Fintron's Flat Thread

[fintron]

As a newcomer to PL I may be running before I can walk here but I thought after a good couple of days I'd try my hand with my own thread. I'm going to start with a betting bank of 100 pts and take it from there. My bets will mostly be from the all-weather, but increasingly from the turf too now that the flat season has recently kicked off. Is it acceptable to quote prices I have taken (Bet 365 BOG) or is it commonplace on here to quote SP? I picked these out last night so they can be the starting bets to open the thread, I don't expect to pick so many in future days though. Windsor 3.00 – Home – has done well when upped to 10-11f on last two runs with a 1st and a 1.25 length 2nd in a couple of all-weather claimers. Runs in another claimer here today and runs off a 2lb lower turf mark. Home has run on the turf previously and has placed a couple of times on good-soft ground. Importantly, it gets on well with today’s jockey Cosgrave. 4.00 – After the Show – there are a couple in here that have been given a chance by the handicapper but the one I’m on is bottom weight After the Show who bids for the hat-trick with Chris Catlin. The selection showed it acts on the ground with a comfortable victory at Warwick on good-soft ground and then followed that up with a length victory at Southwell LTO when it defied a 6lb penalty. Although it has been raised 10 lbs in the handicap since its last turf win at was beaten by only a s.h. off 75 at Newmarket earlier in its career to suggest it could still run well off this mark. 5.00 – Proud Killer EW – any further rain would not be a worry for this one, that is a much better turf horse than an AW horse. A recent outing at Folkestone will have blown away the cobwebs and Eddie Ahern looks to make it 2/2 after last partnering him to victory almost two years ago. The trip is no problem and it runs off the same mark as LTO when beaten by 2 lengths but clear of third. Wolverhampton 2.20 – Machinate – has to enter calculations in this type of event after scooping a handicap LTO off 63. Ashley Hamblett takes off 3 lb here and in my opinion is well worth that having ridden me a couple of winners (Dodaa and Straight Face) in the past fortnight. Machinate is a four time CD winner and is fancied to go well again. 3.20 – I may regret this decision but I’m ditching Straight Face, who I have followed on each of his last few runs, in favour of Russel Kennemore’s Cap St Jean. Straight Face has been most effective when he has made all, yet Spencer seems hell bent on holding back and delivering his horses late – often when they have far too much to do. Cap St Jean has solid claims of his own though and was only beaten by 0.5 lengths LTO here when was well backed into 4/1 from 7/1 and when it had Mineral Rights and Cabourg behind. Cap St Jean has only been raised 1 lb in the handicap since that run just over a month ago but seems to go well for Kennemore here. 4.50 – Ermine Grey – goes really well over course and distance with four 2nd placed efforts from its last four attempts. Those defeats have been minimal too – the greatest of which was 0.5 lengths. Those pieces of form have been when running off marks around 50-52 and although rated at 54 today, Luke Morris claims the three to give it a real chance. Summary Selection 1: Machinate (2.20 Wolv) - 2 pts win Selection 2: Home (3.00 Windsor) - 2 pts win Selection 3: Cap St Jean (3.20 Wolv) - 2 pts win Selection 4: After The Show (4.00 Windsor) - 2 pts win Selection 5: Ermine Grey (4.50 Wolv) - 2 pts win Selection 6: Proud Killer (5.00 Windsor) - 1 pt EW TOTAL: 12 PTS STAKED Prices I took this morning: Machinate 11/4, Home 4/1, Cap St Jean 5/1, After The Show 9/4, Ermine Grey 4/1, Proud Killer 12/1.

[billy the punter]

Re: Fintron's Flat Thread Good luck, I'm sure you'll do well! :ok