Morris Posted August 30, 2007 Share Posted August 30, 2007 I will be paper trading a system which I think and have heard has potential to show profits. Not my system :$, but I am going to try and work on one after this expedition is over, hopefully not too soon. :) Main point of the system is backing Tennis favourites, who have a odds 0.50 greater than their opponents. E.g, Federer (1.50) vs Nadal (2.25), in this match we should side with Federer as he is at decent odds and has the 0.50 edge required. Where prices are too short, the system suggests we sould leave them out. Sounds simple enough, but we shall see! I will try and be diciplined here and try and tweak as I go along if I can find any faults, will have a full set of statistics to help show how it turns out: Starting bank Current bank Total staked Number of bets Winning bets Losing bets Strike rate Yield Profit (or Loss) Results are calculated like this : Strike rate = Winning bets / Total bets ( written as a percentage ) Yield = Profit (or Loss) / Total staked ( written as a percentage ) Starting Bank - 100 Stakes - 10.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 30, 2007 Author Share Posted August 30, 2007 Re: Tennis System Paper Trail Will be looking at all bookmakers, taking into account best price for the outsider and worst price for the favourite and seeing if the 0.50 difference is evident. I think a minimum price that I will be taking is 1.40. 1. Llodra (1.57) vs Koubek (2.25) - Price Taken on Llodra - 1.69 (Extrabet) Stake - 10 2. Radwanska (1.50) vs Razzano (2.50) - Price Taken on Radwanska - 1.58 (Extrabet) Stake -10 Only 2 qualifiers for the night. Would not normally have picked these as tennis tips myself, would have been avoided, but, I'll listen to the system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Tennis System Paper Trail 1. Llodra (1.57) vs Koubek (2.25) - Price Taken on Llodra - 1.69 (Extrabet) Stake - 10 :@ 2. Radwanska (1.50) vs Razzano (2.50) - Price Taken on Radwanska - 1.58 (Extrabet) Stake -10 :clap 1 win 1 loss. TBH I didn't see Llodra winning that match he is fairly poor when I follow him. Will post up todays qualifiers soon and I will be making a change to the system. If I think that a match (for example Tsongs vs Henman) could go the other way = Henman beating Tsonga, it will be a DNB instead of me going against the system completly and backing the other player. Starting bank - 100.00 Current bank - 95.80 Total staked - 20.00 Number of bets - 2 Winning bets - 1 Losing bets - 1 Strike rate - 50% Yield - Too early P/L - -4.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Tennis System Paper Trail Qualifiers today - 3. J.M Del Potro (1.44) vs Jurgen Melzer (2.63) - Price taken on Del Potro -1.53 (Stanjames) - Stake 10 4. Marat Safin (1.53) vs Stanislas Warwrinka (2.38) - Price taken on Safin - 1.67 (Skybet) - Stake 10 5. Robby Ginepri (1.29) vs Teimuraz Gabashvili (3.10) - Price taken on Ginepri - 1.40 (Ladbrokes) - Stake 10 6. Elena Dementieva (1.36) vs Sybille Bammer (3.00) - Price taken on Dementieva - 1.44 (Skybet) - Stake 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 31, 2007 Author Share Posted August 31, 2007 Re: Tennis System Paper Trail Qualifiers today - 3. J.M Del Potro (1.44) vs Jurgen Melzer (2.63) - Price taken on Del Potro -1.53 (Stanjames) - Stake 10 :clap 4. Marat Safin (1.53) vs Stanislas Warwrinka (2.38) - Price taken on Safin - 1.67 (Skybet) - Stake 10 :$ 5. Robby Ginepri (1.29) vs Teimuraz Gabashvili (3.10) - Price taken on Ginepri - 1.40 (Ladbrokes) - Stake 10 :clap 6. Elena Dementieva (1.36) vs Sybille Bammer (3.00) - Price taken on Dementieva - 1.44 (Skybet) - Stake 10 :sad Starting bank - 100.00 Current bank - 85.10 Total staked - 60.00 Number of bets - 6 Winning bets - 3 Losing bets - 3 Strike rate - 50% Yield - P/L - -14.90 Will try and post tommorrow seletions up early if I have the time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 1, 2007 Author Share Posted September 1, 2007 Re: Tennis System Paper Trail 7. Augustin Calleri (1.73) to beat Juan Monaco (2.38) - Price Taken - 1.73 (Skybet) - Stake 10 8. Carlos Moya (1.57) to beat Phillip Kohlschreiber (2.63) - Price Taken - 1.57 (Skybet) - Stake 10 To other qualifiers, but I have decided to make them no bets. 9. Ivan Ljubicic () to beat J.I Chela (3) - DNB 10. Venus Williams (1.53) to beat Ana Ivanovic (3) - DNB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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