100+ Jockeys Rated for All Weather Sprints

[Cowan]

After watching this video I have tried to find a sensible way to assess how good jockeys are for the races I look at and I have done this using the A/E stat. This is;

A/E = actual_number_of_winners_ridden_by_jockey / expected_number_of_winners actual_number_of_winners_ridden_by_jockey = This is easy to find. For example Raul Da Silva has had 74 rides of which 16 were winners. expected_number_of_winners = Worked out from the horses odds. If the horse is 4/1 then it has a 20% winning chance. By adding the winning chance of all the jockeys rides we get the expected number of winners. (If he rode five 4/1 shots then the expected number of winners would be 1 (0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2 = 1) For more: http://www.flatstats.co.uk/articles/jockey-ratings-who-is-the-best-jockey.html

The following list encompasses UK ALL WEATHER 3yo & 4yo HANDICAPS BETWEEN 5F to 7F between 2009 - 2012. A higher A/E value is best. The average A/E for all jockeys in the set is 0.695. [TABLE=width: 572] [TR] [TD]Jockey[/TD] [TD]Rides[/TD] [TD]Actual Wins[/TD] [TD]Expected Wins[/TD] [TD]WinStrike[/TD] [TD]SP_PL[/TD] [TD]A/E[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Da Silva, Raul[/TD] [TD]74[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]22%[/TD] [TD]39.33[/TD] [TD]1.51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Atkinson, Ross[/TD] [TD]50[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]14%[/TD] [TD]-0.67[/TD] [TD]1.41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mayor, Leonna[/TD] [TD]51[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]0.5[/TD] [TD]1.24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Golam, Saleem[/TD] [TD]80[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]9%[/TD] [TD]-28.75[/TD] [TD]1.15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mulrennan, Paul[/TD] [TD]79[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]14%[/TD] [TD]47.25[/TD] [TD]1.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Doyle, James[/TD] [TD]164[/TD] [TD]24[/TD] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]15%[/TD] [TD]48.25[/TD] [TD]1.09[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Gannon, Catherine[/TD] [TD]144[/TD] [TD]19[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]93.75[/TD] [TD]1.08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Havlin, Robert[/TD] [TD]104[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]-16.75[/TD] [TD]1.06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Norton, Francis[/TD] [TD]175[/TD] [TD]23[/TD] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]92.88[/TD] [TD]1.05[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cannon, Declan[/TD] [TD]70[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]31[/TD] [TD]1.04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sullivan, James P[/TD] [TD]131[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-30.5[/TD] [TD]0.97[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Hanagan, Paul[/TD] [TD]172[/TD] [TD]28[/TD] [TD]29[/TD] [TD]16%[/TD] [TD]104.41[/TD] [TD]0.96[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fanning, Joe[/TD] [TD]274[/TD] [TD]41[/TD] [TD]43[/TD] [TD]15%[/TD] [TD]38.9[/TD] [TD]0.95[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fitzpatrick, Robbie[/TD] [TD]186[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]2.5[/TD] [TD]0.95[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Gibbons, Graham[/TD] [TD]249[/TD] [TD]37[/TD] [TD]39[/TD] [TD]15%[/TD] [TD]41.21[/TD] [TD]0.94[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Harley, M[/TD] [TD]99[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]0.5[/TD] [TD]0.89[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]McHugh, B[/TD] [TD]109[/TD] [TD]14[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]46.29[/TD] [TD]0.86[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Hitchcott, Sam[/TD] [TD]113[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]13.88[/TD] [TD]0.86[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pickard, Paul[/TD] [TD]65[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]-25.95[/TD] [TD]0.85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]McLaughlin, T G[/TD] [TD]176[/TD] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-27.62[/TD] [TD]0.84[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]McDonald, Frankie[/TD] [TD]105[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-38.5[/TD] [TD]0.83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Baker, George[/TD] [TD]300[/TD] [TD]45[/TD] [TD]55[/TD] [TD]15%[/TD] [TD]7.73[/TD] [TD]0.82[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mongan, Ian[/TD] [TD]212[/TD] [TD]25[/TD] [TD]30[/TD] [TD]12%[/TD] [TD]19.09[/TD] [TD]0.82[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Dwyer, Martin[/TD] [TD]138[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]0.81[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Durcan, Ted[/TD] [TD]70[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]2.5[/TD] [TD]0.81[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Queally, T P[/TD] [TD]150[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]23[/TD] [TD]12%[/TD] [TD]17.5[/TD] [TD]0.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Callan, N[/TD] [TD]198[/TD] [TD]25[/TD] [TD]32[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]5.96[/TD] [TD]0.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Chalmers, Neil[/TD] [TD]76[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]7%[/TD] [TD]-23[/TD] [TD]0.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cray, Billy[/TD] [TD]73[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]8.5[/TD] [TD]0.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fallon, K[/TD] [TD]104[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]23[/TD] [TD]17%[/TD] [TD]0.41[/TD] [TD]0.78[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Tylicki, Frederik[/TD] [TD]119[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]19[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]-18[/TD] [TD]0.77[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Morris, Luke[/TD] [TD]673[/TD] [TD]66[/TD] [TD]86[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-24.67[/TD] [TD]0.77[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Probert, David[/TD] [TD]262[/TD] [TD]30[/TD] [TD]40[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]12.25[/TD] [TD]0.76[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kirby, Adam[/TD] [TD]442[/TD] [TD]62[/TD] [TD]82[/TD] [TD]14%[/TD] [TD]-58.64[/TD] [TD]0.76[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Holland, Darryll[/TD] [TD]92[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]-2.5[/TD] [TD]0.76[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Clark, Ryan[/TD] [TD]123[/TD] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]-30.5[/TD] [TD]0.75[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Makin, Phillip[/TD] [TD]136[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]24[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]5.15[/TD] [TD]0.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Millman, James[/TD] [TD]50[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-19.5[/TD] [TD]0.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Crowley, Jim[/TD] [TD]296[/TD] [TD]37[/TD] [TD]50[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]-54.92[/TD] [TD]0.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mullen, Andrew[/TD] [TD]62[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-28.37[/TD] [TD]0.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Milczarek, Kirsty[/TD] [TD]166[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]7%[/TD] [TD]-62.5[/TD] [TD]0.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Moore, Ryan[/TD] [TD]50[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]22%[/TD] [TD]15.01[/TD] [TD]0.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Eaves, Tom[/TD] [TD]330[/TD] [TD]33[/TD] [TD]45[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-52.67[/TD] [TD]0.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Quinn, Jimmy[/TD] [TD]383[/TD] [TD]37[/TD] [TD]51[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-24.92[/TD] [TD]0.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODwyer, Jerry[/TD] [TD]58[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]9%[/TD] [TD]11.5[/TD] [TD]0.72[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Butler, Robert L[/TD] [TD]79[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-30.5[/TD] [TD]0.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cosgrave, Pat[/TD] [TD]126[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-16.79[/TD] [TD]0.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ONeill, K T[/TD] [TD]76[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]9%[/TD] [TD]-36.12[/TD] [TD]0.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Craine, S J[/TD] [TD]146[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-45.25[/TD] [TD]0.70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Keniry, L P[/TD] [TD]373[/TD] [TD]31[/TD] [TD]44[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-138.62[/TD] [TD]0.70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fairley, Greg[/TD] [TD]70[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-32.5[/TD] [TD]0.70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Nicholls, Adrian T[/TD] [TD]61[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-18.67[/TD] [TD]0.69[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cosham, Matthew[/TD] [TD]71[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-24.5[/TD] [TD]0.69[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Winston, Robert[/TD] [TD]268[/TD] [TD]27[/TD] [TD]40[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-27.95[/TD] [TD]0.68[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Drowne, Steve[/TD] [TD]215[/TD] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]33[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-78.38[/TD] [TD]0.68[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Hughes, Richard[/TD] [TD]142[/TD] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]30[/TD] [TD]14%[/TD] [TD]-28.71[/TD] [TD]0.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sousa, Silvestre De[/TD] [TD]136[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]27[/TD] [TD]13%[/TD] [TD]6.5[/TD] [TD]0.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mitchell, Jack[/TD] [TD]64[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]9%[/TD] [TD]-4.5[/TD] [TD]0.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Doe, Paul[/TD] [TD]76[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-38.25[/TD] [TD]0.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Carson, William[/TD] [TD]280[/TD] [TD]34[/TD] [TD]52[/TD] [TD]12%[/TD] [TD]-109.05[/TD] [TD]0.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Turner, Hayley[/TD] [TD]281[/TD] [TD]28[/TD] [TD]44[/TD] [TD]10%[/TD] [TD]-49.25[/TD] [TD]0.64[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Harrison, Kelly[/TD] [TD]108[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-42[/TD] [TD]0.63[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lee, G[/TD] [TD]65[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]-14.92[/TD] [TD]0.63[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pearce, Simon[/TD] [TD]69[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-19[/TD] [TD]0.63[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mathers, Patrick[/TD] [TD]75[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]4%[/TD] [TD]-29[/TD] [TD]0.63[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kingscote, Richard[/TD] [TD]201[/TD] [TD]19[/TD] [TD]31[/TD] [TD]9%[/TD] [TD]-49.82[/TD] [TD]0.62[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Powell, Ryan[/TD] [TD]65[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-36.17[/TD] [TD]0.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kennemore, Russell[/TD] [TD]105[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]7%[/TD] [TD]-19[/TD] [TD]0.58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Spencer, Jamie[/TD] [TD]167[/TD] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]35[/TD] [TD]12%[/TD] [TD]-38.26[/TD] [TD]0.57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Culhane, Tony[/TD] [TD]127[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-43.5[/TD] [TD]0.57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Guillambert, J-P[/TD] [TD]150[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]7%[/TD] [TD]-83[/TD] [TD]0.56[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fenton, Micky[/TD] [TD]142[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]7%[/TD] [TD]-68[/TD] [TD]0.56[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ONeill, Dane[/TD] [TD]268[/TD] [TD]21[/TD] [TD]38[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-106.5[/TD] [TD]0.56[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Atzeni, Andrea[/TD] [TD]145[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-72.67[/TD] [TD]0.55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Catlin, Chris[/TD] [TD]308[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]33[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-89.75[/TD] [TD]0.54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fortune, Jimmy[/TD] [TD]79[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]11%[/TD] [TD]-12.75[/TD] [TD]0.54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Heffernan, Andrew[/TD] [TD]104[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-51[/TD] [TD]0.54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kelly, Shane[/TD] [TD]297[/TD] [TD]24[/TD] [TD]46[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-118.01[/TD] [TD]0.52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sanders, Seb[/TD] [TD]182[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]29[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-72.39[/TD] [TD]0.52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Davies, Matthew[/TD] [TD]63[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-20.62[/TD] [TD]0.52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Stainton, Michael J[/TD] [TD]131[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-82.25[/TD] [TD]0.51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sweeney, Fergus[/TD] [TD]268[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]30[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-157.5[/TD] [TD]0.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lane, Martin[/TD] [TD]186[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-65.25[/TD] [TD]0.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fentiman, Duran[/TD] [TD]69[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-10[/TD] [TD]0.49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ryan, Amy[/TD] [TD]87[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-56.67[/TD] [TD]0.47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Donohoe, Stephen[/TD] [TD]178[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]23[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-103.69[/TD] [TD]0.47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Dean, Jack[/TD] [TD]55[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-18[/TD] [TD]0.47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fahy, J P[/TD] [TD]90[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]6%[/TD] [TD]-59[/TD] [TD]0.45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Buick, William[/TD] [TD]62[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]8%[/TD] [TD]-31.12[/TD] [TD]0.43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]McDonald, P J[/TD] [TD]66[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-31.75[/TD] [TD]0.43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Hamilton, Tony[/TD] [TD]76[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-26[/TD] [TD]0.43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Duern, J[/TD] [TD]51[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]4%[/TD] [TD]-24[/TD] [TD]0.41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Egan, D E[/TD] [TD]60[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-48.5[/TD] [TD]0.39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Coumbe, Mark[/TD] [TD]87[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]3%[/TD] [TD]-55.25[/TD] [TD]0.39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fox, Kieren[/TD] [TD]145[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]4%[/TD] [TD]-53.5[/TD] [TD]0.37[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ahern, Eddie[/TD] [TD]151[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]24[/TD] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]-86.67[/TD] [TD]0.34[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kenny, David[/TD] [TD]87[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]3%[/TD] [TD]-64.5[/TD] [TD]0.32[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Jones, Liam[/TD] [TD]155[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]3%[/TD] [TD]-114[/TD] [TD]0.32[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mackay, Nicky[/TD] [TD]67[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]3%[/TD] [TD]-16[/TD] [TD]0.29[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Beschizza,Adam[/TD] [TD]52[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]2%[/TD] [TD]-45[/TD] [TD]0.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Swift, Mr Dale[/TD] [TD]81[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]2%[/TD] [TD]-68[/TD] [TD]0.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Elliott, Andrew[/TD] [TD]67[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]1%[/TD] [TD]-57[/TD] [TD]0.18[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Thoughts welcome :)

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: 100+ Jockeys Rated for All Weather Sprints That's lucky, im on one of Raul's tomorrow.

[Cowan]

Re: 100+ Jockeys Rated for All Weather Sprints

That's lucky' date=' im on one of Raul's tomorrow.[/quote'] Southwell 4.20 - Caldercruix ? I like this horse. Looks like it's slipped to a reasonable mark and can handle this race. I also like the no.1 draw.

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: 100+ Jockeys Rated for All Weather Sprints Spot on, got 8's as well, was checking 365 every minute for ages for that price.