christiano Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami Tip Detail SportTennis EventWhat will Ljubicic's first serve percentage be? SelectionUnder 69.5 Strength10/10 Date02/04/2006 Bookmaker/Price>Unibet @ 1.72 (Back) Reasoning69.5 seems to be very high line here.Ljubicic in his previous matches never had first serve percentage over 69.5.He will be hitting very strong first serve and that's always a risk.And against Federer he must be doing this.It will be also a much harder task for him to keep high percentage as it is 5 set match not 3.It's worth a shot I guess. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FootballTennis Posted April 2, 2006 Author Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami That she-male beat Maria Sharapova in the final? :loon :loon :loon :puke Anyway i predict Federer win 3-0 today, 2.06 at Betair. Federer just beat Ljubicic easily 2 weeks ago and i can't see it being much different now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW1970 Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami How odd you spotted that one, Randall. It's the one that took my attention. I have looked into it a bit: In his last 17 matches, Ljubicic has had a first serve percentage of over 69.5% in 2 matches, both of them 2 set matches. He is 0-5 under 69.5% in his last 5 three or more set matches. He hasn't had a percentage above this in this tournament so far. His average first serve percentage for the season is 62%. In his last 6 meetings with Federer, he is 1-5 under this percentage. The only exception was Indian Wells the other week, when he served 74%, but this was a short two set match (19 games). So I think it looks promising, but the form I'm in, I wouldn't be too confident. Nice to see someone spotting the same bizarre markets as me! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW1970 Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami Going further back to late 2005, you can add another 17 matches to the under 69.5 first serve list. From Paris Masters last year to last week at Indian Wells, Ljubicic has twice got over 69.5% first serve in his last 34 matches. That is quite conclusive, stats-wise. That statistic includes Paris, Master's Cup, Aussie Open, Chennai, Doha, Marseille and Indian Wells, in fact all the tournaments Ljubicic has played since October 2005. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canaletto Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami Sadly despite Federer's brilliance the men's game is becoming bland. He is battering the Croat and there is nobody who is even close to Federer at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canaletto Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami .....He broke the FED and the Croat had a golden opportunity in the 2nd set tie break and blew it again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami Yeah Ljubicic has had a lot of chances and failed to convert them into a set:\. Still whatever happens it's been a very tight match and there's no way anyone could say he's taken a battering;). Ljubicics first serve percentage down at 52%, that looks like a great pick guys:clap :clap :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami This Croat is a choker, ain't he? :$ Watching him is exasperating at times... It's a shame he didn't even take a set off Federer considering the latter was hardly at his best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW1970 Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami 55% in the end. Did well to get back to that, he was down at 46% at one point. Ridiculous odds from Unibet. Fair play to them for offering such an unusual market. Ljubicic had only got a better percentage than that in 2 of his previous 37 ATP matches, so don't know where they got the 69.5% from. Suspect it had something to do with the 74% he served v Federer at Indian Wells. That was such a short match, though, and totally unreflective of what the true percentage should have been. Somewhere around 58-60% I would think, from the figures I collated. Well done Randall on a inspired pick. Just glad I got on it myself, too! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canaletto Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami Mr. I, 3 - 0 in my book is a beating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 2, 2006 Share Posted April 2, 2006 Re: ATP/WTA Miami Mr. I, 3 - 0 in my book is a beating. OK then, strange book:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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