NFL Week 15 - Predictions

[harry_rag]

Week 15. How time flies! Let's see if we can muster up a profit between us on this lot.

[PercyP]

Week 14 Results

Another profitable week, despite the Ravens missing by one point and the Raiders bet being a push.

Picks 5 Won 3 Drew 1 Lost 1, Staked 30 points, Returned 41.39 points for a profit of 11.39 points.

ATS YTD record

Picks 70 = W37 D5 L28 – staked 420.00 points – returned 890.54 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +470.54 points

1. Ravens to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11 – Ravens win by 6 in overtime = LOST

Whist I chose the Rams last week, I believe the Ravens will take care of things this week. The Ravens are well rested coming off a bye, they have home advantage and Lamar Jackson and their defence are playing really well. The Rams will be travelling West to East and will be playing in a colder environment. The Ravens won but their defence was poor allowing 410 yards of total offence.

2. Raiders to win ATS +3.0 points @ 10/11 – The lost scoring game of the season saw the Vikings win 3-0 = DRAW

The Raiders have played so much better having fired their coach. At home I think the Raiders will be able to out muscle the Vikings. The Raiders defence was excellent, but their offence was dreadful.

3. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 –  Lawrence suits up but Browns win by 4 (31-27) = WON

The Jags losing Trevor Lawrence will be huge. They are playing against the best defence in the NFL. I can’t see the Jags scoring more than 14. So I shall take the Browns at home. Trevor Lawrence didn't look like himself, which is understandable given the fact that he was playing on one good leg. With Lawrence compromised, the Browns defence pressured him forcing several wayward passes.

 4. Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1 – Bears win 28-13 = WON

In week 11 the Lions came back in the last quarter to win 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff had a total meltdown in that game with three interceptions. Playing in the cold and windy City, Goff will not be comfortable and dreading facing this team again. The Bears defence dominated the Lions in the second half holding them to just 76 yards offence.

5. Bronco’s to win ATS +2.5 points @ 1/1 – Bronco’s win 24-7 = WON

Alert – I am picking the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson. Am I mad?

 The Chargers are just too reliant on their QB Justin Herbert and he will be under a lot of pressure from an improving Bronco’s defence. The Chargers defence is one of the worst in the NFL particularly against the pass (31/32) so I hope Russell Wilson can throw the ball without any interceptions. The Bronco’s are showing the better all-round form. The Bronco’s defence continues to be excellent, with the Chargers 0 from 12 on third downs.