aliando Posted July 27, 2007 Share Posted July 27, 2007 hope i get this right as i've not been in here for a while... 28/7/07 - Ascot, 4.20 Dylan Thomas - taken odds of 2.98 favourite for the race based upon good racing last year. has won 7/13 turf races. racing post reports goes well on expected soft ground. just reading a little deeper into the stats. murtagh has riden 3 times, without a win. DT has had a ride on G-S and one on heavy, finishing 4/7 and 6/7 respectively. imo, the odds here represent value to lay, and under 2/1 is worth laying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackg99 Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 2.55 nmkt manchurian lay on the place market 3.9 at the moment will have too show improvement carrying top weight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 4.30 York Last Flight Although bottom weight will need to seriously improve as upped in class and the only 3 year old in the race. There are at least 2 better priced and more experienced horses in the race and I could never put money on this horse to win so it has to be a lay for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daftpegasus Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 13:40 York Moonlight Man Hasn't won a race in over 2 years and never run on heavy ground previously. He steps back down in class and this isn't the strongest race around so he stands a chance but at a price of 9/4 or 3.4 on BF I think it's a good value lay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 Yes DP, all wins on GF, and did like it as a lay myself, just worried about what else barr the fav. can beat him, always like to have 2 or 3 on my side... anyway, good luck. edit having said that, i wouldn't be too confident about waterside, so nevada desert may get your selection stuffed mate!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Hedonist Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 Yes DP' date=' all wins on GF, and did like it as a lay myself, just worried about what else barr the fav. can beat him, always like to have 2 or 3 on my side... anyway, good luck.[/quote'] Danny, I reckon Nevada Desert has a good chance of beating Moonlight Man also :hope. Although laying is relatively new territory for I'm very tempted to lay Moonlight Man also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daftpegasus Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 always like to have 2 or 3 on my side... anyway' date=' good luck.[/quote'] Me too. I think Efidium has a good chance as well as the favourite - all it's recent races have been on heavy ground including a good second place finish over C&D 2 races ago (14 days ago) at a grade higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daftpegasus Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 There you go Danny that's 3 on your side Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 :dudeNice dafty:dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daftpegasus Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 :dudeNice dafty:dude Thanks but it was more impressive from Tom, who also picked the winner:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red Dragon Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 13:40 York Moonlight Man Hasn't won a race in over 2 years and never run on heavy ground previously. He steps back down in class and this isn't the strongest race around so he stands a chance but at a price of 9/4 or 3.4 on BF I think it's a good value lay. :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted July 28, 2007 Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 4.30 York Last Flight Although bottom weight will need to seriously improve as upped in class and the only 3 year old in the race. There are at least 2 better priced and more experienced horses in the race and I could never put money on this horse to win so it has to be a lay for me. It ran well but fortunately not well enough!! 2nd 2-1 :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted July 28, 2007 Author Share Posted July 28, 2007 Re: Lay of the Day 28/7/07 hope i get this right as i've not been in here for a while... 28/7/07 - Ascot, 4.20 Dylan Thomas - taken odds of 2.98 favourite for the race based upon good racing last year. has won 7/13 turf races. racing post reports goes well on expected soft ground. just reading a little deeper into the stats. murtagh has riden 3 times, without a win. DT has had a ride on G-S and one on heavy, finishing 4/7 and 6/7 respectively. imo, the odds here represent value to lay, and under 2/1 is worth laying. hope nobody followed. lost a bit myself on this. :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.