Folkstone 10/04/08

[billy the punter]

3.15 Golden Desert is the paper jolly here and is deservedly fancied as he is fairly well treated. He won his last start off 84 but runs here off his turf rating which is 4lb lower. He has only managed to find the frame in one of his six turf starts however. Of those five unplaced turf runs, two came at odds of 33/1 or bigger and one was a close up 4th. It may be folly to say he is purely an A/W performer at this stage. Paul Cole is in great form, has had five winners from his last eleven runners and all his last six have won or been in the frame. His Andronikos would pick these up and carry them at his best but is winless in three years (24 starts). 10 of those starts however have come on the A/W (9 on the faster tracks) and that wouldn't have suited him, three of his four turf wins have come on soft or very soft. He has a couple of ok performances under his belt lately but on the whole has been disappointing since his last win. He has worn a tounge-tie most of his career and blinkers once recently, but he had no headgear at all for three of his four wins - he has no headgear today for the first time in a long while. He has been tried with it for a reason though, he is clearly quirky these days, but has dropped to a low mark and he will appreciate the give. Good jockey booking too, only De Souza and Quinny have ridden more winners for the stable in the past five seasons. Don Pele and Mujood have always run shockers on their seasonal debuts. Stamford Blue looks a little out of sorts, Hits Only Jude may find life tough off 80, especially on turf and Bonnie Prince Blue is too inconsistent to carry my money. Dickie Le Davoir is well in on past form and he has been running consistently of late, he's in good heart and could make this lowly mark pay, although it's a worry he hasn't picked up more races off this mark in his past few runs. He will like the going but in my opinion he is a better horse over 7f. Nobilissima ran some great races last season, she has ran above form when fresh and if she has improved over the winter she could easily figure here. All her best form is with give and Liam Jones is 1/1 on her. Stable's runners have been running well without winning. I'll be looking towards Andronikos, Nobilissima, and Golden Desert for my selection(s) in this race. I'm certain Andronikos will be a bet, but during writing I became unsure about the 2nd selection. Will post this as it is anyway and comfirm selection tomorrow. Andronikos Nobilissima Golden Desert

[Carl]

Re: Folkstone 10/04/08 great work again billy:ok Party in the Park 2.40 Folkstone According to the stats runners with a weights of 9-2 or less have a good record in 3yo Handicap's here so it could pay to look at the bottom of the card. Party in the Park was in decent form early last year with his best result being in a class 2 2nd behind Achilles of Troy over 5f at HQ. He was 5length's off the winner that day but stayed on well and maybe this 6f will suit him better. He tailed off at the end of last season but should go well today being fresh if he can over come the poor draw. 4/1 I think Whiteoak Lady (8/1) could sneak a place from stall 3.

Six furlongs: 3-5-11 (14 ran-good to firm—5/1*-8/1-7/1) 5-3-1 (14 ran-good to firm—50/1-4/1**-4/1**) 1-14-11 (13 ran-good—7/2-16/1-11/10*) 6-5-7 (10 ran-good—13/2-12/1-33/1) 3-11-1 (12 ran-good to soft—9/2-14/1-11/1) 1-7-3 (10 ran-good to firm—13/8**-13/8**-7/1) 5-7-1 (10 ran-good to firm—7/1-9/1-5/1) 8-7-1 (13 ran-good to soft—6/1-11/4-7/4*) 1-2-4 (12 ran-good to firm—4/1*-9/1-16/1) 14-13-4 (14 ran-good to firm—20/1-20/1-8/1)