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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

AH Strategy (+2u)


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HI there, I would like to track here my strategy. It is kind of model however , the software sets only initial lines, me revise it manually. The rules: - 90% Asian Handicaps . - Leagues: England Premier-3rd, France, Spain, Italy, Germany (Holland?) - Bookies: 90% Pointbet and Pinnacle, sometimes very reliable bookies allowing MB transfers - Time of Posting: fixed. Probably: Tuesday, Wendesday 20:00 CET Time will verify it - Number of Picks: 400-750 a year - Money Managament: Fixed 10/10 and Kelly (will be running both to find the better one) Results: Number Of Picks: 36 (3 voided) Average Odds: 2.00 Average Stake: 7.5 Correct Picks: 16 (48.5%) Stakes: 264 Return: 266 (257) Profit: +2.5(-7.2) Yield: +1% (-3%) _________________

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Re: Asian Handicaps

Siena Cagliari ----- -1/4 ----- 2 ---- 2,06 --- 6,9
Ascoli Milan ----- +1/2 ----- 2 ---- 1,40 --- 10,0
Parma Palermo ----- 0:0 ----- 2 ---- 2,19 --- 8,0
Atletico Saragossa ----- -1/2 ----- 1 ---- 1,73 --- 10,0
Seville Santader ----- -1/2 ----- 1 ---- 1,67 --- 9,5
Newcastle ManYoo ----- +1/2 ----- 2 ---- 1,73 --- 8,1
Duisburg Dortmund ----- +1/4 ----- 1 ---- 1,92 --- 7,9
Nantes Metz ----- -1/2 ----- 1 ---- 1,96 --- 9,3
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  • 2 weeks later...

Re: Asian Handicaps

Sheffield Ipswich ----- -0,5 ---- 1 ---- 1,96 ---- 6,79
Newcastle Everton ----- -0,5 ---- 1 ---- 1,7 ---- 6,62
Malaga Espaniol ----- -0,25 ---- 1 ---- 2 ---- 9,89
WBA Wigan ----- -0,5 ---- 1 ---- 2,22 ---- 6,09
Toulose Le Mans ----- -0,5 ---- 1 ---- 2,1 ---- 7,52
Toulose won't be included in statistic since only Nordicbet limiting stakes offers this juicy odds. I have doubts to WBA and Malaga since odds fluctuated in their opponents' favour. It will be better to exclude these in stats as well. However, my model pointed this one as valubet so it is worth noticing. I have not found anything interesting in Serie A, ENGLeague One and League Two. Edit: I decided to back Malaga and WBA. Let's see what weekend will bring.
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Re: Asian Handicaps

Livorno Roma ----- (+0,25) ---- 1 ---- 2,055 ---- 9,4
Doncaster Scunthorpe ----- (0:0) ---- 2 ---- 2,18 ---- 3,9
Bournemouth Swindon ----- (-0,5) ---- 1 ---- 2,10 ---- 4,5
Rochdale Mansfield ----- (-0,75) ---- 2 ---- 2,06 ---- 6,6
Edit: Written fair odds instead of bookie's odds at first next to Boutnemouth
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