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Contrary System (US Sports based)


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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

Valiant, Have you any stats for teams that are 3 ATS, 4 ATS etc? Presumably if your theory is correct, the strike rate for these would be even higher then those with only 2 ATS?
I was googling earlier trying to find some info on similar things re handicapping in the NBA, but alas didn't have much luck. :( Nice one again last night Mr V. The results keep on coming, and at better odds too. :clap
LA Lakers have won 4 and Memphis have lost 2 ATS LA Lakers @ Memphis Grizzlies(+3) @ 1.95 Bet365
Should this have been a double stake?! ;)
Also have you back tested this, or if you know where I could get the historical data for the spreads I can test it out for you/
This page at http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/teams/teams.html should provide the data. From there you click on a team link and then click "Past Results" at the top of the page beneath the team's name. Might take some work to get it into the correct format though. :unsure
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

New York have won 2 ATS Philadelphia 76ers(+4) @ New York Nicks @ 1.92 Expekt :( Charlotte have lost 2 ATS Charlotte Bobcats(+9) @ Detroit Pistons @ 1.92 @ Expekt :D Milwaukee have lost 2 ATS Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks(+2.5) @ 1.9 @ Stan James :( Portland have lost 2 ATS Portland Trailblazers(+13.5) @ Dallas Mavericks @ 1.9 BetDirect :( San Antonio have won 2 ATS San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets(+4.5) @ 1.95 Bet365 :( Seattle have won 2 ATS Miami Heat(+1.5) @ Seattle Supersonics @ 1.95 Betfair :D Orlando have won 5 and Golden State have lost 3 ATS Orlando Magic @ Golden State Warriors (-3) @ 2.03 Coral :( 7 x 10pt bets :hope
5 losers 2 winners 70pts staked 38.7pts returned Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1181.90 Total staked:1980 Number of bets:198 Winning bets:112 Losing bets:86 Strike rate:56.57% Yield:9.19% Profit (or Loss):181.90
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

New Jersey have won 5 ATS and Chicago have lost 2. New Jersey Nets @ Chicago Bulls(-6.5) @ 1.97 Mansion :( 10pts staked :hope
1 loser ----------------------------------------------------------- Atlanta have lost 2 ATS Detroit Pistons @ Atlanta Hawks(+8) @ 1.9 Paddy Power Boston have lost 2 ATS Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics(+6) @ 2.02 Mansion New York have won 3 ATS Charlotte Bobcats(+6) @ New York Nicks @ 1.95 Bet 365 Houston have won 2 ATS Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets(+2.5) @ 2.00 Mansion Orlando have won 6 and Lakers have lost 2 Orlando Magic @ LA Lakers(-4.5) @ 2/00 Betfair Miami have won 2 Golden State have lost 4 Miami Heat @ Golden State(-5) @ 1.96 Mansion 6 x 10pt bets :hope
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

1 loser ----------------------------------------------------------- Atlanta have lost 2 ATS Detroit Pistons @ Atlanta Hawks(+8) @ 1.9 Paddy Power :D Boston have lost 2 ATS Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics(+6) @ 2.02 Mansion :( New York have won 3 ATS Charlotte Bobcats(+6) @ New York Nicks @ 1.95 Bet 365 :D Houston have won 2 ATS Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets(+2.5) @ 2.00 Mansion :( Orlando have won 6 and Lakers have lost 2 Orlando Magic @ LA Lakers(-4.5) @ 2/00 Betfair :D Miami have won 2 Golden State have lost 4 Miami Heat @ Golden State(-5) @ 1.96 Mansion :( 6 x 10pt bets :hope
3 losers 3 winners 60pts staked 58.50 returned I was just cobbling some stats together and it appears that I've cocked up my figures (I think I've missed out a winning NFL bet, but not sure). :$
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

Sorry to bring bad news, but Lakers only won by 3 points, so that was a loser.. I had them -4 myself, so I remember that pretty well :@ Good luck tonight!
:$ Cheers, could have sworn I had 3 winners.... ah well. 4 losers 2 winners 60pts staked 38.50 returned ----------------------------------------------------------------- NFL Baltimore have won 2 ATS Indianapolis Colts(+4) @ Baltimore Ravens @ 1.98 Betdaq NBA Charlotte have won 2 ATS Philadelphia 76ers(+3.5) @ Charlotte Bobcats @ 1.9 Bet365 San Antonio have won 3 ATS Washington Wizards(+9) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 1.92 Expekt New Jersey have won 6 ATS New Jersey Nets @ Minnesota Timberwolves(-4) @ 2.00 Mansion New Orleans have won 2 and Milwaukee have lost 4 ATS New Orleans Nets @ milwaukee Bucks(-4.5) @ 1.93 Betfair Chicago have lost 3 ATS Memphis Grizzlies @ Chicago Bulls(-10) @ 1.92 Expekt Orlando have won 7 ATS Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns(-10) @ 1.9 Betdirect Miami have won 3 and Utah lost 2 ATS Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz(-7.5) @ 1.96 Betfair Houston have won 3 and Sacramento have lost 4 ATS Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings(-2.5) @ 2.02 Betfair LA Clippers have won 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(+3) @ LA Clippers @ 1.9 BetDirect 10 x 10pt bets=100 :hope
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) First things first. NO @ Milwaukee was postponed. :unsure

NFL Baltimore have won 2 ATS Indianapolis Colts(+4) @ Baltimore Ravens @ 1.98 Betdaq :D NBA Charlotte have won 2 ATS Philadelphia 76ers(+3.5) @ Charlotte Bobcats @ 1.9 Bet365 :( San Antonio have won 3 ATS Washington Wizards(+9) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 1.92 Expekt :( New Jersey have won 6 ATS New Jersey Nets @ Minnesota Timberwolves(-4) @ 2.00 Mansion :D New Orleans have won 2 and Milwaukee have lost 4 ATS New Orleans Nets @ milwaukee Bucks(-4.5) @ 1.93 Betfair P'poned NO BET Chicago have lost 3 ATS Memphis Grizzlies @ Chicago Bulls(-10) @ 1.92 Expekt :D Orlando have won 7 ATS Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns(-10) @ 1.9 Betdirect :( Miami have won 3 and Utah lost 2 ATS Miami Heat @ Utah Jazz(-7.5) @ 1.96 Betfair :( Houston have won 3 and Sacramento have lost 4 ATS Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings(-2.5) @ 2.02 Betfair :( LA Clippers have won 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(+3) @ LA Clippers @ 1.9 BetDirect :D 10 x 10pt bets=100 :hope
1 postponed 5 losers 4 winners 90 pts staked 78 pts returned
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) NFL Chicago have lost 3 ATS Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears(-9) @ 1.9 BetDirect New England have won 4 and San Diego have lost 2 ATS New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers(-4.5) @ 2.00 Sporting odds NBA Toronto have won 2 ATS Dallas Mavericks(-5.5) @ Toronto Raptors @ 2.00 BetDirect Denver have lost 2 ATS Denver Nuggets(-1.5) @ Portland Trailblazers @ 1.98 Mansion 4x10pt bets :hope

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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) Just doing the early ones 'cus I'm short on time: NBA Sacramento have lost 5 ATS Sacramento Kings (+2) @ New York Knicks @ 1.92 Expekt Milwaukee have lost 4 and Charlotte have won 3 ATS Milwaukee Bucks (+5.5) @ Charlotte Bobcats @ 1.93 Mansion Toronto have won 3 ATS Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers (-1) @ 1.90 Bet365 San Antonio have won 4 ATS San Antonio spurs @ chicago Bulls (+3) @ 1.92 Expekt 4 x 10pt bets :hope

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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) NBA Minnesota have won 2 and Detroit have lost 3 ATS. Minnesota Timberwolves @ Detroit Pistons (-3) @ 2.09 Mansion Indiana have won 3 ATS. Indiana Pacers @ New Jersey Nets (-2.5) @ 1.94 Coral Golden state have lost 5 ATS. LA Clippers @ Golden State Warriors (-2.5) @ 1.93 Coral 3 x 10pt bets :hope

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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

NFL Chicago have lost 3 ATS Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears(-9) @ 1.9 BetDirect :( New England have won 4 and San Diego have lost 2 ATS New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers(-4.5) @ 2.00 Sporting odds :( NBA Toronto have won 2 ATS Dallas Mavericks(-5.5) @ Toronto Raptors @ 2.00 BetDirect :( Denver have lost 2 ATS Denver Nuggets(-1.5) @ Portland Trailblazers @ 1.98 Mansion :D 4x10pt bets :hope
3 losers 1 winner
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

Just doing the early ones 'cus I'm short on time: NBA Sacramento have lost 5 ATS Sacramento Kings (+2) @ New York Knicks @ 1.92 Expekt :( Milwaukee have lost 4 and Charlotte have won 3 ATS Milwaukee Bucks (+5.5) @ Charlotte Bobcats @ 1.93 Mansion :D Toronto have won 3 ATS Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers (-1) @ 1.90 Bet365 :( San Antonio have won 4 ATS San Antonio spurs @ chicago Bulls (+3) @ 1.92 Expekt :D 4 x 10pt bets :hope
NBA Minnesota have won 2 and Detroit have lost 3 ATS. Minnesota Timberwolves @ Detroit Pistons (-3) @ 2.09 Mansion :( Indiana have won 3 ATS. Indiana Pacers @ New Jersey Nets (-2.5) @ 1.94 Coral :D Golden state have lost 5 ATS. LA Clippers @ Golden State Warriors (-2.5) @ 1.93 Coral :D 3 x 10pt bets :hope
NBA Memphis have lost 2 ATS. Pheonix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies (+9) @ 1.90 Betfred :( Miami have won 4 and LA Lakers have lost 3 ATS. Miami Heat @ LA Lakers (-5.5) @ 1.96 Betfair :D 2 x 10pts bets :hope
4 losers 5 winner 90pts staked 96.80pts returned
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

Houston have won 4 and Dallas have lost 2 ATS Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks(-7.5) @ 1.91 Betway :D 10pts staked :hope
19.10 pts returned. Tonights picks; Sacramento have lost 6 and Toronto have won 4 ATS Sacramento Kings(+4.5) @ Toronto Raptors @ 1.98 Betfair Chicago have won 2 ATS Chicago Bulls @ milwaukee Bucks(+5) @ 1.92 Expekt Minnesota have won 3 ATS Atlanta Hawks @ Minnesota Timberwolves(-9) @ 1.9 Bet365 LA Lakers have lost 4 ATS LA Lakers(+8.5) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 1.95 Betfair LA Clippers have lost 2 ATS Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers(-6) @ 1.95 Coral 5 x 10pt bets=50pts staked :hope
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

19.10 pts returned. Tonights picks; Sacramento have lost 6 and Toronto have won 4 ATS Sacramento Kings(+4.5) @ Toronto Raptors @ 1.98 Betfair :( Chicago have won 2 ATS Chicago Bulls @ milwaukee Bucks(+5) @ 1.92 Expekt :( LA Lakers have lost 4 ATS LA Lakers(+8.5) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 1.95 Betfair :D LA Clippers have lost 2 ATS Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers(-6) @ 1.95 Coral PUSH no bet 5 x 10pt bets=50pts staked :hope
CORRECTION Atlanta Hawk(+9) @ 1.9 Bet365 :D
2 losers 2 winners 1 bet returned 40pts staked 38.50pts returned
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

Miami have won 5 ATS Indiana Pacers(+8) @ Miami Heat @ 1.95 Bet 365 :D 10pts staked :hope
1 winner 19.50pts returned ---------------------------------------------------------- Fridays Bets Toronto have won 5 ATS Utah Jazz(+1.5) @ Toronto Raptors @ 1.95 Mansion Philadelphia have lost 3 ATS Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers(+2.5) @ 1.9 Bet 365 Sacramento have lost 7 and Boston have won 2 ATS Sacramento Kings(-3.5) @ Boston Celtics @ 1.9 BetDirect Charlotte have lost 2 ATS Charlotte Bobcats(+5.5) @ Atlanta Hawks @ 1.9 Bet365 New Orleans have won 3 and San Antonio have lost 2 ATS New Orleans Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs(-14.5) @ 1.98 Coral Detroit have lost 5 ATS Detroit(-1.5) @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 1.92 Expekt Phoenix have won 2 ATS Portland Trailblazers(+14.5) @ Phoenix Suns @ 1.95 Betfair Seattle have won 2 ATS Milwaukee Bucks(+6) @ Seattle Supersonics @ 2.00 Mansion Cleveland have lost 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(+1.5) @ Denver Nuggets @ 1.9 Bet 365 9 x 10pts staked=90pts
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

1 winner 19.50pts returned ---------------------------------------------------------- Fridays Bets Toronto have won 5 ATS Utah Jazz(+1.5) @ Toronto Raptors @ 1.95 Mansion :D Philadelphia have lost 3 ATS Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers(+2.5) @ 1.9 Bet 365 :D Sacramento have lost 7 and Boston have won 2 ATS Sacramento Kings(-3.5) @ Boston Celtics @ 1.9 BetDirect :D Charlotte have lost 2 ATS Charlotte Bobcats(+5.5) @ Atlanta Hawks @ 1.9 Bet365 :D New Orleans have won 3 and San Antonio have lost 2 ATS New Orleans Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs(-14.5) @ 1.98 Coral :( Detroit have lost 5 ATS Detroit(-1.5) @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 1.92 Expekt :D Phoenix have won 2 ATS Portland Trailblazers(+14.5) @ Phoenix Suns @ 1.95 Betfair :D Seattle have won 2 ATS Milwaukee Bucks(+6) @ Seattle Supersonics @ 2.00 Mansion :( Cleveland have lost 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(+1.5) @ Denver Nuggets @ 1.9 Bet 365 :( 9 x 10pts staked=90pts
3 losers 6 winners 90pts staked 115.20pts returned
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) LA Clippers have lost 3 ATS Memphis Grizzlies @ LA Clippers(-6) @ 1.9 BetFred New York have won 3 ATS NY Nicks @ Indiana Pacers(-6.5) @ 1.95 @ Coral New Orleans have won 4 ATS New Orleans Hornets @ LA Lakers(-7) @ 2.02 Mansion Orlando have lost 2 ATS Orlando Magic(+4) @ New Jersey Nets @ 1.92 Expekt Denver have won 2 and Houston have lost 2 ATS Denver Nugget @ Houston Rockets(-7) @ 1.95 Bet365 Cleveland have lost 3 and Golden State have won 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(+4) @ Golden State Warriors @ 1.9 VC bet 6 x 10pt bets=60pts staked :hope

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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

LA Clippers have lost 3 ATS Memphis Grizzlies @ LA Clippers(-6) @ 1.9 BetFred :D New York have won 3 ATS NY Nicks @ Indiana Pacers(-6.5) @ 1.95 @ Coral :( New Orleans have won 4 ATS New Orleans Hornets @ LA Lakers(-7) @ 2.02 Mansion :( Orlando have lost 2 ATS Orlando Magic(+4) @ New Jersey Nets @ 1.92 Expekt :( Denver have won 2 and Houston have lost 2 ATS Denver Nugget @ Houston Rockets(-7) @ 1.95 Bet365 :( Cleveland have lost 3 and Golden State have won 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(+4) @ Golden State Warriors @ 1.9 VC bet :D 6 x 10pt bets=60pts staked :hope
4 losers 2 winners 60pts staked 38pts returned --------------------------------------------------------------- SUNDAY NBA Dallas have won 2 and Miami have lost 2 ATS Off The Board San Antonio have lost 3 ATS San Antonio Spurs(-8) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 1.95 Premierbet Minnesota have lost 2 ATS Off The Board Milwaukee have lost 2 and Portland have won 2 ATS Milwaukee Bucks(+5.5) @ Portland trailblazers @ 1.92 Expekt 2 x 10pt bets=20pts
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

4 losers 2 winners 60pts staked 38pts returned --------------------------------------------------------------- SUNDAY NBA Dallas have won 2 and Miami have lost 2 ATS Off The Board San Antonio have lost 3 ATS San Antonio Spurs(-8) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 1.95 Premierbet :D Minnesota have lost 2 ATS Off The Board Milwaukee have lost 2 and Portland have won 2 ATS Milwaukee Bucks(+5.5) @ Portland trailblazers @ 1.92 Expekt :D 2 x 10pt bets=20pts
0 losers 2 winners 20pts staked 38.70pts returned ----------------------------------------------------------------- New York have won 4 ATS New York/Miami Off The Board Charlotte have won 2 ATS Charlotte Bobcats @ Toronto Raptors(-8.5) @ 1.91 Betway Orlando have lost 3 ATS Orlando magic(+5) @ Cleveland Cavalier @ 1.93 Mansion Denver have won 3 ATS Memphis Grizzlies(+11) @ Denver Nuggets @ 1.91 Betway Minnesota have lost 3 and Utah have won 3 ATS Minnesota Timberwolves(+7) @ Utah Jazz @ 1.92 Expekt LA Lakers have lost 2 ATS Golden State Warriors @ LA Lakers(-8) @ 2.11 Mansion 5 x 10pt bets=50pts staked :hope
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based) Dominator, I need to do a proper audit on the system and I'll get round to doing it soon I promise. The figures look like I hit a slump about a week ago, but are recovering again now. You can check out http://www.sports-punter.com/ and have a look at my numbers on there since the 1st Jan. :ok

0 losers 2 winners 20pts staked 38.70pts returned ----------------------------------------------------------------- New York have won 4 ATS New York/Miami Off The Board Charlotte have won 2 ATS Charlotte Bobcats @ Toronto Raptors(-8.5) @ 1.91 Betway :D Orlando have lost 3 ATS Orlando magic(+5) @ Cleveland Cavalier @ 1.93 Mansion :D Denver have won 3 ATS Memphis Grizzlies(+11) @ Denver Nuggets @ 1.91 Betway :( Minnesota have lost 3 and Utah have won 3 ATS Minnesota Timberwolves(+7) @ Utah Jazz @ 1.92 Expekt :( LA Lakers have lost 2 ATS Golden State Warriors @ LA Lakers(-8) @ 2.11 Mansion :( 5 x 10pt bets=50pts staked :hope
3 losers 2 winners 38.4pts returned
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

Chacago have lost 3 ATS Dallas Mavericks @ Chicago Bulls(+4.5) @ 1.97 Betfair :D 10pts staked :hope
19.70 pts returned -------------------------------------------------------- Cleveland have lost 2 and Philadelphia have won 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(-5) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 2.05 Coral Atlanta have won 2 ATS Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic(-8) @ 1.9 Mansion Miami have won 2 ATS Miami Heat @ New York Nicks(+3.5) @ 1.9 Bet365 San Antonio have lost 2 ATS Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs(-13) @ 2.02 Mansion Sacramento have lost 3 ATS Sacramento Kings(+1.5) @ New Orleans Hornets @ 1.9 BetDirect Washington have lost 2 and Detroit have won 3 ATS Washington Wizards(+5.5) @ Detroit Pistons @ 1.92 Expekt Denver have won 5 ATS Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz(-3.5) @ 1.95 Coral Minnesota have lost 5 ATS Minnesota Timberwolves(+2) @ Seattle Supersonics @ 1.93 Mansion 8 x 10pt bets=80pts staked :hope
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Re: Contrary System (US Sports based)

19.70 pts returned -------------------------------------------------------- Cleveland have lost 2 and Philadelphia have won 2 ATS Cleveland Cavaliers(-5) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 2.05 Coral :D Atlanta have won 2 ATS Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic(-8) @ 1.9 Mansion :( Miami have won 2 ATS Miami Heat @ New York Nicks(+3.5) @ 1.9 Bet365 :D San Antonio have lost 2 ATS Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs(-13) @ 2.02 Mansion :D Sacramento have lost 3 ATS Sacramento Kings(+1.5) @ New Orleans Hornets @ 1.9 BetDirect :( Washington have lost 2 and Detroit have won 3 ATS Washington Wizards(+5.5) @ Detroit Pistons @ 1.92 Expekt :D Denver have won 5 ATS Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz(-3.5) @ 1.95 Coral :D Minnesota have lost 5 ATS Minnesota Timberwolves(+2) @ Seattle Supersonics @ 1.93 Mansion PUSH no bet 8 x 10pt bets=80pts staked :hope
Thanks vitalyo, but I get it at 5-2-1. Still pleasing though. :ok 70pts staked 98.40pts returned
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