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Value Estimations v1.1


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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 28.01.2006. #34 Gillingham vs Rotherham Rotherham @4.00 2.8/10 (11.11 €) Ladbrokes #35 Huddersfield vs Odlham Oldham X2 @1.80 10.0/10 (39.69 €) Sportingodds #36 Grismby vs Peterborough Peterborough(+1/2) @1.85 5.3/10 (21.04 €) Bet365 #37 Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers Draw @3.40 3.7/10 (14.69 €) Stan James #38 Rushden vs Oxford Oxford X2 @1.50 10.0/10 (39.69 €) Sportingodds #39 Wycombe vs Stockport Stockport @8.00 2.2/10 (8.73 €) Coral #40 Cambridge vs Gravesend Gravesend @3.1 9.3/10 (38.86 €) Sportingodds #41 Canvey vs Burton Burton @3.00 6.1/10 (25.49 €) Ladbrokes #42 Crawley vs Morecambe Morecambe @2.60 6.9/10 (28.83 €) Ladbrokes #43 Scarborough vs Dagenham Dagenham @2.75 10.0/10 (41.78 €) Ladbrokes #44 Woking vs York Draw @3.40 4.2/10 (17.55 €) Coral

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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 27.01.2006. #33 Barnsley(+1/2) @1.85 +8.50 (+35.51 €) 28.01.2006. #34 Rotherham @4.00 -2.8 (-11.11 €) #35 Oldham X2 @1.80 -10.0 (-39.69 €) #36 Peterborough(+1/2) @1.85 +4.51 (+21.04 €) #37 Lincoln Draw @3.40 -3.7 (-14.69 €) #38 Oxford X2 @1.50 -10.0 (-39.69 €) #39 Stockport @8.00 -2.2 (-8.73 €) #40 Gravesend @3.1 -9.3 (-38.86 €) #41 Burton @3.00 +12.2 (+50.97 €) #42 Morecambe @2.60 +11.04 (+46.13 €) #43 Dagenham @2.75 +17.50 (+73.12 €) #44 Woking Draw @3.40 -4.2 (-17.55 €)

start bank [€]1000.00
stake [€]1450.07
profit [€]-116.13
balance [€]883.87
yield [%]-8.01
bets44
winners19
average odds2.61
strike rate0.43
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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 31.01.2006. #46 Sunderland vs M'brough M'brough @2.6 10.0/10 ( 43.36€) Paddy Power #47 Fulham vs Tottenham Fulham @2.87 10.0/10 ( 43.36€) Bet365 #48 Brighton vs Burnley Draw @3.25 2.8 (12.14€) Bet365 #49 Cardiff vs Milwall Milwall X2 @ 1.97 10.0 (43.36€) Ladbrokes #50 Ipswich vs Leeds Leeds @2.6 7.5/10 (32.52€) Stan James #51 Plymouth vs Southampton Draw @3.25 8.1 (35.12€) Paddy Power #52 Preston vs C Palace Draw @3.25 4.2/10 (18.21€) Bet365

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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 #46 M'brough @2.6 +16.00 (+69.37 €) #47 Fulham @2.87 +18.70 (+81.08 €) #48 Brighton Draw @3.25 +6.30 (27.32 €) #49 Milwall x2 @1.97 +9.70 (+42.06 €) #50 Leeds @2.6 -7.50 (-32.52 €) #51 Plymouth Draw @3.25 -8.10 (-35.12 €) #52 Preston Draw @3.25 -4.20 (-18.21 €) #53 Swindon Draw @3.3 -3.40 (-14.74 €) #54 Macclesfield x2 @1.72 +6.05 (+26.22 €) #55 Cambridge @5 -2.20 (-9.54 €)

start bank [€]1000.00
stake [€]1755.55
profit [€]3.07
balance [€]1003.07
yield [%]0.17
bets55
winners24
average odds2.69
strike rate0.44
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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 #55 Aston Villa @7.5 -3.10 (-15.55 €) #56 Bolton @2.5 -5.20 (-26.08 €) #57 Sheff Utd x2 @1.66 +6.60 (+33.10 €)

start bank [€]1000.00
stake [€]1847.33
profit [€]-5.45
balance [€]994.55
yield [%]-0.30
bets58
winners25
average odds2.75
strike rate0.43
ops, red letters again :sad
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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 04.02.2006. #61 M'brough vs Aston Villa Aston Villa x2 @1.57 10.0/10 (51.51 €) Bet365 #62 Newcastle vs Portsmouth Portsmouth(+1/2) @2 5.5/10 (28.33 €) Bet365 #63 Burnley vs Plymouth Plymouth x2 @1.72 10.0/10 (51.51 €) Sportingodds #64 Stoke vs Preston Preston @2.5 10.0/10 ( 51.51 €) Stan James #65 Blackpool vs Nottm Forest Blackpooll @2.6 5.9/10 (30.39 €) Premierbet #66 Chesterfield vs Gillingham Gillingham x2 @1.9 10.0/10 ( 51.51 €) Sportingodds #67 Rotherham vs Hartlepool Draw @3.25 4.9/10 (25.24 €) Ladbrokes #68 Yeovil vs Southend Yeovil @2.65 2.9/10 (14.94 €) Centrebet

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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 04.02.2006. #69 Wrexham vs Wycombe Wycombe x2 @1.5 10.0/10 ( 51.51 €) Sportingodds #70 Barnet vs Shrewsbury Shrewsbury @3.2 3.0/10 (15.45 €) Bet365 #71 Bristol Rovers vs Bury Buey x2 @2.1 10.0/10 (51.51 €) Sportingodds #72 Notts County vs Grimsby Grimsby @2.87 2.8/10 (14.42 €) Premierbet #73 Oxford vs Rochdale Rochdale @3 10.0/10 (51.51 €) Ladbrokes #74 Peterborough vs Chelthenham Draw @3.25 6.7/10 (34.51 €) VC #75 Torquay vs Leyton Orient Draw @3.25 4.8/10 (24.72 €) Bet365

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Re: Value Estimations v1.1 This is enough. I was ~70 units down with this stupid system and I'm back to may old one. I included in this one bookies percentage (1/odds) and that was the reason for too many big bets, especially double chance (most of them were 10/10)

start bank [€]1000.00
stake [€]2486.03
profit [€]-342.00
balance [€]658.00
yield [%]-13.76
bets75
winners29
average odds2.69
strike rate0.39
I also noticed that I have almost equal strike rate, so it looks like logical solution to stick with higher odds, which was the case with the old system. :(
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