NBA Picks, Friday

[sani]

Golden State over Milwaukee (+6.5) @ 1.98 (www.pinnaclesports.com) Just seconds after watching Golden State lose to Dallas the other night i checked who they're playing next. When i saw it was Bucks, i just hoped spread wouldn't go over 10 pts. Here it is at 6.5 and i like it. In that last game it was terrible second half, a great night by Dirk, and several really bad calls by refs that lead to a Warriors loss. There are so many guys on GS roster who'll have to bounce back tonight after being bothered by foul trouble or poor shooting against Dallas. And there's also Troy Murphy, who could (or should) be back tonight. Let's check the other team. 0-13 on road vs West this season, how bad is that? If it wasn't for another Clippers meltdown in fourth, their last loss would be a huge one (this way it was 'only' by 8). Redd scored 31, Kukoc had 16, Gadzuric 15 in that last game. Maybe just one of those three can surpass his last game total tonight. And there's a maybe involved in that. Milwaukee is 6 games behind 8th placed Philadelphia in East with 15 to play, they don't really believe they can jump over 5 teams and qualify, do they? Their only wish is for Redd to come back this summer, so they might play for him tonight and try to get the ball in his hands as much as possible. Can anyone on Warriors' roster do anything to prevent a big night by Reddman? How about Mikael Pietrus? He did it against players better than Redd. And Warriors don't need to completely stop Redd, just slow him down a bit. Add the fact they can't possibly go 2/23 for three again, and you got yourself a nice mix. I was just talking to a friend who's a football tipster himself about the difference between teams that start season hoping to win but end it on a losing note and teams who start miserably but then they get a spark and suddenly improve. This game is a perfect example, isn't it? Even with less wins, Warriors are a much better team than Bucks. And they have better individuals as well. Tonight Warriors will play for fun and for pride, Bucks will play because season is 82 games (and not 67) long. If GS starts hitting shots early they can win it in first half. Key factor: This game is like stock exchange, with Warriors' value rising, and Bucks' dropping, and fast.

[TazaD]

Re: NBA Picks, Friday SA -12 League: 9-3 (10-2 this no...Av. win 21.3) home 10+ fav, 1 day off 10+ ats loss as away 4- fav. [sA] 5-1 (Av. win 21.0) if opp last @ home. 5-0 (Av. win 28.0!) if opp off any ats win. SA: 15-1 (Av. win 16.8) with rest off any road SU loss. (But loss was last game v. Denver) Atlanta have lost 6 straight by av. 14.5...They are allowing 110.4 in their last 5! SA allow just 84.5 @ home. This should be a blow out. Boston -7 League: 13-2 (Av. win 14.7) home 5+ fav, 1 day off 20+ ats loss as away -3 to +3. [bost] (3-0 this season by 10, 10 and 21) 6-0 (Av. win 16.7) f opp off any ats win. League: 13-22 (Av. loss 12.2) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 10+ ats win as away 4- dog. [Chic] 0-4 (Av. loss 22.7!) if opp off 10+ ats loss. Boston have beaten the Bulls by 4 away and 9 at home the last 2 meetings this season, both times without Walker in the team. Boston playing every bit like the 3rd seed in the East right now, will be too strong. Detroit -9 ..........Only if Hamilton plays! League: 13-2 (Av. win 14.7) home 5+ fav, 1 day off 20+ ats loss as away -3 to +3. [Det] (3-0 this season by 10, 10 and 21) 6-0 (Av. win 16.7) f opp off any ats win. (Yep, same situation as Boston) League: 17-28-1 (Av. looss 10.5) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 10+ ats win as home 4- dog. [indi] 2-8 (Av. loss 15.9) if opp off any ats loss as any away dog. Indi just 4-17 after scoring 100+ this season. They find it hard to put 2 scoring efforts together. Detroit will be pissed about allowing over 50% shooting and 100+ points @ Philli. Det won 88-76 @ Indi in Jan. Their D will pick up, and so will their scoring (as long as Hamilton returns). Good luck with the Warriors, sani. Like it alot :ok