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Short/Lows odds In-Play Strategy


cking77

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Hello all, I just joined this forum and am new to betting. I started matched betting in June and it's gone well and have only recently started placing a few small bets using Betbull and small change from my matched betting profits. By small I mean mostly £1 and £2 bets. I've probably lost slightly more than I've won. Out-and-out betting is something I've never done before, nor intended to get in to when I started matched betting. Anyway..

Over the last week or so I found Bet fairs ACCA Edge feature appealing after having been placing ACCAs on Bet bull. First ACCA on Bet fair was a 13 fold on football with each multiple at odds below 2 apart from one at 2.30 which was the only one that let me down. ACCA Edge returned my stake. My next couple of attempts were pretty amateurish with higher folds. What I'd done first was use the Bet bull ACCA Lab tool to pick matches at short odds. Some of the selections it gives you have a 5 game history between the teams which I used to influence my selection. I only picked those with very short odds, and a solid history. 

This got me thinking about being able to use some kind of short odds strategy to make money if i'm being honest. Bet bull was being flaky on my next few attempts and I could not get it to place my bets using the ACCA Lab so I used it to build the ACCAs and placed them on Bet fair. Placed a couple that lost.

Sorry, i'm getting to the point. On Bet fair placing these ACCAs I tended to want to build them with selections that were starting on the same day which exposed me to the In-Play selections and I thought, if i want to make a few quid, why not stake a £5 on an in-play selection at 80' minutes to play so i tried it, won, bet the returned stake on another, won, did it again and again and took this to £23 over a few hours and with 11 bets. I then withdrew £18 in profit and started the process again using the remaining £5.

Being completely honest and maybe a bit naive, is it not possible to do this with greater sums? Whilst I was doing this I literally imagined the amounts I was staking in multiples of 100 and based all my decisions on whether I would be willing to do that in reality..If I could afford to lose what i was betting. I could afford to lose the pounds I was experimenting with at the time but still didn't want to, However now, I'm using money that I've won and if it's possible to take this further is all I'll using to do it with. Money that I've won, which was another factor I was keeping in mind.

If anyone is doing this I'd be interested to hear how it's gone/going. I'd also be interested to know if it's even possible as i can't see the bookies standing for it and gubbing bettors that apply this tactic. Even though you may lose at times and they get the stake back, they are only ever getting back what you've already won from them so long as you are only using winnings. Perhaps it's better to do this in betting exchanges in that case? But then you're not going to be able to stake as big?  

 

Edited by cking77
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:welcome to Punters Lounge @cking77  :cheers 

I'm totally against matched betting, it's a cancer of the industry and will never be supported on Punters Lounge. We're all about helping punters to become shrewd punters that can take the bookies to the cleaners over a period of time, but matched betting is a real big problem and I hate it with a passion.

As for your system/strategy - it's dangerous at best. It seems like you don't have bankroll management skills, but of course you've told us you're very new so that would be a given.

My advice is to paper trade anything you are doing and spend some time going through the mountain of system threads on here, where you will learn a lot. Please do not raise your stakes. I realise the temptation but you'd need at least 2000 bets to realistically know where you stand and how viable the system is.

There's a ton of very experienced punters here who no doubt will be more than happy to guide you as I've tried to do above. :ok 

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