Flat Racing 25th March

[chris34]

4.35 Southwell None of these are bomb proof and its not the easiest race to solve. Lyric Street comes here from a top yard that don’t have many runners on the flat let alone the fibresand (0 from 4 around here in last 5 years), shown little over hurdles recently, but returns to flat on a lenient looking mark but still only has a Newmarket maiden to his name, also not tries this surface before. Royal Alcor bolted in here last August off a 26lb lower mark, got a lot to do to overcome a mark this high despite continueing in good form this winter, more needed. Recession Proof has shown little over the sticks recently since returning after a lengthy layoff but is 1 from 1 around here in an AW bumper and is now 11lb lower than last handicap win. Returntobrecongill looks plenty high enough in the weights for now. Noguchi has been plying his trade in claimers recently and although clearly in good heart. ArrKid won over 2 miles over this course on penultimate start by 9 lengths in first time blinkers, 10lb higher and this looks tougher over slightly shorter after a lesser effort on polytrack latest. Blinkers remain and didn’t work last time out although potentially suited by a return to here. Carlanda has been beaten by Kingscombe the last 2 starts in 4 and 6 runners fields, this looks more competitive off a 2lb higher mark, likely to run his race but could be vunerable to someone better treated. For me the value probably lies with Storm Hawk likely to be a bigger price in the morning but even 16/1 looks good enough for now. Hasn’t been seen for nearly 2 days having run 3 awful races on polytrack and turf. Its worth noting Storm Hawk is 4 from 5 around here and is 3 from 3 over CD handicapper given him a chance as he is now 2lb below last winning mark around here and not seen around here since that win. If fit enough to do himself justice he is too big to ignore and would love to get the 3 places but we shall see! 1pt e/w Storm Hawk 16/1 coral

[richard-westwood]

Re: Flat Racing 25th March 325 south china excels 98.77 dancing freddie 98.68. imaginary diva 98.55 bookies seem to.have a general hand on.this but have underestimated china excels.. dancing freddie us a consistent fav but at 5/4 hes very poor value against china excels 6/1 ........china excel hasnt really shown best yet and looks nicely treated if can put things together .....more than capable of givin this fav a run for his money china excels 2pts e.w 6/1. bet365