Southwell 07/01/08

[mowgli77]

Daily Selections :ok

[mowgli77]

Re: Southwell 07/01/08 Ultimate Quest 2.20 Southwell Noticed that the trainer only sends the one horse here today and Seb Sanders takes this as his only ride at the meeting. Cost 75,000 guineas at the sales and holds an entry in the Derby 2008. Unraced but has to start somewhere so here is as good as anywhere with no flat racing for a while. Both jockey and trainer at the top of the stats for 2007 for winners and the main danger may be Kool Katie which ran on past beaten horses and will appreciate the extra furlong but trainer has a poor record overall and the selection would not have to be anything special to beat this lot. Currently 3.4 on Betfair with Royal Applord at 3.75 and Kool Katie at 4.5. Royal Applord has had plenty of opportunites and failed to impress and will have support due to the trainers excellent record but is not one for me.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: Southwell 07/01/08 South 2.50 Totally Free RPF 7/1 0.5 pts e.w. To be honest this is not a classic race and the likely fav. Elusive Warrior probably has the most attractive claims and seems the most likely. However at a bigger price e.w, only two places though, Totally Free might not be a totally forlong hope. It is off a break and has no wonderous record of a break in the past but it has dropped to a lower mark, will have a claimer taking pounds off, looks as though 7f possibly is needed now and the key for me is its record round here. 3 starts, 2 wins and a second. In this type of race and on a specialist surface that might be worth taking note of. Elusive Warrior has a similarly good record but this one is a much bigger price and offers e.w hope as well. Forecast might not be the worst bet either.