WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 23, 2006 Share Posted October 23, 2006 Im going back to a way I used to bet, with a medium of success. Rather than picking horses I think have a good chance of winning, Im going to restrict myself to just horses that I really find it hard to see being beaten. There may not be selections everyday as they will be strong selections(imo). Bets will be 10pt singles and ,on days of multiple selections, a 5pt multiple. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 23, 2006 Author Share Posted October 23, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Tues 24th Oct 2.00 Yar - Cabinet 2.45 Che - Pirate Flagship 10pt singles 5pt double Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted October 23, 2006 Share Posted October 23, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Good luck with this mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 24, 2006 Author Share Posted October 24, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Tues 24th Oct 2.00 Yar - Cabinet - NR 2.45 Che - Pirate Flagship - UP 10pt singles 5pt double Not the best of starts. Just to clear a few things up concerning results. results will e done as if struck with bookie when posted so if a multiple becomes a single(like today) the stake will still count. Wins for singles will be in an a-b-c format with a=wins,b=losses and c=non runners. Strikerate will be percentage of winners from actual runners. Records Singles Bets:2 Record:0-1-1 Strikerate:0% Profit:-10pts Yield:-50% Multis Bets:1 Wins:0 Strikerate:0% Profit:-5pts Yield:-100% Overall Profit:-15pts Yield:-60% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 25, 2006 Author Share Posted October 25, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Weds 25th Oct 2.10 Che - Paulo Dancer 10pts single Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pablo74 Posted October 25, 2006 Share Posted October 25, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things best of luck, 4/11 at the mo... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 25, 2006 Author Share Posted October 25, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Weds 25th Oct 2.10 Che - Paulo Dancer - 1st 8/15 10pts single Profit: 5.33pts Hurrah! The first winner. A short price but thats ok. The focus for this thread is to keep a high strikerate. Records Singles Bets:3 Record:1-1-1 Strikerate:50% Profit:-4.67pts Yield:-15.57% Multis Bets:1 Wins:0 Strikerate:0% Profit:-5pts Yield:-100% Overall Profit:-9.67pts Yield:-27.63% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 25, 2006 Author Share Posted October 25, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Thurs 26th Oct 2.30 Stratford - Dont Push It 2.50 Lingfield - Cabinet 5.10 Taunton - Pilca 10pt singles 5pt treble Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 26, 2006 Author Share Posted October 26, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Thurs 26th Oct 2.30 Stratford - Dont Push It 1st 8/11 2.50 Lingfield - Cabinet 1st 8/13 5.10 Taunton - Pilca 2nd EVS 10pt singles 5pt treble Cabinet wins after being a selection but not running on Tuesday. Pilca beaten by a neck. The difference between a small loss and a comfortable profit. Singles: 33.42pts return Multi: 0pts return Records Singles Bets:6 Record:3-1-2 Strikerate:60% Profit:-1.25pts Yield:-2.08% Multis Bets:2 Wins:0 Strikerate:0% Profit:-10pts Yield:-100% Overall Profit:-11.25pts Yield:-16.07% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 26, 2006 Author Share Posted October 26, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Fri 27th Oct 2.15 Uttoxeter - Pass It On 10pt single Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 27, 2006 Author Share Posted October 27, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Fri 27th Oct 2.15 Uttoxeter - Pass It On FELL 10pt single Fell 2 out when leading. Records Singles Bets:7 Record:3-1-3 Strikerate:50% Profit:-11.25pts Yield:-16.07% Multis Bets:2 Wins:0 Strikerate:0% Profit:-10pts Yield:-100% Overall Profit:-21.25pts Yield:-26.56% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 27, 2006 Author Share Posted October 27, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things There was a few others that came really close but I decided if I want to keep this as tight as Id like I couldnt include them. Just for the record: 2.05 New - Empire Day 2.45 Asc - Moon Over Miami 3.20 Asc - Piran Sat 28th Oct 2.50 Wetherby - My Way De Solzen 3.25 Naas - Leading Run 10pt singles 5pt double Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 28, 2006 Author Share Posted October 28, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Sat 28th Oct 2.50 Wetherby - My Way De Solzen - 2nd 3.25 Naas - Leading Run - 2nd 10pt singles 5pt double Both second and the left out Empire Day wins @ 4/1. Records Singles Bets:9 Record:3-1-5 Strikerate:37.50% Profit:-31.25pts Yield:-34.72% Multis Bets:3 Wins:0 Strikerate:0% Profit:-15pts Yield:-100% Overall Profit:-46.25pts Yield:-44.05% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layer Posted October 28, 2006 Share Posted October 28, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Rather than picking horses I think have a good chance of winning' date=' Im going to restrict myself to just horses that I really find it hard to see being beaten.[/quote']Excuse the comment, not meant as criticisim, but these are horses which tipsters also can't see being beaten. As a result, their markets become distorted, their prices are much too short, and in the long run you end up with a high strike-rate at dreadful prices and just make consistent losses. It's been well shown by Pinhofap here (before his thread got hijacked) and by other experts elsewhere that the true value in selections like these lies in laying them, I think? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 28, 2006 Author Share Posted October 28, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Maybe but thats backing all of the tipsters fancied horses. This is only backing selected ones. There are many strongly fancied horses at short odds Ive left alone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layer Posted October 28, 2006 Share Posted October 28, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things There are many strongly fancied horses at short odds Ive left alone.I appreciate this, of course, but I would suggest to you that in the long run it's not going to be relevant to my point. If, as this afternoon, you continue to back heavily touted horses at 4/9 and I continue to lay them, in the long run which of us will show a profit? Maybe we must simply agree to differ on the point. I apologise for disturbing you, I intended no disrespect and was trying to be helpful. Good luck with your thread, though I suspect that I will hardly be alone in laying them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 28, 2006 Author Share Posted October 28, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things No offence taken. As quoted in my opening post though, I have previously used this technique over a season and shown a profit so am quite confident I can do so again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted October 29, 2006 Author Share Posted October 29, 2006 Re: WFTE's Sure Things Monday 30th October 2.10 Plumpton - Barclay Boy 10pt single Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.32384c3055cbc1254b0eb6212fda1359.jpg)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.