Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Vassallo-Arguello M. Lee H.T. betfair 1.79 £20.32 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Kohlschreiber P. Clement A. ladbrokes 1.57 £20.32 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Rochus O. Melzer J. ladbrokes 1.83 £20.32 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Djokovic N. Andreev I. skybet 1.36 £20.32 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Calleri A. Udomchoke D. betfair 1.13 £20.32

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Massu N. Johansson T. betfair 1.76 £20.46 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Nieminen J. Schuettler R. betfair 1.32 £20.46 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Stepanek R. Waske A. betfair 1.33 £20.46 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Haas T. Grosjean S. betfair 1.39 £20.46 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Canas G. Devilder N. stanjames 1.10 £20.46 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Berdych T. Mayer F. betfair 1.31 £20.46 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Gasquet R. Mirnyi M. ladbrokes 1.22 £20.46 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Gonzalez F. Mathieu P.H. betfair 1.74 £20.46 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Robredo T. Montanes A. betfair 1.18 £20.46 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Davydenko N. Patience O. stanjames 1.22 £20.46 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Spadea V. Gabashvili T. betfair 1.63 £20.46

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Vassallo-Arguello M. Lee H.T. betfair 1.79 £20.32 Y £35.58 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Kohlschreiber P. Clement A. ladbrokes 1.57 £20.32 Y £31.93 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Rochus O. Melzer J. ladbrokes 1.83 £20.32 N 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Djokovic N. Andreev I. skybet 1.36 £20.32 Y £27.71 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Calleri A. Udomchoke D. betfair 1.13 £20.32 Y £22.83

...

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 02/05/2007 BMW Open 2nd Nieminen J. Kohlschreiber P. stanjames 1.83 £20.15 02/05/2007 BMW Open 2nd Grosjean S. Vassallo-Arguello M. sportingodds 1.53 £20.15 02/05/2007 BMW Open 2nd Berdych T. Massu N. stanjames 1.40 £20.15

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Massu N. Johansson T. betfair 1.76 £20.46 Y £35.23 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Nieminen J. Schuettler R. betfair 1.32 £20.46 Y £26.68 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Stepanek R. Waske A. betfair 1.33 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Haas T. Grosjean S. betfair 1.39 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Canas G. Devilder N. stanjames 1.10 £20.46 VOID 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Berdych T. Mayer F. betfair 1.31 £20.46 Y £26.48 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Gasquet R. Mirnyi M. ladbrokes 1.22 £20.46 Y £25.01 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Gonzalez F. Mathieu P.H. betfair 1.74 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Robredo T. Montanes A. betfair 1.18 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Davydenko N. Patience O. stanjames 1.22 £20.46 Y £24.96 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Spadea V. Gabashvili T. betfair 1.63 £20.46 Y £32.71

System Stats..........:wall :wall :wall

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£2,015.91
No of Bets:	126
Staked:	£2,559.47
Returned:	£2,475.38
P+L:	-£84.09
Strike Rate:	70.6%
Yield:	-3.3%
Avg Back Odds:	1.41
Avg Win Odds:	1.37

[aldric]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

30/04/2007

Estoril Open

1st

Robredo T.

Montanes A.

betfair

1.18

£20.46

N

Robredo won 2-0.... you've got me confused!

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop I've got davydenko & robredo mixed up - will correct the above post.... Good spot.

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop Quote:

Originally Posted by plopplop Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Massu N. Johansson T. betfair 1.76 £20.46 Y £35.23 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Nieminen J. Schuettler R. betfair 1.32 £20.46 Y £26.68 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Stepanek R. Waske A. betfair 1.33 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Haas T. Grosjean S. betfair 1.39 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Canas G. Devilder N. stanjames 1.10 £20.46 VOID 30/04/2007 BMW Open 1st Berdych T. Mayer F. betfair 1.31 £20.46 Y £26.48 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Gasquet R. Mirnyi M. ladbrokes 1.22 £20.46 Y £25.01 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Gonzalez F. Mathieu P.H. betfair 1.74 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Robredo T. Montanes A. betfair 1.18 £20.46 Y £23.96 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Davydenko N. Patience O. stanjames 1.22 £20.46 N 30/04/2007 Estoril Open 1st Spadea V. Gabashvili T. betfair 1.63 £20.46 Y £32.71

System Stats..........:wall :wall :wall

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£2,014.91
No of Bets:	126
Staked:	£2,559.47
Returned:	£2,474.38
P+L:	-£85.09
Strike Rate:	70.6%
Yield:	-3.3%
Avg Back Odds:	1.41
Avg Win Odds:	1.37

[aldric]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

I've got davydenko & robredo mixed up - will correct the above post.... Good spot.

Ahhhh, glad to be of service :) Good luck with this.

[mcgin]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop plopplop, How do your stats look if you left out round 1 matches? I know that they can be difficult to predict as there are more unknowns, so you might find starting in Round 2 onwards gives you better results.

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

plopplop, How do your stats look if you left out round 1 matches? I know that they can be difficult to predict as there are more unknowns, so you might find starting in Round 2 onwards gives you better results.

Surprisingly I've actually made money on 1st round matches - not a lot - but profit it is and in the current climate of results - this is actually pretty amazing!!!! I've tweaked a few things and will now be only betting on matches with a H2H history. This should increase my strike rate, lower avg odds yet increase yield slightly. Well, thats the plan - lets see how we go!!!!

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 02/05/2007 BMW Open 2nd Nieminen J. Kohlschreiber P. stanjames 1.83 £20.15 N 02/05/2007 BMW Open 2nd Grosjean S. Vassallo-Arguello M. sportingodds 1.53 £20.15 Y £30.90 02/05/2007 BMW Open 2nd Berdych T. Massu N. stanjames 1.40 £20.15 Y £28.21

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£2,013.57
No of Bets:	129
Staked:	£2,619.92
Returned:	£2,533.49
P+L:	-£86.43
Strike Rate:	70.5%
Yield:	-3.3%
Avg Back Odds:	1.41
Avg Win Odds:	1.38

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 03/05/2007 BMW Open Quarter Baghdatis M. Waske A. betdirect 1.44 £20.13 03/05/2007 Estoril Open Quarter Djokovic N. Garcia-Lopez G. bet365 1.16 £20.13

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 03/05/2007 BMW Open Quarter Baghdatis M. Waske A. betdirect 1.44 £20.13 Y £29.08 03/05/2007 Estoril Open Quarter Djokovic N. Garcia-Lopez G. bet365 1.16 £20.13 Y £23.85

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£2,026.24
No of Bets:	131
Staked:	£2,660.18
Returned:	£2,586.42
P+L:	-£73.76
Strike Rate:	71.0%
Yield:	-2.8%
Avg Back Odds:	1.41
Avg Win Odds:	1.37

[Serja85]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop Ploplop my friend in tennis, betting on odds 1,2 on a tennis match is suicidal :loon . Advice : this program of yours is good,probably very good, but you are using it wrong, if you have on a basic day 20 bets, bet only on 50% of the like 10 bets,and bet not on those with bigger proccentaj to win,bet on those win bigger odds, ex 1,30 an up ,i bet only on 1,45 and up. I know i have few posts and you say what whants this romanian clown(i'm not a gipsy :lol ) ...but i bet a lot on tenis, i have some good softwares like you,but i realize that you must bet on hire odds ,minimum 1,45. (i found that out on my expenses :cry ,but now i'm starting to make good profit) please keep this in mind... and as always excuse my poor english :wall

[kerrisonjr]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop I also apply a similar rule, not betting under 1.45, plopplop, are you able to run your stats with this in mind? jr

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 15/05/2007 Hamburg Open 3rd Safin M. Ferrero J.C. ladbrokes 2.10 £20.26 15/05/2007 Hamburg Open 3rd Blake J. Clement A. bluesq 1.53 £20.26 15/05/2007 Hamburg Open 3rd Djokovic N. Benneteau J. stanjames 1.17 £20.26

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Ploplop my friend in tennis, betting on odds 1,2 on a tennis match is suicidal :loon . Advice : this program of yours is good,probably very good, but you are using it wrong, if you have on a basic day 20 bets, bet only on 50% of the like 10 bets,and bet not on those with bigger proccentaj to win,bet on those win bigger odds, ex 1,30 an up ,i bet only on 1,45 and up. I know i have few posts and you say what whants this romanian clown(i'm not a gipsy :lol ) ...but i bet a lot on tenis, i have some good softwares like you,but i realize that you must bet on hire odds ,minimum 1,45. (i found that out on my expenses :cry ,but now i'm starting to make good profit) please keep this in mind... and as always excuse my poor english :wall

Thanks for your interest - I'll look into this betting on matches with higher odds.

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

I also apply a similar rule, not betting under 1.45, plopplop, are you able to run your stats with this in mind? jr

Thanks for the interest....... Betting only on games with odds > 1.45 Staked: £969.20 Returned: £1,044.63 Yield: 7.78% Betting only on games with odds > 1.30 Staked: £1661.61 Returned: £1,544.50 Yield: -7.05% This sends a fairly clear message to me - bar the bet above on Djokovic i'll only be betting above 1.45 in the future. Lets hope this starts sending this system the right way!!!

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 15/05/2007 Hamburg Open 3rd Safin M. Ferrero J.C. ladbrokes 2.10 £20.26 N 15/05/2007 Hamburg Open 3rd Blake J. Clement A. bluesq 1.53 £20.26 Y £31.07 15/05/2007 Hamburg Open 3rd Djokovic N. Benneteau J. stanjames 1.17 £20.26 Y £23.70

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£2,020.30
No of Bets:	134
Staked:	£2,720.96
Returned:	£2,641.26
P+L:	-£79.70
Strike Rate:	70.9%
Yield:	-2.9%
Avg Back Odds:	1.41
Avg Win Odds:	1.37

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 21/05/2007 Hypo Group Int 2nd Ljubicic I. Horna L. stanjames 1.53 £20.20

[oooonions]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop Hi.plopplop nice work don't if you've noticed but it seems that you have about the same strike rate with all odds variations I just looked through your bets and picked out the longest odds from each day and you had 11 winners from 14 bets resulting a £50.40 profit to £10 level stakes hope you don't mind me doing that....

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

somebody called "Paul" may disturb you as hi did me asking 197 pounds to sell you his "betting revolution" i tell him and everybody that this is rubbish, there isnt any revolution or system, to guarantee you profits by betting, i tried his method in tennis market a year ago, and the result ( back and lay same event in different times at different odds to secure profit or just not to loose) proved to be catastrophic method, i lost my full account in a month, hehehe, how can choose whom to back guys???? it is matter of luck as everything in betting, battle against probabilities, the winner is ALWAYS the bookie, or the runners of a betting exchange on long term basis, i stopped do this now, i am just betting for my pleasure, and i live from my work, and my business, its really funny some people are convinced they can win the war against probabilities, simply they CAN NOT, you should ask the view of mathematicians specialists in probabilities about this, it is labyrinth from where nobody should escape bye bye boys and good luck! that is the only system to win in betting!

maybe you should log off and join a gardening forum then?

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Hi.plopplop nice work don't if you've noticed but it seems that you have about the same strike rate with all odds variations I just looked through your bets and picked out the longest odds from each day and you had 11 winners from 14 bets resulting a £50.40 profit to £10 level stakes hope you don't mind me doing that....

Hi oooonions, I've no problem with what you have done - after all that is why my system is on here - to get assistance from people like you about things I don't have enough time or the imagination to investigate. Its well worth considering your finding. It may however, at this point, just be a fluke - i'll be very interested if this trends continues for 100 (500?) bets. Cheers Matt

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 21/05/2007 Hypo Group Int 2nd Ljubicic I. Horna L. stanjames 1.53 £20.20 N £0.00

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£2,000.10
No of Bets:	135
Staked:	£2,741.16
Returned:	£2,641.26
P+L:	-£99.90
Strike Rate:	70.4%
Yield:	-3.6%
Avg Back Odds:	1.42
Avg Win Odds:	1.37

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 28/05/2007 French Open 1st Monfils G. Rochus O. ladbrokes 1.44 £20.00 :hope 28/05/2007 French Open 1st Ramirez-Hidalgo R. Wawrinka S. ladbrokes 1.72 £20.00 :hope

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 28/05/2007 French Open 1st Monfils G. Rochus O. ladbrokes 1.44 £20.00 Y £28.89 28/05/2007 French Open 1st Ramirez-Hidalgo R. Wawrinka S. ladbrokes 1.72 £20.00 N £0.00

Hidalgo choked - fact!!! 2 sets up and 3-1 up in the third!!!!

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£1,988.99
No of Bets:	137
Staked:	£2,781.16
Returned:	£2,670.15
P+L:	-£111.01
Strike Rate:	70.1%
Yield:	-4.0%
Avg Back Odds:	1.42
Avg Win Odds:	1.37

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 29/05/2007 French Open 2nd Chela J. Monfils G. bet365 1.57 £19.89 :hope :hope 29/05/2007 French Open 2nd Monaco J. Melzer J. bet365 1.44 £19.89 :hope :hope

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 29/05/2007 French Open 2nd Chela J. Monfils G. bet365 1.57 £19.89 N 29/05/2007 French Open 2nd Monaco J. Melzer J. bet365 1.44 £19.89 Y £28.73

Starting Bank:	£2,100.00
Current Bank:	£1,977.94
No of Bets:	139
Staked:	£2,820.94
Returned:	£2,698.88
P+L:	-£122.06
Strike Rate:	69.8%
Yield:	-4.3%
Avg Back Odds:	1.42
Avg Win Odds:	1.38

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/05/2007 French Open 2nd Kohlschreiber P. Hernandez O. bluesq 1.73 £19.78

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 30/05/2007 French Open 2nd Kohlschreiber P. Hernandez O. bluesq 1.73 £19.78 N

Ugh!!!

[Matthew]

Re: Tennis Betting from PlopPlop

Date Bet Placed Tournament Round Player1 Player2 Bookies Odds Stake Correct Return 03/06/2007 French Open 4th Davydenko N. Nalbandian D. vcbet 1.65 £19.58 03/06/2007 French Open 4th Canas G. Monaco J. bet365 1.44 £19.58