2020 PGA Championship

[GangGreen127]

So, finally the first major of the year even though it is August. With a field so stacked and some potential weather in Northern California, this should be a really fun week of golf. I expect TPC Harding Park to favor the bomb & gouge technique you see from many of the American players but at the same time, that rough and wind can be unforgiving. While there's room for going all DeChambeau off every tee, I still feel more comfortable with strong approach players and guys I can *mostly* trust to hit fairways. All of my picks are here but I am going to list them anyway. 

OUTRIGHT WINNERS

Xander Schuaffele (+2000): I don't know if any top player is more due for a major than X. I know Fader liked him last week and he did not disappoint, going top 10 once again. He's got five top-six major finishes in 11 tries and being a California native, I think he feels right at home. 0.5 units

Gary Woodland (+5000): This is a guy who has won majors on the West Coast before (2019 US Open) and is a big hitter than can also club down to hit fairways with the hybrid clubs. Feature a stinger that should get through the weather. An underrated scramble player for when he winds up in the rough, and ranks 25th in SG: Putting, which is higher than I expected to find. 0.2 units

Sungjae Im (+8500): Im is one of my favorite golfers on tour, so it is more so a pick based on that. I certainly love his demeanor and the way he hunts for every pin, but that could get him into danger here. Simply, +8500 is too high for the 2019 PGA rookie of the year and he's got enough talent for a tiny dart throw. 0.2 units

A few others I thought about: Brooks Koepka (+1100), Daniel Berger (+3000), Rickie Fowler (+3500) -- has to happen sometime, no?, 

FINISHING POSITION

2U Rory McIlroy Top 10 (+175) - I don't know, Rory and Top 10s seem to go together pretty well. I am looking to fade both Brooks and Bryson just based on value, but not McIlroy. 

3U Xander Schauffele Top 20 (-110) 

2U Gary Woodland Top 30 (+150)

3U Collin Morikawa Top 30 (+110) - Northern California native coming back home to play in his first major. one of the best approach players on tour, would also consider him for an outright bet. 

2U Jason Day Top 30 (+120) - Three straight top 10s. Even with parting with his swing coach, Day looks healthy. Also worth a look as top Aussie. 

1U Tony Finau Top 30 (+138) - Tony can't close but he continues to impress and up until WGC, was putting up strong finishes. Thing he's good enough this week to compete in that upper part of the leaderboard. 

MATCHUPS 

Justin Thomas (-143) vs. Jon Rahm 

 

I will have some more I am sure. Good luck to everyone getting into the action this week! 

[Fader]

My idea was always to go for Koepka for this. It was mainly the reason for tipping up Koepka last week because I know he likes to have a good tournament prior to an Open. It was the perfect result for him really because if he won it, I wouldn't have liked him this week. Much like I don't like Thomas this week. I took Koepka at 11/1 on Friday after his first round at St Jude. I thought that his price would drop after a good tournament, however looking tonight he is still 11/1.

It's a short price but I'll be taking him without any each-way options. I thought about Xander Schauffele but he just seems to throw that one bad round in. If he was 22/1 or above I would be on him but 18s I am leaving him this week. It's too small for me. My second pick will be Dustin Johnson. I eluded to DJ being slightly overpriced a couple of weeks back and he's slowly getting back to form. 2nd in this event last year, he certainly has the talent to keep with Koepka.

Next up Cantlay. I feel like Patrick is very close to winning again. A T3 position last year. Morikawa is my next pick. I just think Morikawa had the perfect game for this event. I was trying to decide between him and Hovland but I think if it came down to the final few holes, Collin would hold his nerve far better than Hovland in my eyes. 

Two 40/1 shots next are Daniel Berger and Jason Day. Berger is in brilliant form right now and although he didn't perform in this event last year, I just feel like when you look at the stats, much like DJ, he is primed to deliver soon.

4pts B.Koepka to win PGA Championship 11/1 sportingbet
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2pts E/W D.Johnson to win PGA Championship 22/1 willhill (9 places, 1/5th)
2pts E/W P.Cantlay to win PGA Championship 25/1 willhill (9 places, 1/5th)
2pts E/W C.Morikawa to win PGA Championship 30/1 willhill (9 places, 1/5th)
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1pt E/W D.Berger to win PGA Championship 40/1 willhill (9 places. 1/5th)
1pt E/W J.Day to win PGA Championship 40/1 willhill (9 places. 1/5th)
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0.5pts E/W S.Lowry to win PGA Championship 60/1 (9 places. 1/5th)
0.5pts E/W T.Lewis to win PGA Championship 125/1 (9 places. 1/5th)
0.5pts E/W C.Champ to win PGA Championship 150/1 betfred (9 places. 1/5th)

Golf 2020 +134.74pts