clarky101 Posted April 10, 2008 Share Posted April 10, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Another lonely Norm for tonight Grays @ 2.74 :wall Hopefully keeping the good run up for the Norms :hope I knew i should'nt of mentioned the good run :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted April 10, 2008 Share Posted April 10, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Another EPL Under Tottenham v Middlesboro Odds 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fast Eddie Posted April 11, 2008 Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Another EPL Under Tottenham v Middlesboro Odds 2 Spurs being involved in a low scoring game doesn't seem like the best bet in the world does it?! But that's the system I suppose. The MW sheets do throw up some strange looking predictions occasionally, but I guess that's true of any system. Merlin kindly supplied me with some updated sheets last month and I've been keeping them up to date (the top four English Leagues). I've also been trying to copy all MW's predictions and the actual results into a spreadsheet to try and measure the accuracy of the predictions. (As an excel novice it's taking some learning and I can see macros are obviously the way to go). Has anyone else done this , over a long period (mine only began a few weeks ago so there isn't a large pool of data to draw any conclusions from as yet)? Also, has anyone any new ideas for systems derived from these MW sheets? Perhaps we could all throw a few ideas out there, however odd they may seem and others could run with them or give their reasons in support or against, etc, and then a few more systems might be up and running ready for next season. I'm thinking Away predictions where the Away Win is not the favourite, if these aren't too rare. Or, backing "Any Unquoted" (basically either team getting 4 goals or more) on Betfair correct score market when there are four or more goals predicted for the game, because this suggests weak defences, powerful attacks. These are just ideas off the top of my head without any great statistical data to back them up, but you get the idea. If this is the wrong place for this then I apologise. Otherwise, let's brainstorm. Ed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 11, 2008 Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Weekend picks +2's Rochdale @ 2.2 Norms Chesterfield @ 2.5 Bradford @ 3.15 Ebbsfleet @ 2.08 Lets get back to winning ways :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted April 11, 2008 Author Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... hi there FF great to have your input. It's a bit late to be looking at systems for these sheets for this season as there are only a matter of weeks left. A couple of ideas spring to mind for next season, monitoring all 0-0 selections with under 2.5 goals in mind. Also monitoring various leagues to check correct weekly predictions to see if there is any leverage in backing all of these say in one league.I seem to remember Serie A being quite good this season.All that would be needed would be one double to just about break even, two correct and we are laughing.A little food for thought!;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted April 11, 2008 Author Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. ...... three selections for the 3-0 system for this weekend:- Chelsea 1.25 Grays Athletic 1.88 Real Betis 1.52 Onwards and upwards.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SecondSight Posted April 11, 2008 Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Spurs/Boro unders wary I would not recommend unders at evens on this game. Boro have switched formation hence open game against MU last week. I think Southgate will keep with it at Spurs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted April 11, 2008 Share Posted April 11, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. I wouldnt recommend it either, but the system says it will be a draw (albeit a 2-2 draw) so it goes in as an UNDER. Earlier this season, Man U v Tottenham was a selection at odds of 2.15 and it came in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted April 12, 2008 Author Share Posted April 12, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... so what is the under here? If the system churns out 2-2 it would go down as an over 2.5 in my book.Anyway good luck with this one.:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted April 13, 2008 Share Posted April 13, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Its an Under because the system selected it as a draw......and out of three picked, it was the only one that came in yesterday:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 13, 2008 Share Posted April 13, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. +2's Rochdale @ 2.2 :wall Norms Chesterfield @ 2.5 :wall Bradford @ 3.15 :wall Ebbsfleet @ 2.08 (Post) Well that was a cack weekend..... tables & midweek picks (if any) later.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 15, 2008 Share Posted April 15, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 16, 2008 Share Posted April 16, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Wycombe @ 2.3 :clap Oxford @ 2.8 :clap Chelsea @ 2.16 (Thurs) :ok ;) Need Chelsea for The Merlin Full House.:unsure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 18, 2008 Share Posted April 18, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted April 19, 2008 Share Posted April 19, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Saturday selection for Unders is, West Ham v Derby Under 2.5 goals Odds 2.05 Stake 2 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 21, 2008 Share Posted April 21, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Norms Man Utd @ 1.63 :wall Liverpool @ 2.38 :clap Doncaster @ 2.00 :wall Peterboro @ 2.82 :clap Mk Dons @ 2.72 :clap Crawley @ 2.18 :clap +2's Kidderminster @ 3.05 :eyes Inter @ 1.65 (sun) :clap Tables +2's Total Staked210.00Total Returned195.69Yield0.932-6.81%Winners11Losers10Strike Rate52%Current Bank85.69Profit / Loss-14.31 Norms Total Staked400.00Total Returned503.67Yield1.25925.92%Winners22Losers18Strike Rate55%Current Bank203.67Profit / Loss103.67 Midweek picks if any later.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 21, 2008 Share Posted April 21, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Excellent results, Clarky, on the "norms". :clap What is particularly impressive is that the system is holding up even now that we are into the usually unpredictable end-of-season period. Well done and stick with it :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted April 21, 2008 Author Share Posted April 21, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. .... Have not had much time lately to follow the 3-0 system.Usually at this time of year I call a halt due to itty bitty results that go beserk.So I think I may well cut off at this point and restart next season.Will have a think about it.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 22, 2008 Share Posted April 22, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Thanks Grex for your kind words...much appreciated.... No midweek bets this week... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 23, 2008 Share Posted April 23, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Only 4 weekend picks +2's Arsenal @ 1.3 Peterboro @2.08 Norms Droylsden @ 3.0 Milan @ 1.55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 28, 2008 Share Posted April 28, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 28, 2008 Share Posted April 28, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And one +2 tomorrow night Stockport @ 3.10 :hope :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 29, 2008 Share Posted April 29, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And i can only offer one +2 for the weekend :\ Real Madrid @2.66 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 30, 2008 Share Posted April 30, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And one +2 tomorrow night Stockport @ 3.10:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted May 5, 2008 Share Posted May 5, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. And i can only offer one +2 for the weekend :\ Real Madrid @2.66 :clap +2 Table Total Staked250.00Total Returned255.24Yield1.0212.09%Winners14Losers11Strike Rate56%Current Bank105.24Profit / Loss5.23 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted May 9, 2008 Share Posted May 9, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Nearly there fella's....just two picks this weekend,one in each... Norms Arsenal @ 1.90 +2's Bayern Munich @ 2.12 Doubt if there will be any more picks this season so i will be posting the tables after sundays results.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted May 11, 2008 Share Posted May 11, 2008 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted May 14, 2008 Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Just as i thought the season had finnished for me, up pops A S ROMA for the +2's. odds later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted August 6, 2008 Share Posted August 6, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Well some months have passed & AS Roma did'nt win for the +2's last time out, but with the new season about to appear i'm going to start this again with the same criteria as last time.. you know MW sheets + RFO ratings... should i wait until September or start now ?? I've got a little prob with the conference sheets at the mo so until thats sorted there will be no picks from that div......anyways only 2 picks for the NORMS this opening week Watford Rochdale Paper trailing for August for the proper start in September with a starting bank of 100 & 10pts per pick..:hope:hope:ok:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barrhead73 Posted August 6, 2008 Share Posted August 6, 2008 Re: Return to Oz and the Michael Wray Experiment. Hi Clarky......thank god the season is about to get going again. I'm going to run with my EPL Unders system again this season. Good luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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