Evenstephen Posted September 5, 2008 Author Share Posted September 5, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Salisbury 1-40 - Effigy (3.8) - 1st 5/2f :$ Redcar 2-00 - River Dee - 5th 7/2f :ok Warwick 2-50 - Rabbit Fighter - 6th 9/2f :ok Salisbury 4-20 - No Bet *Just Like A Woman 1st 7/2jf & Clifton Dancer 8th 7/2jf, it was no bet because Vital Statistics wasn't a joint favourite* Warwick 4-30 - Sphere - 3rd 3/1f :ok Salisbury 4-50 - Drumming Party - Non-Runner (Withdrawn at start) Warwick 5-30 - Bolckow - 5th 5/1f - No Bet as SP was too high Clonmel 6-40 - Conker Nails - 5th 100/30f :ok 5 Selections 4 Correct (80.0%) 0 Points profit Overall: 29 Selections 25 Correct (86.21%) 8.95 Points profit Lay System 2: Warwick 2-20 Golden Destiny 2.94 - 3rd 13/8f :ok Overall: 22 Selections 17 Correct (77.27%) 10.12 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Kempton 8-50 Favourite (Moonshine Beach) No Lay System 2 selections today. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 6, 2008 Author Share Posted September 6, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Kempton 8-50 - Moonshine Beach - 2nd 3/1f :ok Overall: 30 Selections 26 Correct (86.67%) 9.9 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Wolverhampton 7-20 Favourite (Ryedane) Wolverhampton 8-50 Favourite (Old Romney) Wolverhampton 9-20 Favourite (Jonny Lester's Hair) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 7, 2008 Author Share Posted September 7, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Wolverhampton 7-20 - Ryedane - 8th 100/30f :ok Wolverhampton 8-50 - South Wales - 4th 7/2f :ok Wolverhampton 9-20 - Dan Chillingworth - 4th 100/30f :ok 3 out of 3 last night. :nana Overall: 32 Selections 28 Correct (87.5%) 11.8 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Fontwell 4-10 Favourite (Gun Smith or Truly Fruitful) Fontwell 5-10 Favourite (Marigods Way) Lay System 2: Lepardstown 3-50 New Approach 1.68 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 8, 2008 Author Share Posted September 8, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Fontwell 4-10 - Karasakal - 4th 7/2f :ok Fontwell 5-10 - Marigolds Way - 9th 7/2jf :ok 2 out of 2, a great weekend. :nana Overall: 34 Selections 30 Correct (88.23%) 13.7 Points profit Lay System 2: Lepardstown 3-50 New Approach 1.68 - 1st 8/13f :$ Overall: 23 Selections 17 Correct (73.9%) 9.44 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Galway 4-25 Favourite (Hotspur) No Lay System 2 Selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 9, 2008 Author Share Posted September 9, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Galway 4-25 Hotspur - 3rd 7/2f :ok Overall: 35 Selections 31 Correct (88.57%) 14.65 Points profit No selections at all today as Galway was called off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 10, 2008 Author Share Posted September 10, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Winter Star was supposed to be the only selection today in the 4-05 at Uttoxeter but I couldn't get on here in time. :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 11, 2008 Author Share Posted September 11, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Amazingly no selections today either :loon there were two on the shortlist at Sandown but none qualified. Hope to be back to normal tomorrow. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 12, 2008 Author Share Posted September 12, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Typical! You hardly have a selection for 3 days and 9 come along at once. :lol Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Sandown 3-25 Favourite (Admiral Dundas) Bangor 3-40 Favourite (Cebonne) Bangor 4-15 Favourite (Levitski or Sheshali not both) Sandown 5-05 Favourite (Censored) Bangor 5-15 Favourite (Bantry Bere) Wolverhampton 6-50 Favourite (Realt Na Mara) Wolverhampton 7-20 Favourite (Catholic Hill) Wolverhampton 7-50 Favourite (Wulimaster) Wolverhampton 8-50 Favourite (Dancing Duo or Sands Of Barra not both) No Lay System 2 selections. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 13, 2008 Author Share Posted September 13, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Sandown 3-25 - Silver Rime - 3rd 2/1f :ok Bangor 3-40 - Ballinruane - 3rd 4/1f :ok *Cebonne the forecast favourite won at 12/1* Bangor 4-15 - Sheshali - 8th 7/2f :ok Sandown 5-05 - Mr Hichens - 4th 11/4f :ok Bangor 5-15 - John Fenton - 6th 9/4f :ok Wolverhampton 6-50 - Realt Na Mara - 7th 9/4f :ok Wolverhampton 7-20 - Catholic Hill - 5th 2/1f :ok Wolverhampton 7-50 - Artzola - 5th 7/2f :ok Wolverhampton 8-50 - Sands Of Barra - 8th 7/2f :ok What a day! :nana 9 Selections 9 Correct (100.0%) 8.55 Points profit Overall: 44 Selections 40 Correct (90.91%) 23.2 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Curragh 2-35 Favourite (Kingsdale Ocean) Curragh 4-40 Favourite (Labaqa) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
devilonline Posted September 13, 2008 Share Posted September 13, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays hi, great result. why you put cebone with a * . its because he isnt a favorite? whats the minium odds you lay? thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 14, 2008 Author Share Posted September 14, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays hi' date=' great result. why you put cebone with a * . its because he isnt a favorite? whats the minium odds you lay? thanks[/quote'] The rules are as follows: a) I only lay the favourite b) If there are joint favourites then the horse in brackets would be the one I lay but only if it is a joint favourite otherwise no bet. In the case of Cebonne he was the forecast favourite but before the off was too high at 12/1. c) Maximum odds 9/2 or up to 6.4 on Betfair. Hope that explains everything. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 14, 2008 Author Share Posted September 14, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Curragh 2-35 - Six Of Hearts - 2nd 4/1f :ok Curragh 4-40 - Baron De'L (5.3) - 1st 4/1f :$ 2 Selections 1 Correct (50.0%) 3.3 Points loss Overall: 46 Selections 41 Correct (89.13%) 19.9 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Stratford 2-15 Favourite (Le Beau Bai) Curragh 3-10 Favourite (Suailce) Stratford 3-50 Favourite (Waterspray) Goodwood 4-50 Favourite (Estate) Curragh 5-15 Favourite (Luxie) Curragh 5-45 Favourite (Amarama) No Lay System 2 selections: :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
devilonline Posted September 14, 2008 Share Posted September 14, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays so the maxium odds to lay is 4.5 or 6.4? and the bets for yesterday was Curragh 2-35 Favourite (Kingsdale Ocean) Curragh 4-40 Favourite (Labaqa) and today the results for yesterday was: Curragh 2-35 - Six Of Hearts - 2nd 4/1f Curragh 4-40 - Baron De'L (5.3) - 1st 4/1f why diferent horses? thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays so the maxium odds to lay is 4.5 or 6.4? and the bets for yesterday was and today the results for yesterday was: why diferent horses? thanks The idea of my method is to lay the favourite reardless of who it is up to odds of 9/2 maximum. In the 2-35 at the Curragh Kingsdale Ocean was the forecasted favourite but Six of Hearts was the 4/1 favourite. If there had been joint favourites then Kingdale Ocean would have been the selection but because Six Of Hearts was the clear favourite then that becomes the lay. I only lay up to 9/2 because I prefer to keep the liability as low as possible, the odds on Betfair depends on how popular the favourite is at the time. The same applies to all my selections. I hope that explains everything. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 17, 2008 Author Share Posted September 17, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Sorry about the lack of activity the last couple of days but there has been no selections at all. Sunday's Results: Lay System 1: Stratford 2-15 - Wild Tonto - 6th 4/1f :ok Curragh 3-10 - Heavenly Blues - 2nd 9/2f :ok Stratford 3-50 - Triple Bluff - 6th 5/2f :ok Goodwood 4-50 - Go Amwell (4.4) - 1st 3/1f :$ Curragh 5-15 - Snap - 4th 6/1f - No Bet, odds too high Curragh 5-45 - Amarama - 7th 9/4f :ok 5 Seelctions 4 Correct (80.0%) 0.4 Points profit Overall: 51 Selections 45 Correct (88.24%) 20.3 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Listowel 3-05 Favourite (Orange Touch) *If Orange Touch is the favourite or joint-favourite up to 9/2 then that is the selection, if any other horse is the favourite up to 9/2 than that is the lay instead.* Listowel 3-35 Favourite (Novel Investment) Beverly 3-45 Favourite (Fearless Warrior) Sandown 4-40 Favourite (Rhadegunda) Lay System 2: Beverley 4-50 Bandanaman 2.28 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 18, 2008 Author Share Posted September 18, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Listowel 3-05 - Kallelshan - 5th 7/2f :ok Listowel 3-35 - Novel Investment - 5th 2/1f :ok Beverly 3-45 - No Bet *Tomintoul Flyer (2nd) and Rowan Rio (6th) were 3/1 joint favourites so that meant there was no selection because the original favourite Fearless Warrior drifted out before the start to 100/30. Someone must have known something because it finished last.* Sandown 4-40 - Rhadegunda (4.9) - 1st 7/2f :$ 3 Selections 2 Correct (66.7%) 2.0 Point loss Overall: 54 Selections 47 Correct (87.04%) 18.3 Points profit Lay System 2: Beverley 4-50 Bandanaman 2.28 - 5th 8/11f :ok Overall: 24 Selections 18 Correct (75.0%) 10.39 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Listowel 2-55 Favourite (Caltra Princess) Ayr 3-20 Favourite (Lake Chini) Listowel 3-25 Favourite (Havetoavit) Ayr 4-50 Favourite (Devinius) Ayr 5-20 Favourite (Keys Of Cyprus) No Lay System 2 selections today. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 19, 2008 Author Share Posted September 19, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Listowel 2-55 - Clan Music - 2nd 4/1f :ok Ayr 3-20 - Witchry - 4th 4/1f :ok Listowel 3-25 - Havetoavit - 3rd 3/1f :ok Ayr 4-50 - Natural Rhythm - 5th 9/2f :ok Ayr 5-20 - Keys Of Cyprus (4.9) - 1st 7/2f :$ 5 Selections 4 Correct (80.0%) 0.1 points loss Overall: 59 Selections 51 Correct (86.44%) 18.2 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Ayr 2-55 Favourite or Highland Warrior Listowel 3-35 Favourite or Dark Strands Ayr 4-40 Favourite or Mullein Ayr 5-15 Favourite or Blue Spinnaker Wolverhampton 6-20 Favourite or Silent Hero Wolverhampton 6-50 Favourite or Romantic Verse Lay System 2: Newmarket 2-30 Midday 2.12 Newbury 3-20 Palavicini 2.08 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 19, 2008 Author Share Posted September 19, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Due to a late non-runner, Midday's odds in the 2-30 at Newmarket were shortened to 1.88 so less liability for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 20, 2008 Author Share Posted September 20, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Ayr 2-55 - Prince Namid - 12th 9/2f :ok Listowel 3-35 - Burren Bob - 2nd 3/1f :ok Ayr 4-40 - Mullein - 16th 6/1f - No Bet Ayr 5-15 - Ink Spot - 3rd 100/30f :ok Wolverhampton 6-20 - Silent Hero - 2nd 3/1jf :ok Wolverhampton 6-50 No Bet *Plummage & Semah Harold were the 3/1 joint favourites, Romantic Verse did win at 7/1 but wasn't favourite or joint favourite. 4 Selections 4 Correct (100.0%) 3.8 Points profit Overall: 63 Selections 55 Correct (87.3%) 22 Points profit Lay System 2: Newmarket 2-30 Midday 1.88 - 1st 10/11f :$ Newbury 3-20 Palavicini 2.08 - 3rd 10/11f :ok 2 Selections 1 Correct (50.0%) 0.07 Points profit Overall: 26 Selections 19 Correct (73.08%) 10.46 Points pofit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Ayr 2-50 Favourite (Zero Tolerance) Ayr 3-30 Favourite (Advanced or Valery Borzov) Listowel 3-35 Favourite (Dr Willie Martin) Ayr 4-05 Favourite (Amicus Meus) Listowel 4-05 Favourite (Hu Ha Jo) Listowel 5-10 Favourite (Bay Of Bliss) Newbury 5-25 Favourite (Billberry) Wolverhampton 6-20 Favourite (Sendreni) Wolverhampton 7-20 Favourite (Lunar River) Wolverhampton 8-20 Favourite (Zalkani) Wolverhampton 8-50 Favourite (Royal Challenge) No Lay System 2 selections today. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 22, 2008 Author Share Posted September 22, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Sorry there were no seelctions yesterday as I was at Brands Hatch watching the British Touring Cars. What a day on Saturday! :nana Lay System 1: Ayr 2-50 - Zero Tolerance - 5th 15/8f :ok Ayr 3-30 - Advanced - 13th 15/2f - No Bet - Price too high Listowel 3-35 - No Bet *Conen & Red Vinto were both 5/1jf, Dr Willie Martin was too high at 8/1* Ayr 4-05 - Amicus Meus - 7th 7/4f :ok Listowel 4-05 - Fit The Cove - 10th 3/1f :ok Listowel 5-10 - Cove Harbour - 2nd 4/1f :ok *Was leading until headed on the line* Newbury 5-25 - Billberry - 8th 11/4f :ok Wolverhampton 6-20 - Vanadium - 4th 7/2f :ok Wolverhampton 7-20 - No Bet *Wing Play & Fort Amhurst both 7/2jf, Lunar River was 5/1* Wolverhampton 8-20 - Throny Mandate - 2nd 100/30f :ok *Zalkani the forecast favourite won at 9/2* Wolverhampton 8-50 - Royal Challenge - 2nd 100/30f :ok 8 Selections 8 Correct (100.0%) 7.6 Points profit Overall: 71 Selections 63 Correct (88.73%) 29.6 Points profit Today's Selection: Lay System 1: Hamilton 5-10 Favourite (Highland Warrior or The Bear, not both) No Lay System 2 selections. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 23, 2008 Author Share Posted September 23, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Hamilton 5-10 - The Bear - 10th 9/2f :ok Overall: 72 Selections 64 Correct (88.89%) 30.55 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Beverley 4-30 Favourite (Metal Madness) Lay System 2: Sedgefield 2-40 Ellerslie Tom 2.5 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 24, 2008 Author Share Posted September 24, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Beverley 4-30 Shaloo Diamond (3.95) - 1st 11/4f :$ Overall: 73 Selections 64 Correct (87.67%) 27.6 Points profit Lay System 2: Sedgefield 2-40 Ellerslie Tom 2.5 - 5th 11/8f :ok Overall: 27 Selections 20 Correct (74.07%) 11.41 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Downpatrick 2-40 Favourite (Knockgloss) Redcar 2-50 Favourite (Shifting Gold) Perth 3-00 Favourite (Freddie The Third) Perth 4-10 Favourite (Cebonne) Kempton 7-50 Favourite (Mulberry Lad) No Lay System 2 selections today. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 25, 2008 Author Share Posted September 25, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Yesterday another fabulous day. :nana Lay System 1: Downpatrick 2-40 - Knockgloss - 13th 9/2f :ok Redcar 2-50 - Shifting Gold - 16th 13/2f - No Bet - Price too high Perth 3-00 - Freddie The Third - 6th 9/4f :ok Perth 4-10 - Cebonne - 7th 9/4f :ok Kempton 7-50 - Lights Of Vegas - 5th 4/1f :ok *Mulberry Lad the forecasted favourite won at 7/1* 4 Selections 4 Correct (100.0%) 3.8 Points profit Overall: 77 Selections 68 Correct (88.31%) 31.4 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Fontwell 2-40 Favourite (Fair Dual or Floodlight Fantasy not both) Perth 3-50 Favourite (Asudo) Fontwell 4-10 Favourite (Archduke Ferdinand or Strong Coffee not both) No Lay System 2 selections. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 26, 2008 Author Share Posted September 26, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Fontwell 2-40 - Fair Dual (4.9) - 1st 7/2f :$ Perth 3-50 - Top Dressing - 4th 3/1f :ok *Forecast favourite Asudo won at 100/30* Fontwell 4-10 - Archduke Ferdinand - 6th 7/2f :ok 3 Selections 2 Correct (66.7%) 2 Points loss Overall: 80 Selections 70 Correct (87.5%) 29.4 Points profit Today's selections: Lay System 1: Wolverhampton 6-20 Favourite (Elusive Dreams) Wolverhampton 6-50 Favourite (Bundle Up) Wolverhampton 8-50 Favourite (Lady Brora) No Lay System 2 selections. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 27, 2008 Author Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Wolverhampton 6-20 - Elusive Dreams - 2nd 4/1f :ok Wolverhampton 6-50 - River Kent - 2nd 100/30f :ok Wolverhampton 8-50 - Title Role - 5th 3/1f :ok 3 out of 3 last night. Overall: 83 Selections 73 Correct (87.95%) 32.25 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Market Rasen 2-05 Favourite (Leslingtaylor) *Currently Leslingtaylor is the 13/2 favourite which is too high as I have a maximum of 9/2* Navan 4-10 Favourite (Aggie) *Three horses currently head the market at 10/1, looks like another no bet* Market Rasen 4-30 Favourite (Breaking Storm or North Island not both) *Breaking Storm is the current 5/1 favourite, this might become a bet later on* Lay System 2: Market Rasen 2-40 Woolfall Treasure 2.8 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
devilonline Posted September 27, 2008 Share Posted September 27, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays I'm fowling this tips and I think their ansowme but can you put just one favorite per race? thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 28, 2008 Author Share Posted September 28, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays I'm fowling this tips and I think their ansowme but can you put just one favorite per race? thanks Thanks :ok the horse in brackets is just there in case of joint-favourites. I don't have enough data to see if laying both horses is profitable yet. otherwise just lay whoever is favourite and I hope this good run continues. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 28, 2008 Author Share Posted September 28, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Market Rasen 2-05 - No Bet *Sendani & Distiller were both 11/2 joint favourites which was too high anyway* Navan 4-10 - No Bet *Master n Commander was brought down but was too high at 7/1 favourite* Market Rasen 4-30 - Breaking Storm - 4th 9/4f :ok Overall: 84 Selections 74 Correct (88.1%) 33.2 Points profit Lay System 2: Market Rasen 2-40 Woolfall Treasure - 3rd 7/4f :ok Overall: 28 Selections 21 Correct (75.0%) 12.36 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Market Rasen 3-25 Favourite (Russian Flag) Clonmel 3-55 Favourite (Noble Crusader) Market Rasen 4-00 Favourite (Nosferatu) Clonmel 5-05 Favourite (Persian Return) Curragh 5-25 Favourite (William Hogarth) No Lay System 2 selections :hope *The selections in brackets are only to be used if joint favourites* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 29, 2008 Author Share Posted September 29, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Market Rasen 3-25 - No Bet - Russian Flag - Brought Down 5/1jf Clonmel 3-55 - No Bet - Donttellmother - 5th 11/2jf Market Rasen 4-00 - Nosferatu - 10th 11/4f :ok Clonmel 5-05 - No Bet - Persian Return - Fell 13/2f Curragh 5-25 - No Bet - Solwhit - 3rd 5/1f 1 out of 1 after all that. Overall: 85 Selections 75 Correct (88.24%) 34.15 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Brighton 2-50 Favourite (Kyllachy Storm) Brighton 3-50 Favourite (Gulch's Rose) Brighton 4-20 Favourite (Citron Presse) Brighton 4-50 Favourite (Inquisitress or Singleb not both) Brighton 5-20 Favourite (Azygous or Metal Guru not both) No Lay System 2 selections. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evenstephen Posted September 30, 2008 Author Share Posted September 30, 2008 Re: Steve's Lays Lay System 1: Brighton 2-50 - No Bet - La Famiglia - 7th 11/2f - Price too high Brighton 3-50 - Carpe Diem - 5th 7/2f :ok Brighton 4-20 - Citron Presse - 2nd 3/1f :ok Brighton 4-50 - Singleb - 4th 5/2f :ok Brighton 5-20 - No Bet *Pic Up Sticks & Fast Freddie the 11/2 joint-favourites, price too high anyway* A good day with 3 out of 3 successful. :nana Overall: 88 Selections 78 Correct (88.64%) 37 Points profit Today's Selections: Lay System 1: Warwick 1-40 Favourite (Back In The Red) Curragh 2-15 Favourite (Desert Ben) Curragh 2-45 Favourite (Astonish or Teachers Choice not both) Warwick 3-40 Favourite (Swingkeel) Tralee 3-55 Favourite (Absolute Image or Raise Your Heart not both) Warwick 4-40 Favourite (Cool Ebony) Curragh 4-45 Favourite (Rock Exhibition) Tralee 5-55 Favourite (Alkar, Skidroe Joe) Lay System 2: Sedgefield 4-30 Urban Warrior 2.68 Sedgefield 5-00 Golden Feather 1.77 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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