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Arsenal V Hull City > Wednesday 4th December


Jase82

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Re: Arsenal V Hull City > Wednesday 4th December Curtis davis out for Hull. Not that arsenal weren't going to win anyway... I think Wenger could be rotating the squad for this game, and so maybe it would be worth laying some of the forwards. Giroud is 8/11 to score on betfair, ramsey 6/4 and Ozil around 2/1. Can always cover this with a bet if they start...

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Re: Arsenal V Hull City > Wednesday 4th December · Arsenal have won 83.3% of their home matches · Hull have lost 83%.3 of their away matches · Therefore Arsenal have an 83.3% chance of winning · Arsenal score an average of 2.17 goals per game and concede an avg of 0.83 (at home) · Hull score an avg of 0.83 goals per game and concede an avg of 2.17 (away) · Therefore I estimate the score to be Arsenal 2.17-0.83 rounded = 2-1 · There is a 50% chance that arsenal will keep a cleen sheet because they have kept 50% clean sheets at home, wheareas hull have failed to score in 50% of their away matches. · Arsenal have a 100% chance of scoring as they have scored in 100% of their home matches and hull have conceded in 100% of their away matches. Based on this evidence; I will advise the following bets: Arsenal to score Williamhill @1.05 Likelihood = 10/10 Arsenal to win williamhill @1.22 Likelihood = 9/10

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