harry_rag Posted May 7 Share Posted May 7 It's the penultimate round of games in Germany, my favourite league perhaps for goalscorer betting. The ELO ratings are here. https://www.punterslounge.com/football/elo-ratings/german-bundesliga/ @tschurchy not sure if there's an issue with the formatting or it's just a change in approach? Share here if you're having a bet on any of these games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 10 Author Share Posted May 10 I do like the 5:30 B2 games on a Friday for an off-menu bet. Glatzel is a bit of a beast when it comes to scoring. 4/1 e/w first goal with Sky Bet looks a good bet. The first price looks fair at worst but the "place" terms (1/3 the odds) trounce the best price 4/5 anytime and would be a system bet. His "true" odds based on a simple take on his starts this season are 1.87 to score and 4.66 to score first. My spreadsheet says 1.91 anytime and 5.5 first for this game. As I say, getting place odds of 2.33 is the clincher here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 10 Author Share Posted May 10 Teixeira (Magdeburg) a pick in the other game. 10/3 365 if you can get on, anything down to 11/4 more than decent. A system bet. Has one goal from just 4 starts for them this season, a pen, and likely to be taking them tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 12 Author Share Posted May 12 It's an interesting line up that Leverkusen are fielding! I'd say Boniface was a decent enough bet at 13/10 best bookies price so 2.48 on the exchange strikes me as very generous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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