even total goals. +1.8% yield. 374 bets.

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +10% yield. 118 bets. do you mean if they were being put into the same box? well under the new staking system it would go

1	1.12
2	3.47
3	8.44
4	18.93
5	41.07
6	87.82

with a closed box after 6, then restarting at 1.12.

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +10% yield. 118 bets. 13/17 :nana it doesn't get much better than this!

43	03-Dec	france	even	Sochaux v Marseille	£41.07	1.90	L	-41.07
44	03-Dec	france	even	Nancy v Lille	£18.93	1.90	W	17.04
50	03-Dec	holl	odd	Ajax v Willem II	£3.47	1.95	L	-3.47
51	03-Dec	holl	odd	AZ v Excelsior	£3.47	1.95	W	3.30
53	03-Dec	italy	even	Cagliari v AC Milan	£3.47	1.90	W	3.12
55	03-Dec	italy	even	Fiorentina v Lazio	£3.47	1.90	L	-3.47
57	03-Dec	italy	even	Livorno v Chievo	£3.47	1.90	W	3.12
59	03-Dec	italy	even	Messina v Sampdoria	£3.47	1.90	W	3.12
60	03-Dec	italy	even	Parma v Palermo	£3.47	1.90	W	3.12
63	03-Dec	italy	even	Torino v Empoli	£1.12	1.85	L	-1.12
64	03-Dec	italy	even	Udinese v Reggina	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01
65	03-Dec	italy	even	Ascoli v Catania	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01
66	03-Dec	spain	even	D Coruna v Racing Santander	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01
67	03-Dec	spain	even	Mallorca v Celta Vigo	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01
68	03-Dec	spain	even	Real Sociedad v Getafe	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01
69	03-Dec	spain	odd	Real Madrid v Athletic Bilbao	£1.12	1.95	W	1.06
70	03-Dec	fran2	even	Grenoble v Metz	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01

start bank	£200
bank now	£268.82
av odds	1.914
bets	135
wins	66
strike	48.9%
fair odds	2.05
av stake	£6.00
av profit	£0.51
total staked	£815.25
profit	£68.82
yield	8.4%
lev stk profit	-8.70
lev stk yield	-6.4%
LAY lev stk profit	-2.85
LAY lev stk yield	-2.1%

a few stats comparing the results before and after i tweaked the selection process on 30/11/06, not many games i know, but still interesting:

	selection tweak
	before	after
profit	5.39	63.43
staked	378.39	436.86
yield	1.4%	14.5%
bets	92	43
wins	40	26
strike	43.5%	60.5%
lev profit	-15.35	6.65
lev yield	-16.7%	15.5%
lev lay prof	5.80	-10.55
lev lay yield	6.3%	-24.5%

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +10% yield. 118 bets.

71	04-Dec	fran2	even	Reims v Caen	£1.12	1.90
43	04-Dec	italyB	even	Lecce v Brescia	£87.82	1.90
50	04-Dec	italyC1	even	Monza v Sassuolo	£8.44	1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +8% yield. 135 bets. a last minute winner means box 43 is now CLOSED.

71	04-Dec	fran2	even	Reims v Caen	£1.12	1.90	W	1.01
43	04-Dec	italyB	even	Lecce v Brescia	£87.82	1.90	L	-87.82
50	04-Dec	italyC1	even	Monza v Sassuolo	£8.44	1.90	W	7.60

start bank	£200
bank now	£189.60
av odds	1.913
bets	138
wins	68
strike	49.3%
fair odds	2.03
av stake	£6.61
av profit	-£0.08
total staked	£912.63
profit	-£10.40
yield	-1.1%

ten pound in the red and a fight back on my hands. bring it on!

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +8% yield. 135 bets.

55	05-Dec	prem	even	Charlton v Blackburn	£8.44	1.90
63	05-Dec	ChL	even	Bayern Munich v Inter Milan	£3.47	1.90
72	05-Dec	ChL	odd	Chelsea v Levski Sofia	£1.12	1.95

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets. another last minute winner, for charlton, makes a loss.

05-Dec	prem	even	Charlton v Blackburn	£8.44	1.90	L	-8.44
05-Dec	ChL	even	Bayern Munich v Inter Milan	£3.47	1.90	W	3.12
05-Dec	ChL	odd	Chelsea v Levski Sofia	£1.12	1.95	L	-1.12

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets. right, i have looked at the chances of reaching certain levels, based on 5144 games, and have decide on the final staking:

54.9%	1	£1
25.1%	2	£3
11.8%	3	£8
5.2%	4	£20
2.1%	5	£40
0.9%	6	STOP

stop at box 5 and return to L1, betting 1 unit.

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets.

55	06-Dec	ChL	even	AC Milan v Lille	£20.00	1.90
72	06-Dec	ChL	even	FC Porto v Arsenal	£3.00	1.90
73	06-Dec	coppa it	even	Genoa v Empoli	£1.00	1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets. can' get decent odds on porto arsenal - the draw is 1.72 and even is 1.55 on betdaq. leaving it well alone. new boxes become:

55	06-Dec	ChL	even	AC Milan v Lille	£20.00	1.90
72	06-Dec	coppa it	even	Genoa v Empoli	£3.00	1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets.

55	06-Dec	ChL	even	AC Milan v Lille	£20.00	1.90	W	18.00
72	06-Dec	coppa it	even	Genoa v Empoli	£3.00	1.90	L	-3.00

start bank	£200
bank now	£198.17
av odds	1.914
bets	143
wins	70
strike	49.0%
fair odds	2.04
av stake	£6.63
av profit	-£0.01
total staked	£948.66
profit	-£1.83
yield	-0.2%

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets.

72	07-Dec	coppa it	even	Parma v Napoli	£8.00	1.90
73	07-Dec	poland	odd	Wisla Krakow v Gornik Zabrze	£1.00	1.95

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. -1% yield. 138 bets.

72

07-Dec

coppa it

even

Parma v Napoli

£8.00

1.90

W

7.20

start bank	£200
bank now	£205.37
av odds	1.914
bets	144
wins	71
strike	49.3%
fair odds	2.03
av stake	£6.60
av profit	£0.04
total staked	£956.66
profit	£5.37
yield	0.6%

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 144 bets.

73

07-Dec

poland

odd

Wisla Krakow v Gornik Zabrze

£1.00

1.95

W

0.95

start bank	£200
bank now	£206.32
av odds	1.91
bets	145
wins	72
strike	49.7%
fair odds	2.01
av stake	£6.60
av profit	£0.04
total staked	£957.66
profit	£6.32
yield	0.7%

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets.

74	08-Dec	italyB	even	Spezia v Crotone	£1.00	1.90
75	08-Dec	fran2	even	Amiens v Creteil	£1.00	1.90
76	08-Dec	fran2	even	Bastia v Gueugnon	£1.00	1.90
77	08-Dec	fran2	even	Brest v Tours	£1.00	1.90
78	08-Dec	fran2	even	Guingamp v Chateauroux	£1.00	1.90
79	08-Dec	fran2	even	Libourne v Reims	£1.00	1.90
80	08-Dec	fran2	even	Montpellier v AC Ajaccio	£1.00	1.90
81	08-Dec	fran2	even	Niort v Le Havre	£1.00	1.90
82	08-Dec	fran2	even	Metz v Strasbourg	£1.00	1.90
83	08-Dec	port	even	Belenenses v Braga	£1.00	1.90

[Kanga]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets. Nice one muppet - all fresh boxes and in profit - only waiting for the strike rate to rise now !!!

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets. cheers mate, the strike rate is around 60% since the 'tweak'. i have every confidence in this new selection process as i am pretty sure that i have a genuine edge over the bookie. stay tuned.

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets.

74	08-Dec	italyB	even	Spezia v Crotone	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
75	08-Dec	fran2	even	Amiens v Creteil	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
76	08-Dec	fran2	even	Bastia v Gueugnon	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
77	08-Dec	fran2	even	Brest v Tours	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
78	08-Dec	fran2	even	Guingamp v Chateauroux	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
79	08-Dec	fran2	even	Libourne v Reims	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
80	08-Dec	fran2	even	Montpellier v AC Ajaccio	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
81	08-Dec	fran2	even	Niort v Le Havre	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
82	08-Dec	fran2	even	Metz v Strasbourg	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
83	08-Dec	port	even	Belenenses v Braga	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90

start bank	£200
bank now	£203.92
av odds	1.91
bets	155
wins	76
strike	49.0%
fair odds	2.04
av stake	£6.24
av profit	£0.03
total staked	£967.66
profit	£3.92
yield	0.4%

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets. evening kick off boxes and stakes to be determined later.

74	09-Dec	germ	odd	Bayern Munich v Cottbus	£3.00	1.95
75	09-Dec	italyB	even	Bari v Modena	£3.00	1.90
76	09-Dec	italyB	even	Bologna v Lecce	£3.00	1.90
79	09-Dec	italyB	even	Frosinone v Brescia	£3.00	1.90
80	09-Dec	italyB	odd	Juventus v Verona	£3.00	1.95
82	09-Dec	italyB	even	Mantova v Albinoleffe	£3.00	1.90
84	09-Dec	italyB	even	Pescara v Rimini	£1.00	1.90
85	09-Dec	italyB	even	Treviso v Genoa	£1.00	1.90
86	09-Dec	italyB	even	Vicenza v Triestina	£1.00	1.90
87	09-Dec	france	even	Toulouse v Lens	£1.00	1.90
88	09-Dec	italy	even	Reggina v Ascoli	£1.00	1.90
89	09-Dec	austria	even	Graz AK v FC Superfund	£1.00	1.90
90	09-Dec	austria	even	SV Ried v Rapid Vienna	£1.00	1.90
91	09-Dec	spain2	even	Castellon v Xerez	£1.00	1.90
92	09-Dec	spain2	even	Numancia v Sporting Gijon	£1.00	1.90
93	09-Dec	spain2	even	Vecindario v Malaga	£1.00	1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Bordeaux v Rennes		1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Lorient v Sedan		1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Marseille v Monaco		1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Nantes v Le Mans		1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Nice v Nancy		1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Troyes v Auxerre		1.90
	09-Dec	france	even	Valenciennes v Sochaux		1.90
	09-Dec	spain	odd	Barcelona v Real Sociedad		1.95
	09-Dec	spain2	even	Hercules v Poli Ejido		1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets.

74	09-Dec	germ	odd	Bayern Munich v Cottbus	£3.00	1.95	W	£2.85
75	09-Dec	italyB	even	Bari v Modena	£3.00	1.90	L	-£3.00
76	09-Dec	italyB	even	Bologna v Lecce	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
79	09-Dec	italyB	even	Frosinone v Brescia	£3.00	1.90	L	-£3.00
80	09-Dec	italyB	odd	Juventus v Verona	£3.00	1.95	W	£2.85
82	09-Dec	italyB	even	Mantova v Albinoleffe	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
84	09-Dec	italyB	even	Pescara v Rimini	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
85	09-Dec	italyB	even	Treviso v Genoa	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
86	09-Dec	italyB	even	Vicenza v Triestina	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.7% yield. 145 bets. 7pm, and later, kick offs:

75	09-Dec	france	even	Bordeaux v Rennes	£8.00	1.90
79	09-Dec	france	even	Lorient v Sedan	£8.00	1.90
84	09-Dec	france	even	Marseille v Monaco	£3.00	1.90
85	09-Dec	france	even	Nantes v Le Mans	£3.00	1.90
86	09-Dec	france	even	Nice v Nancy	£3.00	1.90
94	09-Dec	france	even	Troyes v Auxerre	£1.00	1.90
95	09-Dec	france	even	Valenciennes v Sochaux	£1.00	1.90
96	09-Dec	spain	odd	Barcelona v Real Sociedad	£1.00	1.95
97	09-Dec	spain2	even	Hercules v Poli Ejido	£1.00	1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 164 bets.

09-Dec	france	even	Toulouse v Lens	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
09-Dec	italy	even	Reggina v Ascoli	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
09-Dec	austria	even	Graz AK v FC Superfund	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
09-Dec	austria	even	SV Ried v Rapid Vienna	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
09-Dec	spain2	even	Castellon v Xerez	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
09-Dec	spain2	even	Numancia v Sporting Gijon	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
09-Dec	spain2	even	Vecindario v Malaga	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
09-Dec	france	even	Bordeaux v Rennes	£8.00	1.90	L	-£8.00
09-Dec	france	even	Lorient v Sedan	£8.00	1.90	W	£7.20
09-Dec	france	even	Marseille v Monaco	£3.00	1.90	L	-£3.00
09-Dec	france	even	Nantes v Le Mans	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
09-Dec	france	even	Nice v Nancy	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
09-Dec	france	even	Troyes v Auxerre	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
09-Dec	france	even	Valenciennes v Sochaux	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
09-Dec	spain	odd	Barcelona v Real Sociedad	£1.00	1.95	W	£0.95
09-Dec	spain2	even	Hercules v Poli Ejido	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00

start bank	£200
bank now	£206.17
av odds	1.91
bets	180
wins	88
strike	48.9%
fair odds	2.05
av stake	£5.69
av profit	£0.03
total staked	£1,024.66
profit	£6.17
yield	0.6%

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 180 bets.

75	10-Dec	spain2	even	Cadiz v Valladolid	£20.00	1.90
84	10-Dec	holl	odd	Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag	£8.00	1.95
87	10-Dec	italy	even	Cagliari v Parma	£3.00	1.90
88	10-Dec	italy	even	Catania v Udinese	£3.00	1.90
89	10-Dec	italy	even	Chievo v Fiorentina	£3.00	1.90
90	10-Dec	italy	even	Sampdoria v Siena	£3.00	1.90
91	10-Dec	SPL	odd	Dunfermline v Celtic	£3.00	1.95
97	10-Dec	austria	even	CSR Altach v Fc Wacker tirol	£3.00	1.90
98	10-Dec	port	even	Aves v Uniao Leiria	£1.00	1.90
99	10-Dec	spain	even	Athletic Bilbao v Huelva	£1.00	1.90
100	10-Dec	spain	even	Celta Vigo v Villarreal	£1.00	1.90
101	10-Dec	spain	even	Getafe v Real Betis	£1.00	1.90
102	10-Dec	spain	even	Gimnastic v Levante	£1.00	1.90
103	10-Dec	spain2	even	Albacete v Las Palmas	£1.00	1.90
	10-Dec	spain2	even	Real Madrid B v Salamanca		1.90
	10-Dec	france	even	Lille v St Etienne		1.90
	10-Dec	spain2	even	Tenerife v Elche		1.90
	10-Dec	italy	even	Lazio v Roma		1.90

later stakes and boxes TBA

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 180 bets. 4pm kickoffs starting soon... the next table has amendments to the original stakes and box numbers, and supercedes the previous one. a good weekend so far...

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 180 bets.

75	10-Dec	spain2	even	Cadiz v Valladolid	£20.00	1.90	W	£18.00
84	10-Dec	holl	odd	Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag	£8.00	1.95	L	-£8.00
87	10-Dec	italy	even	Cagliari v Parma	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
88	10-Dec	italy	even	Catania v Udinese	£3.00	1.90	L	-£3.00
89	10-Dec	italy	even	Chievo v Fiorentina	£3.00	1.90	L	-£3.00
90	10-Dec	italy	even	Sampdoria v Siena	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
91	10-Dec	SPL	odd	Dunfermline v Celtic	£3.00	1.95	W	£2.85
97	10-Dec	austria	even	CSR Altach v Fc Wacker tirol	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
98	10-Dec	port	even	Aves v Uniao Leiria	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
84	10-Dec	spain	even	Athletic Bilbao v Huelva	£20.00	1.90
88	10-Dec	spain	even	Celta Vigo v Villarreal	£8.00	1.90
89	10-Dec	spain	even	Getafe v Real Betis	£8.00	1.90
99	10-Dec	spain	even	Gimnastic v Levante	£1.00	1.90
100	10-Dec	spain2	even	Albacete v Las Palmas	£1.00	1.90
101	10-Dec	spain2	even	Real Madrid B v Salamanca	£1.00	1.90
102	10-Dec	france	even	Lille v St Etienne	£1.00	1.90
103	10-Dec	spain2	even	Tenerife v Elche	£1.00	1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 180 bets. beg yer pardon, these 2 games are unfinished, but do not affect the boxes / stakes.

CSR Altach v Fc Wacker tirol

Aves v Uniao Leiria

one more italian game kicking off at 730pm, so will post before then.

[Kanga]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 180 bets. Unlucky with Box 84 Muppet - 3-0 at 90 mins Haag go and score a pointless goal to make it 3-1 and evens.

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +0.6% yield. 180 bets.

97	10-Dec	austria	even	CSR Altach v Fc Wacker tirol	£3.00	1.90	W	£2.70
98	10-Dec	port	even	Aves v Uniao Leiria	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
84	10-Dec	spain	even	Athletic Bilbao v Huelva	£20.00	1.90	W	£18.00
88	10-Dec	spain	even	Celta Vigo v Villarreal	£8.00	1.90	W	£7.20
89	10-Dec	spain	even	Getafe v Real Betis	£8.00	1.90	W	£7.20
99	10-Dec	spain	even	Gimnastic v Levante	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
100	10-Dec	spain2	even	Albacete v Las Palmas	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90

sweet.

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +4.7% yield. 194 bets.

98

10-Dec

italy

even

Lazio v Roma

£3.00

1.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +4.7% yield. 194 bets.

102	10-Dec	france	even	Lille v St Etienne	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
103	10-Dec	spain2	even	Tenerife v Elche	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90

[muppet77]

Re: odd/even total goals. +4.7% yield. 194 bets.

101	10-Dec	spain2	even	Real Madrid B v Salamanca	£1.00	1.90	L	-£1.00
102	10-Dec	france	even	Lille v St Etienne	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
103	10-Dec	spain2	even	Tenerife v Elche	£1.00	1.90	W	£0.90
98	10-Dec	italy	even	Lazio v Roma	£3.00	1.90	L	-£3.00

start bank	£200
bank now	£250.22
av odds	1.91
bets	198
wins	99
strike	50.0%
fair odds	2.00
av stake	£5.63
av profit	£0.25
total staked	£1,115.66
profit	£50.22
yield	4.5%

	selection tweak
	before	after
even : odd	2.3 : 1	6.1 : 1
av price	1.92	1.91
profit	£5.39	£44.83
staked	£378.39	£737.27
yield	1.4%	6.1%
bets	92	106
wins	40	59
strike	43.5%	55.7%
lev profit	-£15.35	£6.60
lev yield	-16.7%	6.2%
lev lay prof	£7.70	-£16.45
lev lay yield	8.4%	-15.5%