ATP Tennis model

[Doktor_lektor]

Hello, Here is my math and statistical ATP Tennis model that predictes probability of tennis players. After probabilities are compared with bookie's odds and if there's overlay on one side then it would be a bet. Bet size are calculated using Kelly criteria. Bank = 1 000 usd. Kelly fract = 1/10 or (just for simple) average bet is about 30 usd or 3% of bank. Here are historical information on how model goes. Data goes back to 2004 (excluding 2009 and 2012). History odds are from pinnacle only. Pinnacle and betfair will be used only during topic. [TABLE=class: grid, width: 752]

[TR] [TD]Probs[/TD] [TD]WinNum[/TD] [TD]LossNum[/TD] [TD]OverallNum[/TD] [TD]% Win[/TD] [TD]BET usd[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [TD]ROI[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.3 … 0.4 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]201[/TD] [TD=align: right]761[/TD] [TD=align: right]962[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.21[/TD] [TD=align: right]$16 666[/TD] [TD=align: right]-$451[/TD] [TD=align: right]-2.71%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.4 … 0.5 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]310[/TD] [TD=align: right]717[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 027[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.30[/TD] [TD=align: right]$23 883[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 524[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.38%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.5 … 0.6 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]469[/TD] [TD=align: right]722[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 191[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.39[/TD] [TD=align: right]$32 353[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 948[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.02%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.6 … 0.7 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]425[/TD] [TD=align: right]468[/TD] [TD=align: right]893[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.48[/TD] [TD=align: right]$30 877[/TD] [TD=align: right]$453[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.47%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.7 … 0.8 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]398[/TD] [TD=align: right]312[/TD] [TD=align: right]710[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.56[/TD] [TD=align: right]$30 929[/TD] [TD=align: right]$2 125[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.87%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.8 … 0.9 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]327[/TD] [TD=align: right]150[/TD] [TD=align: right]477[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.69[/TD] [TD=align: right]$26 891[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 391[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.17%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]* 0.9 … 1.0 *[/TD] [TD=align: right]147[/TD] [TD=align: right]47[/TD] [TD=align: right]194[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.76[/TD] [TD=align: right]$15 684[/TD] [TD=align: right]$630[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.01%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall[/TD] [TD=align: right]2 277[/TD] [TD=align: right]3 177[/TD] [TD=align: right]5 454[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.42[/TD] [TD=align: right]$177 283[/TD] [TD=align: right]$7 619[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.30%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=class: grid, width: 752] [TR] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]WinNum[/TD] [TD]LossNum[/TD] [TD]OverallNum[/TD] [TD]% Win[/TD] [TD]BET usd[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [TD]ROI[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 0 --> 1.5 ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]182[/TD] [TD=align: right]96[/TD] [TD=align: right]278[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.65[/TD] [TD=align: right]$14 189[/TD] [TD=align: right]$11[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.08%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 1.51 --> 2 ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]627[/TD] [TD=align: right]418[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 045[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.60[/TD] [TD=align: right]$39 841[/TD] [TD=align: right]$3 369[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.45%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 2.01 --> 2.5 ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]502[/TD] [TD=align: right]569[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 071[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.47[/TD] [TD=align: right]$34 223[/TD] [TD=align: right]$506[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.48%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 2.51 --> 3 ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]332[/TD] [TD=align: right]477[/TD] [TD=align: right]809[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.41[/TD] [TD=align: right]$26 346[/TD] [TD=align: right]$222[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.84%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 3.01 --> 5 ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]535[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 208[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 743[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.31[/TD] [TD=align: right]$47 740[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 209[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.53%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 5.01 --> 10 ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]95[/TD] [TD=align: right]380[/TD] [TD=align: right]475[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.20[/TD] [TD=align: right]$13 740[/TD] [TD=align: right]$596[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.34%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]*** 10.01 --> higher ***[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD=align: right]29[/TD] [TD=align: right]33[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.12[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 204[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 706[/TD] [TD=align: right]141.74%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall[/TD] [TD=align: right]2 277[/TD] [TD=align: right]3 177[/TD] [TD=align: right]5 454[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.42[/TD] [TD=align: right]$177 283[/TD] [TD=align: right]$7 619[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.30%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=class: grid, width: 752] [TR] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]WinNum[/TD] [TD]LossNum[/TD] [TD]OverallNum[/TD] [TD]% Win[/TD] [TD]BET usd[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [TD]ROI[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 10% … 15% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]28[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD=align: right]40[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.70[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 197[/TD] [TD=align: right]$185[/TD] [TD=align: right]15.46%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 15% … 20% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]352[/TD] [TD=align: right]232[/TD] [TD=align: right]584[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.60[/TD] [TD=align: right]$18 590[/TD] [TD=align: right]$219[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.18%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 20% … 25% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]267[/TD] [TD=align: right]206[/TD] [TD=align: right]473[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.56[/TD] [TD=align: right]$15 756[/TD] [TD=align: right]$224[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.42%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 25% … 30% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]293[/TD] [TD=align: right]285[/TD] [TD=align: right]578[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.51[/TD] [TD=align: right]$17 657[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 098[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.22%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 30% … 40% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]463[/TD] [TD=align: right]519[/TD] [TD=align: right]982[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.47[/TD] [TD=align: right]$30 633[/TD] [TD=align: right]$2 609[/TD] [TD=align: right]8.52%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 40% … 60% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]469[/TD] [TD=align: right]755[/TD] [TD=align: right]1 224[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.38[/TD] [TD=align: right]$38 280[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 472[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.85%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 61% … 80% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]182[/TD] [TD=align: right]440[/TD] [TD=align: right]622[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.29[/TD] [TD=align: right]$20 569[/TD] [TD=align: right]-$1 210[/TD] [TD=align: right]-5.88%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 81% … 100% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]88[/TD] [TD=align: right]246[/TD] [TD=align: right]334[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.26[/TD] [TD=align: right]$10 967[/TD] [TD=align: right]$101[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.92%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 101% … 150% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]95[/TD] [TD=align: right]279[/TD] [TD=align: right]374[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.25[/TD] [TD=align: right]$14 122[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 111[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.87%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 151% … 200% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]25[/TD] [TD=align: right]95[/TD] [TD=align: right]120[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.21[/TD] [TD=align: right]$4 467[/TD] [TD=align: right]$748[/TD] [TD=align: right]16.75%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]** 201% … 4 000% **[/TD] [TD=align: right]15[/TD] [TD=align: right]108[/TD] [TD=align: right]123[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.12[/TD] [TD=align: right]$5 044[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 061[/TD] [TD=align: right]21.03%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall[/TD] [TD=align: right]2 277[/TD] [TD=align: right]3 177[/TD] [TD=align: right]5 454[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.42[/TD] [TD=align: right]$177 283[/TD] [TD=align: right]$7 619[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.30%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=class: grid, width: 752] [TR] [TD]Two/three set match[/TD] [TD]WinNum[/TD] [TD]LossNum[/TD] [TD]OverallNum[/TD] [TD]% Win[/TD] [TD]BET usd[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [TD]ROI[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2 set match[/TD] [TD=align: right]2 047[/TD] [TD=align: right]2 907[/TD] [TD=align: right]4 954[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.41[/TD] [TD=align: right]$159 227[/TD] [TD=align: right]$6 237[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.92%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3 set match[/TD] [TD=align: right]230[/TD] [TD=align: right]270[/TD] [TD=align: right]500[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.46[/TD] [TD=align: right]$18 056[/TD] [TD=align: right]$1 382[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.65%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall[/TD] [TD=align: right]2 277[/TD] [TD=align: right]3 177[/TD] [TD=align: right]5 454[/TD] [TD=align: right]0.42[/TD] [TD=align: right]$177 283[/TD] [TD=align: right]$7 619[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.30%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model [TABLE=class: grid, width: 930]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Jesse Levine[/TD] [TD]Milos Raonic[/TD] [TD=align: right]31.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.5[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.087[/TD] [TD] $ 24[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]200%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Janko Tipsarevic[/TD] [TD]Jeremy Chardy[/TD] [TD=align: right]67.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.18[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.65[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 18[/TD] [TD=align: right]184%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Bernard Tomic[/TD] [TD]Santiago Giraldo[/TD] [TD=align: right]14.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.885[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.02[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 70[/TD] [TD=align: right]172%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Philipp Kohlschreiber[/TD] [TD]Leonardo Mayer[/TD] [TD=align: right]56.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.355[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.49[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD=align: right]153%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Paul-Henri Mathieu[/TD] [TD]John Isner[/TD] [TD=align: right]37.8%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.69[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.233[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]77%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Robin Haase[/TD] [TD]Mikhail Youzhny[/TD] [TD=align: right]51.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.3[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.694[/TD] [TD] $ 13[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]17%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]David Ferrer[/TD] [TD]Benoit Paire[/TD] [TD=align: right]88.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.03[/TD] [TD=align: right]17[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Marcel Granollers[/TD] [TD]Malek Jaziri[/TD] [TD=align: right]79.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.364[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.44[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Sergiy Stakhovsky[/TD] [TD]Tommy Haas[/TD] [TD=align: right]38.3%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.84[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.488[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Grigor Dimitrov[/TD] [TD]Richard Gasquet[/TD] [TD=align: right]16.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.2[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.159[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Jarkko Nieminen[/TD] [TD]Andy Murray[/TD] [TD=align: right]25.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]11.25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.067[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Dmitry Tursunov[/TD] [TD]Julien Benneteau[/TD] [TD=align: right]15.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.22[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.4[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Marcos Baghdatis[/TD] [TD]Nicolas Almagro[/TD] [TD=align: right]13.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.21[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.129[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Juan Monaco[/TD] [TD]Lukas Rosol[/TD] [TD=align: right]72.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.16[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.16[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Florian Mayer[/TD] [TD]Eduardo Schwank[/TD] [TD=align: right]67.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.394[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.26[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Denis Istomin[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]51[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.007[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results 31.05.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 848]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Jesse Levine[/TD] [TD]Milos Raonic[/TD] [TD=align: right]31.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]9.5[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.087[/TD] [TD] $ 24[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]200%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Janko Tipsarevic[/TD] [TD]Jeremy Chardy[/TD] [TD=align: right]67.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.18[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.65[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 18[/TD] [TD=align: right]184%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -18[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Bernard Tomic[/TD] [TD]Santiago Giraldo[/TD] [TD=align: right]14.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.885[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.02[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 70[/TD] [TD=align: right]172%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 72[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Philipp Kohlschreiber[/TD] [TD]Leonardo Mayer[/TD] [TD=align: right]56.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.355[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.49[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD=align: right]153%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Paul-Henri Mathieu[/TD] [TD]John Isner[/TD] [TD=align: right]37.8%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.69[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.233[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]77%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 77[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]31.05.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Robin Haase[/TD] [TD]Mikhail Youzhny[/TD] [TD=align: right]51.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.3[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.694[/TD] [TD] $ 13[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]17%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 168[/TD] [TD]roi[/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ 147[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]87.9%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 01.06.2012: Fabio Fognini at 4,72 20 usd Stanislas Wawrinka at 1,8 21 usd

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results 01.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 869]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]01.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Fabio Fognini[/TD] [TD]Jo-Wilfried Tsonga[/TD] [TD=align: right]37.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.72[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.238[/TD] [TD] $ 20[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]76%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]01.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Gilles Simon[/TD] [TD]Stanislas Wawrinka[/TD] [TD=align: right]34.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.15[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.8[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD=align: right]17%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 42[/TD] [TD]roi[/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ -3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]-7.5%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Results 31.05.2012 - 01.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 157] [TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]50.0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 210[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 144[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]68.8%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 02.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 817]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Juan Monaco[/TD] [TD]Milos Raonic[/TD] [TD=align: right]79.3%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.98[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.943[/TD] [TD] $ 58[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Marcel Granollers[/TD] [TD]Paul-Henri Mathieu[/TD] [TD=align: right]64.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.11[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.833[/TD] [TD] $ 33[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]37%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Janko Tipsarevic[/TD] [TD]Julien Benneteau[/TD] [TD=align: right]65.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.328[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.75[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 11[/TD] [TD=align: right]31%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]David Ferrer[/TD] [TD]Mikhail Youzhny[/TD] [TD=align: right]83.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.15[/TD] [TD=align: right]6.65[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Tommy Haas[/TD] [TD]Richard Gasquet[/TD] [TD=align: right]22.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.35[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.386[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Santiago Giraldo[/TD] [TD]Andy Murray[/TD] [TD=align: right]28.5%[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.62[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.345[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Leonardo Mayer[/TD] [TD]Nicolas Almagro[/TD] [TD=align: right]18.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.94[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.119[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Eduardo Schwank[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]91[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.001[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[UsManyDead]

Re: ATP Tennis model Very good until now my friend. Your system is starting great. I don't know why you have so low ROI, but maybe you should watch and see which kind of games your system isn't good at picking. (eg. surprises like Fabio Fognini, Julien Benneteau). It is nice to see when you catch one at high odds, but in the long run if you don't catch them enough they wont pay for themselves. Anyway so far what I can see is that your guessed probability is quite good, and taken at high % (like over 60%, maybe) it could pay good in the long run if you get 2.00 medium odds, or if you get any kind of value. But you have to take high chances rather than high odds IMHO. Just an opinion, but keep'em coming. GL :hope

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Very good until now my friend. Your system is starting great. I don't know why you have so low ROI' date=' but maybe you should watch and see which kind of games your system isn't good at picking. (eg. surprises like Fabio Fognini, Julien Benneteau). It is nice to see when you catch one at high odds, but in the long run if you don't catch them enough they wont pay for themselves. Anyway so far what I can see is that your guessed probability is quite good, and taken at high % (like over 60%, maybe) it could pay good in the long run if you get 2.00 medium odds, or if you get any kind of value. But you have to take high chances rather than high odds IMHO. Just an opinion, but keep'em coming. GL :hope

Thank you for your post, UsManyDead. I think that everything larger thatn 2% roi is very well, so if tennis model would generate 4% roi during every season, it would be pretty fro me). It's base model. I'm sure it's very hard to predict probabilities correctly. As for me, I'm sure that the main thing is overlay, but not probability. I use minimum overlays (30-50% prob - min 25% and 50-100% prob - min 15%). Let's take a look for a while until the end of the season.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results 02.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 829]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Juan Monaco[/TD] [TD]Milos Raonic[/TD] [TD=align: right]79.3%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.98[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.943[/TD] [TD] $ 58[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]57%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Marcel Granollers[/TD] [TD]Paul-Henri Mathieu[/TD] [TD=align: right]64.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.11[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.833[/TD] [TD] $ 33[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]37%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 37[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]02.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Janko Tipsarevic[/TD] [TD]Julien Benneteau[/TD] [TD=align: right]65.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.328[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.75[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 11[/TD] [TD=align: right]31%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 103[/TD] [TD]roi[/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ 83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]80.8%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Results 31.05.2012 - 02.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 157] [TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]54.5%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 312[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 227[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]72.8%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 03.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 817]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]03.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Stanislas Wawrinka[/TD] [TD]Jo-Wilfried Tsonga[/TD] [TD=align: right]63.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.08[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.855[/TD] [TD] $ 29[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]31%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]03.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Andreas Seppi[/TD] [TD=align: right]84.3%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.03[/TD] [TD=align: right]19[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]03.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Roger Federer[/TD] [TD]David Goffin[/TD] [TD=align: right]91.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.02[/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]03.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Juan Martin Del Potro[/TD] [TD]Tomas Berdych[/TD] [TD=align: right]57.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.8[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.15[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Bets for 04.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 817] [TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]04.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Richard Gasquet[/TD] [TD]Andy Murray[/TD] [TD=align: right]52.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.51[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.61[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]32%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]04.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]David Ferrer[/TD] [TD]Marcel Granollers[/TD] [TD=align: right]86.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.03[/TD] [TD=align: right]19[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]04.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Janko Tipsarevic[/TD] [TD]Nicolas Almagro[/TD] [TD=align: right]28.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.7[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.541[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]04.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Juan Monaco[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD=align: right]11.3%[/TD] [TD=align: right]24[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.022[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[dosheroonie]

Re: ATP Tennis model Hi Doctor Lektor, Very encouraging start. I would certainly agree - 4% ROI would be a superb return over a long period. I hope things continue to go well, and I will be following the thread with interest.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results 03-04.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]03.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Stanislas Wawrinka[/TD] [TD]Jo-Wilfried Tsonga[/TD] [TD=align: right]63.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.08[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.855[/TD] [TD] $ 29[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]31%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -29[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]04.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Richard Gasquet[/TD] [TD]Andy Murray[/TD] [TD=align: right]52.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.51[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.61[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]32%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 50[/TD] [TD]roi[/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ -50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]-100.0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Results 31.05.2012 - 04.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 157] [TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]46.2%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 362[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 177[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]48.9%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 05.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]05.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Roger Federer[/TD] [TD]Juan Martin Del Potro[/TD] [TD=align: right]52.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.364[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.49[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 26[/TD] [TD=align: right]64%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]05.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Jo-Wilfried Tsonga[/TD] [TD=align: right]82.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.217[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.05[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Very interesting how model rated Del Potro as evens with Federer. I think the bias is on Del Potro side. Especially on clay.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Hi Doctor Lektor, Very encouraging start. I would certainly agree - 4% ROI would be a superb return over a long period. I hope things continue to go well, and I will be following the thread with interest.

Thank you, dosheroonie. I appriciate this.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results for 05.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]05.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Roger Federer[/TD] [TD]Juan Martin Del Potro[/TD] [TD=align: right]52.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.364[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.49[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 26[/TD] [TD=align: right]64%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]05.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Jo-Wilfried Tsonga[/TD] [TD=align: right]82.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.217[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.05[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 26[/TD] [TD]roi[/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ -26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]-100.0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Results for 31.05.2012 - 05.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 157] [TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]42.9%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 388[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 151[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]39.0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 06.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD=align: right]06.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Andy Murray[/TD] [TD]David Ferrer[/TD] [TD=align: right]29.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.59[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.545[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]06.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD]Nicolas Almagro[/TD] [TD=align: right]84.7%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.05[/TD] [TD=align: right]14.8[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] No bets.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model No probs and bets for 07.06.2012.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 08.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]08.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Roger Federer[/TD] [TD=align: right]53.8%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.515[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.82[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 17[/TD] [TD=align: right]30%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]08.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]David Ferrer[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD=align: right]25.7%[/TD] [TD=align: right]10.25[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.09[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[UsManyDead]

Re: ATP Tennis model I am very curious: have you tried this system also on women tennis? It always looked like surprises are more often happening there than on men.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

I am very curious: have you tried this system also on women tennis? It always looked like surprises are more often happening there than on men.

Not yet. I'm planning wta at the end of summer. Now I'm very interested in basketball. I think it's more perspective than wta right now.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results for 08.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]08.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Roger Federer[/TD] [TD=align: right]53.8%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.515[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.82[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 17[/TD] [TD=align: right]30%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 17[/TD] [TD]roi[/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ -17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]-100.0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 10.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]10.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD=align: right]20.5%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.04[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.3[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 11[/TD] [TD=align: right]3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 12.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 801]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12.06.12[/TD] [TD]Gerry Weber Open - Halle[/TD] [TD]Benjamin Becker[/TD] [TD]Viktor Troicki[/TD] [TD=align: right]80.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.11[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.8[/TD] [TD] $ 64[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]71%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12.06.12[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Yen-Hsun Lu[/TD] [TD]Igor Kunitsyn[/TD] [TD=align: right]43.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.529[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.67[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 31[/TD] [TD=align: right]52%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12.06.12[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Dmitry Tursunov[/TD] [TD]Ryan Sweeting[/TD] [TD=align: right]86.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.408[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.13[/TD] [TD] $ 52[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]21%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[UsManyDead]

Re: ATP Tennis model I have one question: where do you get your tennis statistics from?

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

I have one question: where do you get your tennis statistics from?

Internet. There are such sites as tennis.matchstat.com and other.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 13.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Gerry Weber Open - Halle[/TD] [TD]Mikhail Youzhny[/TD] [TD]Alexandr Dolgopolov[/TD] [TD=align: right]81.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.422[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.11[/TD] [TD] $ 36[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]15%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results for 10-12.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]PL usd[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]10.06.2012[/TD] [TD]French Open - Paris[/TD] [TD]Novak Djokovic[/TD] [TD]Rafael Nadal[/TD] [TD=align: right]20.5%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.04[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.3[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 11[/TD] [TD=align: right]3%[/TD] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD] $ 3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Gerry Weber Open - Halle[/TD] [TD]Benjamin Becker[/TD] [TD]Viktor Troicki[/TD] [TD=align: right]80.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.11[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.8[/TD] [TD] $ 64[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]71%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -64[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Yen-Hsun Lu[/TD] [TD]Igor Kunitsyn[/TD] [TD=align: right]43.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.529[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.67[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 31[/TD] [TD=align: right]52%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Dmitry Tursunov[/TD] [TD]Ryan Sweeting[/TD] [TD=align: right]86.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.408[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.13[/TD] [TD] $ 52[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]21%[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD] $ -52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]BET=[/TD] [TD] $ 158[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]PL =[/TD] [TD] $ -144[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]ROI =[/TD] [TD=align: right]-90.8%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Grex]

Re: ATP Tennis model Good thread, Doktor Lektor...... but to give viewers a better picture, I suggest you update the overall performance of the system since you started your "live" selections on 31.05.2012 :ok

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Good thread' date= Doktor Lektor...... but to give viewers a better picture, I suggest you update the overall performance of the system since you started your "live" selections on 31.05.2012 :ok

Yep. It would be better.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 13.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Marin Cilic[/TD] [TD]Matthew Ebden[/TD] [TD=align: right]47.8%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.16[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.98[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 43[/TD] [TD=align: right]212%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Kevin Anderson[/TD] [TD]Sergiy Stakhovsky[/TD] [TD=align: right]40.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.417[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.14[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 40[/TD] [TD=align: right]87%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Grigor Dimitrov[/TD] [TD]Gilles Muller[/TD] [TD=align: right]44.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.667[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.36[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 23[/TD] [TD=align: right]31%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Gerry Weber Open - Halle[/TD] [TD]Radek Stepanek[/TD] [TD]Cedrik-Marcel Stebe[/TD] [TD=align: right]81.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.385[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.31[/TD] [TD] $ 32[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]12%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]