Racing Chat - Wednesday Jan 18

[BillyHills]

[robertob]

2.30 Lingfield: Epsom Day @ 11/1 Bet365

This lad looks primed for a huge run. Admittedly more often than not disappointing since getting off the mark in a maiden over CD pretty much a year ago, he finally seems to drop down to a manageable mark as well as down to class 6 for the very first time. It's seems significant that George Bakers is booked for the ride as Mongan & Baker enjoy a 33% strike rate together (36% at Lingfield!). 

5.20 Kempton: Dreaming Of Paris @ 15/8 Skybet

The filly was quite unlucky not to get off the mark on her debut at Lingfield, though if pushed harder in the closing stages she probably would have got there. It was a wee bit disappointing that she only managed a third place the next time, but not upped in trip to a very suitable 1m around Kempton she looks impossible to oppose, only the wide draw a slight negative. 

6.50 Kempton: Paladin @ 8/1 Bet365

Paladin is on a hat-trick, albeit his last two wins came at Southwell in a lower class - nonetheless this looks a huge price, given it'll be only his second start over this trip, after he won over 12f a fortnight ago. It's obviously a different ground at Kempton, but he's already a course winner, though over shorter and his sire has a pretty fine record over CD with his offspring. So Paladin has a fair chance to overcome his new mark here.