Wednesday 4:40 > Fred Winter Handicap Hurdle

[Aidymac]

:ok

[richard-westwood]

Re: Wednesday 4:40 > Fred Winter Handicap Hurdle venturing out of my usual ratings to pure statistics here .......... this race is dominated by horses rated 124 -130 ........with something like 6-8 coming from that bracket and one of the ones outside that was classy flat horse ......this is a very strong stat ......5-8 won lto .....other 3 unplaced in grd 2 races .........all had been sired by group 1 horses ........all this seems to point to the paul nicholls trained katgary only negative stat I can see is long layoff ....4 monthes but nicholls can prepare them and this horse looked progressive when last seen and actually looks a class above these if he has trained on and is fit and ready to go ...another horse to fit the trends is orgilgo bay .........he has poor form but qualifys on most counts .....didn't win last time but ran unpl in grd 1 so still qualifys but would seriously need to improve but bookies have in first 5 betting so cant be that bad katgary 3pts win 10/1 betvic 1pt saver orgilgo bay 16/1 bet365