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I've decided to give this its own thread.

So as not to mess up the daily threads.

I hope nobody minds.

7.30 Ohi
Hakuai Coral
Each way
Debut for new yard.
Two wins this year and beaten favourite five times over last year. Consistent pattern of placed runs.
Wins have been early in March and February.
Unplaced last few runs.

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Previous runners both unplaced 

 

Kanazawa 8.15

Figures

067-62897600900099000900999070-9967601

Yamaichi ledgend

Win

Form came from nowhere to win on debut for new yard on first visit to track. Just one previous place back in January.

Quick turnaround to attempt repeat. Could easily bounce against horse on a four timer.

Opened up at 18/1

Favourite is 1/10

Edited by sporting sam
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OHI. 1055

Unendlichkeit

Malabacat

Both win

 

Unendlichkeit

Touched off here on last run by a neck reoposes same runner here. Very high draw and may be able to come over the top.

Third horse home won yesterday.

Malabacat off the track 347 days but a winner here prior to that in only other recorded run.

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As always happens the prices are huge and the unmentioned winner of the previously referred to race has opened up at 14/1

So I'm doing all three in a combination forecast.

OHI 1055

Win Brioso

Unendlichkeit

Malabacat

Combination forecast 

There are little snippets of further information on the betting sites which give just a few more morsels about the runners race records.

 

Edited by sporting sam
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Win brioso was placed at 18/1.

Others unplaced.

conclusion

I had made my choices before the prices were out.

I don't think you can feesably do that as once they are out you can then make a decision based on the prices.

Horses that won last time out are going off at huge prices. That is where a lot of the value im getting lies.  But potentially you are blowing in the wind without that vital information .

 

In future I'll alert you to a race I'm checking out then put up the selections once the prices are up.

So stopping for now but the thread is up now and if I find value I'll post on it again.

 

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OHI 1020

151121830-509

Maen jaran

Each way

( Win if shorter than 5/1)

Went on a run of multiple wins culminating in a win here 364 days ago. 11/5/22

All wins for same jockey, switched yard at that point and just placed once.

Switched to original yard and returns to scene of last win.

Reunited with jockey who won 4 of his last six rides on this horse.

**********************

Beaten a neck fourth at 11/2

 

Edited by sporting sam
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1250

OHI

Kura Barbatos

Each way 

Never run here before.

Only Win last year under today's rider.

Turned out within seven days of last run.

A big outsider, drawn in stall 7. Most of these have collaborative form and ran 20 days ago 2/7 favourite bolted up here by seven lengths last run.

Edited by sporting sam
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OHI 1250

Haavitipei

Hiro suinge jack

Transcend past.

Combination forecast

Haavitipei

Each way

****************************

Right but wrong

Correct forecast but did not pay much as winner was evens.

 

Hiro singe jack

Beat

Transcend past

 

 

 

Edited by sporting sam
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Two selections in the night...

Morioka 3.45

Figures

88449425963897-0723232 

Nambu gassan

Win

This runner went closest beaten a neck latest, best form under this jockey.

Beaten favourite last two runs.

Figures8-78683717974-689008894

Magnifique Briller

Each way

Second runner won at Kawasaki 364 days ago and fourth behind this runner  in a decent return to form on fourth run for new stable on a winning cycle.

Edited by sporting sam
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Â¥58.073.45 MoriokaFull Result

1stNambu Gassan (JPN) (1)11/10fav

2nd nk Magnifique Briller (JPN) (6)8/1

3rd 3L Idalys (JPN) (3)50/1

4th1.75LEscapade (JPN) (8)3/1OFF 3.45.8 RanTrainer Koji SakuradaJockey Yu SuzukiOwner 15owner Of Nambu GassanCSF- ¥11.60

Edited by sporting sam
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Morioka 6am

Pic rumbassa & Albahr 

reverse forecast 

Pic rumbassa

Win

( String of placed efforts holds course and trip win in CV)

Al bahr

Each way

Godolphin runner.

Wide margin winner over trip at Mizuno two runs ago.

Switched to this track and no show latest. Obvious chance if returning to recent form.

*********************************

Both unplaced 👎

Edited by sporting sam
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Kawasaki 8.30

Letter Man

Win

Luxe Condor

Each way

Luxe Condor / Letter Man 

Reverse forecast

Letter man just failed to win by a neck at urwara. Luxe Condor five lengths back in third.

 

* Luxe condor just failed second @ 12/1

Edited by sporting sam
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Morioka 1015

Blue excellence

Win

Godolphin Chaser turned flat horse landed course win latest by 2.5 lengths, bid to follow up.

Chiou pet

Each way 

Keeping to a strict early/ mid/ late month run cycle has yielded three late month runs including latest on 30/4.

Broken with cycle  missing early run and runs here now on middle leg. Place chances

Reverse forecast

 

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2 minutes ago, sporting sam said:

Morioka 1015

Blue excellence

Win

Godolphin Chaser turned flat horse landed course win latest by 2.5 lengths, bid to follow up.

Chiou pet

Each way 

Keeping to a strict early/ mid/ late month run cycle has yielded three late month runs including latest on 30/4.

Broken with cycle  missing early run and runs here now on middle leg. Place chances

Reverse forecast

 

Blue excellence

Each way

Has opened up at 15/2

Chou pet

Win

Has opened up at 5/4 !

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Kanazawa 7.15

Mittelrhein

20/1 plus

Each way

Hitherto a wide margin big odds on winner twice on only runs for new yard.

No show on debut for new yard latest.

Improvement possible on this second run. Went off a similar price to today last time.

Edited by sporting sam
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Kawasaki 10.55

Figures

9085802516-2222

Marino Venus

Win

Fourth on four consecutive races starting with a 50/1 defeat until beaten favourite latest. Last win defeated dermo nymph in November who won here yesterday by 1  lengths beating an odds on runner 4 clear of the field.

Noah Black

Each way 

Patient build up and very lightly raced.Third three times since win in February.

Lots of collaborative form in this race linking the runners.

Edited by sporting sam
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