Warwick Tues 15th

[bowles10]

4.00 Interesting conditions event with possibly better horses than you would normally see in a cl 3 race. I like Dabbers Ridge who may just be a bit of value on its favoured ground. On Soft ground, its form reads 5 runs 2 wins 2 places. Over 7f on soft ground it reads 1-2-5 from 3 runs Will no doubt contest some big handicaps this year & is 3lb worse off with Welsh Emperor if this were a handicap. Welsh Emperor took time to get going last year & i am hoping it will be ring rusty again as it will need front running tactics to beat these. Dabbers can certainly be staying on at the end as its a 7f specialist whereas Welsh emperor has a lot of winning form over 6f. Hills has lso trained the last 2 winners of this race so another positive for my selection. Tissue is around 4/1 which will be nice.

[fintron]

Re: Warwick Tues 15th Warwick 3.30 – Digital (9/2) – returned in good heart this season with a 0.75 length second at Kempton and then followed that up with a 2.75 length victory at Bath on good-soft ground LTO. Has been dealt a 6 lb penalty for that win but could still get involved again for jockey O’Brien as it is suited to the trip and ground. The dangers could be Namir, second behind this one at Bath, and Spoof Master, who has been racing off a low mark and could have gone on to score at Kempton LTO had Winston not lost his whip at the end. 4.00 – very competitive race here with all of those having competed at at least listed level (this is only a class 3 race). Caldra is the forecast favourite on Sporting Life and resumes off a 4 lb higher mark than when last seen at Newmarket last season. However, I think Welsh Emperor (2/1) could run a good race. It finished last season strongly, finishing second in a Group 1 race at Longchamp and then followed that effort up with a win at Leicester. It goes on the ground and has won four times previously in its career when returning from breaks of 60+ days.