harry_rag Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 Week 5 for anyone who wants to go early. Just seeing how close to break even I managed to get for week 4! MinellaWorksop and Torque 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PercyP Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 Week 4 Results As soon as Deshaun Watson was ruled out just before kick-off, I knew the bets were in trouble. Add to that Joe Burrow’s poor performance and the Steelers inept display, week 4 is best forgotten about. ATS - Won 2 Lost 3 Staked 30 points. Returned Nil for a loss of -30.00 points ATS YTD record - Picks 20 = W9 D2 L9 - staked 120.00 points – returned 15.54 resulting in a seasonal 2023 loss of -104.46 points 1. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21 Browns lost Deshaun Watson before kick-off it was game over. Baltimore win 28-3 LOST 2. Bengals to win ATS -2.0 points @ 10/11 No signs of form this week 3-27 LOST 3. Vikings to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 No luck about this performance Vikings won easily 21-13 WON 4. Steelers to win ATS - 3.0 points @ 10/11 Steelers hammered 30-6 LOST 5. Rams to win Moneyline @ 1/1 Rams win in overtime 29-23 bet WON Lets hope week 5 is better. harry_rag and Torque 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 5, 2023 Author Share Posted October 5, 2023 No play for me tonight, Robinson Jr the only potential system pick and too short for me at a best price 21/20. Odds against looks decent on this season's stats but not if you look back to last year. Almost certain scorer if I'm swerving him but can't back 'em all! MinellaWorksop 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 5, 2023 Share Posted October 5, 2023 Just the two for the first game of the week. 39pts R. Johnson to score a TD @ 4.14 2pts T. Scott to score a TD @ 13.74 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PercyP Posted October 6, 2023 Share Posted October 6, 2023 Week 5 Picks 1. Jets to win ATS +2.5 points @ 10/11 The Jets have played some strong opponents. Denver will be a nice change. Their defence will enjoy feasting on Russell Wilson and in a low scoring game give me the Jets with the points. 2. Bengals to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 I shall stick with the Bengals even after last week’s poor performance. A loss in this game would mean their season is over. 3. 49Ers to win ATS -3.50 points @ 10/11 The 49Ers are extremely talented. At home they are almost invincible. 4. Steelers to win ATS +4.0 points @ 10/11 I cannot believe I am picking the Steelers again after last week’s inept performance. Previous games against the Ravens have always been close. Home advantage, a mean defence and injuries to the Ravens gives the advantage to the Steelers. 5. Dolphins to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11 Playing in the heat of Miami is always tough. The Giants could not stop Seattle sacking Daniel Jones 11 times last week. I am expecting Miami to go big (32-35 points). Bet: 10 x 1 point trebles 5 x 3 point 4 timers 5 point accumulator 30 points staked All prices Bet365 MinellaWorksop and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinellaWorksop Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Results from last week, Home Team: 0/3, P/L: -3.00pts Away Team: 3/3, P/L: +6.30pts Some tightly contested (and priced) games this week. Let's see how it goes. Home Team: New England Patriots 1.83 Bet365 Away Team: Houston Texans 2.20 Bet365 The Patriots play at home against the New Orleans Saints who I am looking to oppose again this week. The Texans play away at the Atlanta Falcons. The Texans riding a wave of confidence and long may it continue while the Falcons lost last week at Wembley stadium so with the added travel and losing last time out are worth opposing also. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Did quite a few bets and soke free bets to follow, which I'll likely use on games tonight. Td acca, just under 25/1 Diggs, l Jackson, t Hill, aj brown, kelce Acca 5/1 Bills (-5.5), Lions (-5.5), Dolphins (-7.5), cowboys/49ers 41pts+ Bills win (-6.5), Bills 2 tds and diggs 1st team td Lions win (-5.5), Montgomery 1st TD Ravens win, 2 tds and Andrews 1st tm TD harry_rag and MinellaWorksop 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Bills absolutely stinking the place out, after destroying Dolphins last week, typical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 8, 2023 Author Share Posted October 8, 2023 Only 3 bets for me tonight. On the one hand, feels like a lot of work for so few bets, on the other hand, who wants a system that finds too many apparently value bets! Robinson evens at Atlanta Conner 10/11 at Arizona Williams 19/20 at LA Rams Good luck all. MinellaWorksop and Torque 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Missed the London game again. Starting today with the Giants at the Dolphins. 28pts D. Jones to score a TD @ 4.23 27pts B. Berrios to score a TD @ 4.72 25pts D. Smythe to score a TD @ 5.31 35pts W. Robinson to score a TD @ 7.27 50pts J. Hill to score a TD @ 10.80 10pts A. Ingold to score a TD @ 17.17 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Eagles at the Rams up next for me. I wanted to get on Hurts but there's not enough in the price. 35pts T. Higbee to score a TD @ 4.14 17pts T. Atwell to score a TD @ 4.33 23pts T. Atwell to score a TD @ 4.43 12pts B. Hopkins to score a TD @ 23.54 MinellaWorksop and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 Last game of the night is the Cowboys at the 49ers. 48pts C. McCaffrey to score a TD @ 1.59 17pts B. Aiyuk to score a TD @ 2.92 23pts B. Cooks to score a TD @ 5.02 31pts D. Prescott to score a TD @ 6.88 10pts K. Turpin to score a TD @ 10.80 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 9, 2023 Author Share Posted October 9, 2023 @Torque Looks like a decent return for you last night if my quick look at the scores is anything to go by. Just the one winner for me. SPIN not up with prices yet so I can't be definitive on who might or might not be a potential system bet but, off the 3 likely candidates, Jacobs and Jones look too short to me. I've taken 6/5 for Adams with Hills (odds on in most places) with the inherent gamble on his fitness (expected to start despite a shoulder injury last week). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 9, 2023 Share Posted October 9, 2023 1 hour ago, harry_rag said: @Torque Looks like a decent return for you last night if my quick look at the scores is anything to go by. Just the one winner for me. SPIN not up with prices yet so I can't be definitive on who might or might not be a potential system bet but, off the 3 likely candidates, Jacobs and Jones look too short to me. I've taken 6/5 for Adams with Hills (odds on in most places) with the inherent gamble on his fitness (expected to start despite a shoulder injury last week). It was a good night - largely thanks to Turpin. Still down on the season but I'm not that surprised given some of the odds I've been taking. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 9, 2023 Author Share Posted October 9, 2023 2 hours ago, harry_rag said: SPIN not up with prices yet so I can't be definitive on who might or might not be a potential system bet but, off the 3 likely candidates, Jacobs and Jones look too short to me. I've taken 6/5 for Adams with Hills (odds on in most places) with the inherent gamble on his fitness (expected to start despite a shoulder injury last week). Adams franked as a system bet for what it's worth, the other 2 as "no bet". Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 10, 2023 Share Posted October 10, 2023 The Adams price looks good @harry_rag I've tried to get similar but looking like I'll have to miss out. There's only two others I like and they're both dogs so every chance of two losers tonight. 6pts J. Love to score a TD @ 5.02 8pts J. Deguara to score a TD @ 18.15 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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