Matthew Posted March 30, 2007 Author Share Posted March 30, 2007 Re: A Spanish Tragedy DateMatchPredictionBookieOddsBet Type31/03/2007Sociedad v LevanteAWBet3653.4SYSTEM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted April 6, 2007 Author Share Posted April 6, 2007 Re: A Spanish Tragedy DateMatchPredictionBookieOddsBet Type31/03/2007Sociedad v LevanteAW:wall Bet3653.4SYSTEM Staked:£220.00Returned:£85.00P+L:-£135.00Strike Rate:13.6%Yield:-61.4%Avg HW Odds:#DIV/0!Avg D Odds:#DIV/0!Avg AW Odds:4.38DateMatchPredictionBookieOddsBet Type07/04/2007Ath Bilbao v ValenciaAWPremierBet3.2SYSTEM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted April 7, 2007 Author Share Posted April 7, 2007 Re: A Spanish Tragedy DateMatchPredictionBookieOddsBet Type07/04/2007Ath Bilbao v ValenciaAW:wall PremierBet3.2SYSTEM Garbage.....I'm wrapping this thread up - the spanish football just isnt predictable like the EPL. I may be back next season, we'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted April 17, 2007 Author Share Posted April 17, 2007 Re: A Spanish Tragedy Well, I've been playing around with my la liga stuff and noticed this........ Had you blindly backed the HW all season - taking the best odds from Gamebookers, Interwetten, Ladbrokes, SportingBet, William Hill Then your season stats would look like this: Stake£300.00Returm£357.53Profit£57.53SR50.0%Yield (%)19.2%HW Odds:2.42 Which is absolutely crazy for something so simple..............Is 50% of games ending as a HW way above expectation as per previous years? Using the best odds available in the data at football-data.co.uk ups the yield to 21%!!!!!! thoughts.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pondicherry Posted April 18, 2007 Share Posted April 18, 2007 Re: A Spanish Tragedy IMHO this is likely to be a short term trend (although have no facts to back this up). As you suggest, would need to check several (5??) years worth of prevoius results to see if this was significant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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