Mlb 9/4

[Mr Intensity]

Sport	MLB
Event	Washington Nationals (Drese) @ Houston Astros (Pettitte)
Selection	Houston (Pettitte) -1.5
Strength	10/10
Date	09/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.20 (Back)
Reasoning	The Astros blew a big lead against the Nationals last time out but I don't see it happening today against Pettitte. Pettitte was poor in his first outing this season but I expect him to get it together and should start backing up the 2.39 ERA he had last season. In his first season for Washington, Drese had a 3-6 record and a 4.98 ERA. Since a couple of tight games against Florida, the Houston bats have been hot and I think they'll be able to get into him today. The problem is the Houston bullpen which has an ERA of 6.39 from 12.2 innings, but I expect Houston to get off to a good lead then hopefully hang on and cover!

[Mr Intensity]

Re: Mlb 9/4

Sport	MLB
Event	Minnestoa Twins (Santana) @ Cleveland Indians (Westbrook)
Selection	Under 8
Strength	10/10
Date	09/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.79 (Back)
Reasoning	After a slugfest in the first match of this series the teams slowed down and had a nice 3-0 result. Now with Santana on the mound and the Twins needing a win to get out of there 1-4 slump I can see this being very low scoring. Santana struggled in his first start of the season but I can see him tightening it up for this one (in the past 4 seasons his highest ERA has been 3.07!!). On the other side is Westbrook who looked very decent in his first game of the season giving up 2 runs in 6.1 innings to the White Sox. Some little stats from covers.com that favour the under: Recent Trends | In Depth Minnesota: Under is 26-8-0 in MIN last 34 day games. Under is 20-8-0 in MIN last 28 Sun. games. Under is 8-2-0 in Santana's last 10 Sun. starts. Cleveland: Under is 8-3-1 in CLE last 12 overall. Under is 8-3-1 in CLE last 12 on Grass. Under is 10-4-0 in CLE last 14 day games. Everything points to a pitcher battle and a solid under. Could turn into a trap play but I like it.