WORLD ATHLETICS CHAMPIONSHIP 2013

[waynecoyne]

Apologies if there is a thread somewhere else but i couldn't find it. This starts in Russia at the weekend. I have been looking at the prices to try to find some value. Womens 800m I saw Brenda Martinez win in London and was impressed. She won in 1.58.19 and finished with a devastating final kick leaving the rest in her wake. Looking at the current odds she is 14/1 with Ladbrokes which looks a cracking price. Savinova the reigningworld and olympic championis about 3 to 1 on. She ran 12 times in 2011, 6 times in 2012 and only 2 times in 2013. At the price she is not worth backing. Niyonsaba is second in some lists distorting the market but is injured and will not run. She is the fastest this year: 1.56.72 Niyonsaba 1.57.26 Niyonsaba (Paris) 1.57.64 Akkaoui (Paris) 1.57.75 Johnson Montano (Paris) 1.58.18 Martinez 1.58.19 Martinez Johnson Montano usually plays catch as catch can and is pipped at the finish. If she runs more conservatively she could medaloreven win. Akkaoui has momentum and will be the fastest in the field this year. They can be backed at 25 and 16 respectively with Stan James and are worth small savers. Martinez is my main pick. She has only this year converted to 800 from1500 probably as it gives her her best chance of a medal. She usually takes it easy over the first lap winds up on the back straiight and then kicks for home. There is a danger someone like Johnson Montano could be too far ahead and not reeled in but i'll try to cover that with the saver. Recommended bets: Womens 800m 10 pts Brenda Martinez 14/1 Ladbrokes 2 pts Akkaoui 16/1 Stan James 1 pt win Johnson Montano Stan James 25/1

[waynecoyne]

Re: WORLD ATHLETICS CHAMPIONSHIP 2013 Mens 10,000 This takes place today with 35 runners including 4 ethiopians. Farah is everyone's favourite and best price 3/10 with the bookies. This may not be the forgone conclusion everyone seems to think it is. The fastest times this year are gebremeskel 26.51.02 and kuma 26.52.85 merga finished 3rd in 26.57.33 in the same race. There is a chance the ethiopians may try to work as a team against farah but this was suggested in the olympic 5,000 and they each ran for themselves, gebremeskel failing to keep with farah at the end of the race. I also think back to the last world championship when an unknown ethiopian jeilan beat farah. Jeilan has not been in form since and i will stick with the 2 fastest in the year. Recommended bet: 4 pts gebremeskel at 6/1 bet 365 2 pts kuma at 22/1 paddy power (25 with sportingbet)