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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Games between evenly matched teams


pg_yid

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Apologies if this is the wrong forum, it's not a system but does involve a strategy so I think it fits here. If I'm wrong feel free to move it. If two teams are evenly matched and one is the home team what should the price be? Obviously it depends on the home win ratio in the league in question. So let's say it's in the EPL, where the average home win percentage over the last 8 seasons is 47%. Does that mean the odds should be approximately 2.09 for the home side (if both sides are assumed to be evenly matched)? Of course it also depends on the individual teams' home and away records, form etc, but let's judge for argument's sake that all these things are equal. How do others work this out?

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