flat racing sat 25th july (Inc Scoop6)

[richard-westwood]

just finished gigaset international stakes hcap at ascot ... heavens guest 99.39 suzis conniseur 99.35 speculative bid 99.25 I love tackling these big hcaps ....top two here have strong collateral form ties ....heavens guest was hsmpered at the back end of the race and may have finished a place better had it been a better run so off the same mark looks very interesting .....suzis conniseur was just behind heavens guest in 6th but not far off and hcaapper has dropped 2 lbs so that should help .....speculative bid is fav at 10/1 so a good benchmark in the ratings but at 16/1 and 25/1 the top two are fantastic value .....also both are drawn 1 and 2 ... which isnt perfect as sometimes draw favours high but as long as youve a rail it seems a big factor so they can pacemake each other ....nice bets heavens guest 5 pts win 16/1 lads suzis conniseur 5 pts win 25/1 lads

[richard-westwood]

york 330 skybet dash algar lad 99.56 kimbrella 99.52 grandads world 99.36 very tough race ... lots out of form or exposed so could be a shock result but top two here warrant serious respect and should run big races at decent prices ....kimbrella has done nothing wrong ....battled to win over 5f lto and has been raised 4 lb but has gone close over 6f in past off 1 lb lower so still looks very competitive given this is a weak race ....algar lad ran a cracker last but one over cd and has been raised .....ran a stinker lto at ascot but then so did quite a few horses with many bouncing back next time out ....if he can reproduce that previous york run ...wont be far away algar lad 5 pts win 11/1 corals kimbrella 5 pts win 10/1 bet365 and 4 x 1pt doubles with ascot race above ..just in case