irishbrain Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 I'm hoping at least one expert is able to tell me how the below calculator is able to generate tennis odds please? I am writing an essay. It uses a few stats that are easily available and isn't always accurate but in this example - Cilic v Baghdatis (US Open), it gave an accurate enough indication, albeit to 100% (no margin applied). I'm more interested in how it uses the numbers shown to give the odds, rather than how accurate it is. (The break point saving improvement = service points won % - break points saved %) Odds found online: Cheers! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted August 22, 2014 Share Posted August 22, 2014 Re: Calculating/generating tennis odds? No idea mate, hopefully someone else will be able to help you with this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TopJimmy Posted August 26, 2014 Share Posted August 26, 2014 Re: Calculating/generating tennis odds? From the first 3 numbers you can get an estimate of the % of points each player will win on their serve i.e. (1st serve% x First serve Win%) + ((100 - 1st serve%) x 2nd serve win%). For example if a player has a first serve % of 60% (and therefore a second serve% of 40%) and he wins 70% of points on first serve and 50% on his second serve this would mean he wins (0.6x0.7) + (0.4x0.5) = 0.62 or 62% of service points. Once you have this number for each player you can then calculate the probability of each player winning their service games. Once you have this you can then derive the probability of each player winning a set, and then the match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gamebred Posted September 7, 2014 Share Posted September 7, 2014 Re: Calculating/generating tennis odds? Does anyone know where I can locate the above calculator? Any help would be appreciated. Thank you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Apple_Pie Posted September 12, 2014 Share Posted September 12, 2014 Re: Calculating/generating tennis odds? I saw the same question on another forum :lol have you figured out the calculator? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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