General Election Turnout. Value Bet.

[GETT1NLOTS]

SkyBet are offering 8.00 on there being less than 55% turnout to vote at the next general election. I see this as a massive value bet. The lowest ever turnout was in 2001 when 59% voted. However with so many people being fed up of Blair, but not being able to bring themselves to vote for the other alternatives, I can see it dropping by another 4% this time. The war on Iraq is a major reason why so many die hard Labour voters will refuse to turn out. Some people point to the opportunity to postal vote being a big reason why turnout won't drop again but I disagree. Only the 'political class' (people who would have voted ANYWAY) will apply to vote by post. People who couldn't be bothered to get of their arse to vote don't care anyway - so I don't see this making a difference. What do you think? 8.00????

[GETT1NLOTS]

Re: General Election Turnout. Value Bet. The turnout was 70% in 1997. So voter apathy meant that an 11% drop in turnout occurred at the last election. I would only need this trend to continue from 59% > 55% for this vote to come off...... (only a 4% drop this time)..