Wolves Draw & Dist IV's

[Valiant Thor]

2.20 Wolves

 

4 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each

3 horses whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each

Total 5.5 or 9/2

Thats an estimated fair price I would want for the above average drawn horses (estimated from past trials of over thousands of races)

Taken as a whole the betting market is a good indicator of a horses chance of winning (minus the bookies vig) so lets combine with the betting forcast

Awesome Allen 15/8 Fav may well win but with at least 2 strong contenders underpriced (imo)

A Sure Welcome 13/2 fair price and 2nd fav

It Must Be Faith   7/1 fair price and 3rd fav

Major Crispies 14/1 not fancied

Possible dutch win bet on A Sure Welcome & It Must Be Faith or an ew bet on 1 of the 2

 

 

Edited March 28, 2018 by Valiant Thor
Race Time

[Valiant Thor]

2.50 Wolves

4 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each

1 horse whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each

Total 4.5 or 7/2

Dors Law 12/1 not really fancied but a BF

Tenby Two 10/1  again not fancied but BF

Top Offer 14/1 unfancied

Let Me In 7/1 fair price but  7lb claimer a negative

New Street 3/1 rated average is just under what id want but looks the best option if having a bet

Edited March 28, 2018 by Valiant Thor
race time