, 2004 Re: I dont use more than 10 last matches to get the percentage of over/unders. This percentage needs not be exactly equal to 50. I plan to explore some other criteria for picking teams with close probabilities of over or under in their next game. 08.05.04 Middlesbrough v Manchester C Over :) 08.05.04 Metz v Lyon Over :) 09.05.04 Ipswich v Cardiff Under :) 09.05.04 Nijmegen v Vollendam Under :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest AussieVamp2 Posted May 15, 2004 Share Posted May 15, 2004 Re: yeah you have done nicely there :) last 10 matches only? well you only have 2 choices then, really 5-5 or 6-4/4-6? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 15, 2004 Share Posted May 15, 2004 Re: I use not more than 10 last matches, usually between 5 and 8. So the ratio of over/unders can take different values. 15/05 Portsmouth v Middlesbrough Over 2.03 @ Betdaq 15/05 PSG v Lyon Over 2.3 @ Betdaq Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 16, 2004 Share Posted May 16, 2004 Re: 16/05 Sampdoria v Roma Under 2.25 @ Marathonbet 16/05 Parma v Udinese Under 2.22 @ Betdaq 16/05 Breda v Waalwijk Under 2.3 @ Marathonbet 16/05 Volendam v Roosendal Under 2.1 @ Marathonbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest AussieVamp2 Posted May 16, 2004 Share Posted May 16, 2004 ok ok so around 50% in some recent number of games or other? hmm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 18, 2004 Share Posted May 18, 2004 Re: One could win a fortune placing large combos of overs on last matches of the season in Seiria A and Holland. :( I think something similar will happen on Saturday in Germany. 15.05.04 Portsmouth v Middlesbrough Over :) 15.05.04 PSG v Lyon Over :( 16.05.04 Sampdoria v Roma Under :) 16.05.04 Parma v Udinese Under :( 16.05.04 Breda v Waalwijk Under :( 16.05.04 Volendam v Roosendal Under :( Starting Bank 100 Current Bank 138.12 Profit 38.12 Units Staked 395 Yield 9.6% Number of bets 184 Strike Rate 51.6% Average Odds 2.137 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest vdroplet Posted May 23, 2004 Share Posted May 23, 2004 Re: 23/05 Burghausen v Union Under 2.11 @ Pointbet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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