Flat Racing Tuesday 8th January

[Lodge]

3.25 - Wolverhampton - Groove On @ 5/1 BetVictor Marco Botti handicap debutant who could well prove better than his opening mark of 68. He ran creditably in all 3 of his maidens, with his best effort coming on his 2nd run when 3rd over 6f at Lingfield. Wasnt as good going right handed at Kempton last time but still finished 4th so should benefit return to a left handed track. Also has man of the moment Adam Kirby replacing claimer in the saddle which is also a massive bonus considering his record for this yard. Pretty weak race for the grade and hopefully he can take advantage of that. 3.55 - Wolverhampton - Renegotiate @ 7/1 BetVictor Adam Kirby also happens to be on the other runner at Wolverhampton that i fancy tomorrow. Renegotiate recently left the Andrew Balding yard and has since joined the Dr Richard Newland yard, which looks fairly interesting considering his success in NH racing. His last run for Balding came only last week in a C&D claimer where he ran prolific AW scorer La Estrella very close and if running to a similar level tomorrow i feel he will go close pitched back in handicap company. He runs off a mark of 65 which looks about fair given his recent form. Again this doesnt look a particularly strong class 5 handicap and i feel his new yard could have found a good opportunity to get him back to winning ways. Booking of Kirby also suggests there is some kind of confidence in this one. 1pt win on each and 0.5pt double

[Blazing Bailey]

Re: Flat Racing Tuesday 8th January Wolves 3.25 - Marvelino 15/2 Paddy Power This is an interesting runner as he has only ran the 3 times on the AW. They have all been at Kempton and he has produced some of the quickest top speed's & RPR of all the runners in this race on both starts over a sprint trip. They ran him over 8f LTO for some unknown reason and unsurprisingly he didnt see it out. He runs off this type of mark on the flat (which looks about right) but its interesting to note that his sire stats show that only 2% of his runners have won on turf, whereas 25% of his runners have won on the AW. Not a massive sample size but reliable enough for my liking! :D