ATP Tennis model

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Overall results: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 157]

[TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pending[/TD] [TD=align: right]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]29.2%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 736[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ -9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]-1.2%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 13.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Lukas Rosol[/TD] [TD]Marcos Baghdatis[/TD] [TD=align: right]12.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.292[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 46[/TD] [TD=align: right]13%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Ivo Karlovic[/TD] [TD]Yen-Hsun Lu[/TD] [TD=align: right]77.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.323[/TD] [TD=align: right]3.92[/TD] [TD] $ 6[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]2%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Results (31.05.2012 - 13.06.2012): [TABLE=class: grid, width: 157]

[TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pending[/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]34.6%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ 789[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right] $ -139[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]-17.7%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 14.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]14.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Simone Bolelli[/TD] [TD]Xavier Malisse[/TD] [TD=align: right]20.7%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.42[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.637[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 47[/TD] [TD=align: right]30%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]14.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Nicolas Mahut[/TD] [TD]Grigor Dimitrov[/TD] [TD=align: right]66.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.885[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.02[/TD] [TD] $ 30[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]26%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]14.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD]Kevin Anderson[/TD] [TD]Feliciano Lopez[/TD] [TD=align: right]31.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.31[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.69[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 23[/TD] [TD=align: right]16%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 15.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]15.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Gerry Weber Open - Halle[/TD] [TD]Radek Stepanek[/TD] [TD]Mikhail Youzhny[/TD] [TD=align: right]56.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.48[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.55[/TD] [TD] $ 28[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]41%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 15.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]15.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Gerry Weber Open - Halle[/TD] [TD]Milos Raonic[/TD] [TD]Roger Federer[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.1%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.14[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.27[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 76[/TD] [TD=align: right]21%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[pinkisntwell]

Re: ATP Tennis model Doktor Lektor, how did you come up with the results you posted in your first post? Did you optimize the parameters of your model over the whole data set? If so, I believe you will find it hard to get any profit in real betting.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Doktor Lektor' date=' how did you come up with the results you posted in your first post? Did you optimize the parameters of your model over the whole data set? If so, I believe you will find it hard to get any profit in real betting.[/quote'] Frankly speaking, I don't know will be there profit or not. Let's wait until the end of the season. I think the beginning of december 2012 would be much more better time for desicions than now.

[pinkisntwell]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Frankly speaking' date=' I don't know will be there profit or not. Let's wait until the end of the season. I think the beginning of december 2012 would be much more better time for desicions than now.[/quote'] That's a long time to wait, and I have absolutely no problem with that. However, you can have an idea right now, by training your model over the first, say, 70% of your data and then betting on the remaining 30%. This is to get a ballpark idea of your system's predictive capability. That said, good luck! I have made many betting systems in the past, but none have been profitable, and I would find it very interesting if you could discuss how your system makes its selections.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

That's a long time to wait, and I have absolutely no problem with that. However, you can have an idea right now, by training your model over the first, say, 70% of your data and then betting on the remaining 30%. This is to get a ballpark idea of your system's predictive capability. That said, good luck! I have made many betting systems in the past, but none have been profitable, and I would find it very interesting if you could discuss how your system makes its selections.

Already done. I know what are you talking about. Discuss how system makes selection - good question. I'm thinking about it. Thank you for your post.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 15.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD=width: 84, align: right]15.06.2012[/TD] [TD=width: 129]AEGON Championships - London[/TD] [TD=width: 132]Xavier Malisse[/TD] [TD=width: 167]David Nalbandian[/TD] [TD=width: 46, align: right]61.6%[/TD] [TD=width: 49, align: right]2.17[/TD] [TD=width: 49, align: right]1.787[/TD] [TD=width: 60] $ 29[/TD] [TD=width: 63] $ -[/TD] [TD=width: 55, align: right]34%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Results from 31.05.2012 - 15.06.2012:

[TABLE=class: grid, width: 157]

[TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD=align: right]32[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Win[/TD] [TD=align: right]11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Lost[/TD] [TD=align: right]21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pending[/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]% win[/TD] [TD=align: right]34.4%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD=align: right]$ 1 021[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PL[/TD] [TD=align: right]$ -198[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roi[/TD] [TD=align: right]-19.4%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 17.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]17.06.2012[/TD] [TD]UNICEF Open - 's Hertogenbosch[/TD] [TD]Santiago Giraldo[/TD] [TD]Gilles Muller[/TD] [TD=align: right]35.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.43[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.617[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 7[/TD] [TD=align: right]4%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 18.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]UNICEF Open - 's Hertogenbosch[/TD] [TD]Xavier Malisse[/TD] [TD]Viktor Troicki[/TD] [TD=align: right]76.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.781[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.14[/TD] [TD] $ 46[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]36%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 18.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON International - Eastbourne[/TD] [TD]Marcos Baghdatis[/TD] [TD]Pablo Andujar[/TD] [TD=align: right]88.7%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.231[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.61[/TD] [TD] $ 40[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]9%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 18.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON International - Eastbourne[/TD] [TD]Philipp Kohlschreiber[/TD] [TD]Go Soeda[/TD] [TD=align: right]86.0%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.218[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.29[/TD] [TD] $ 22[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]5%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 18.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON International - Eastbourne[/TD] [TD]James Ward[/TD] [TD]Marinko Matosevic[/TD] [TD=align: right]53.9%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.69[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.521[/TD] [TD] $ 27[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]45%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON International - Eastbourne[/TD] [TD]Steve Darcis[/TD] [TD]Matthew Ebden[/TD] [TD=align: right]28.5%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.04[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.855[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 38[/TD] [TD=align: right]33%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 18.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Wimbledon - London[/TD] [TD]Benjamin Mitchell[/TD] [TD]Chris Eaton[/TD] [TD=align: right]45.6%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.97[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.909[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 4[/TD] [TD=align: right]4%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 18.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Wimbledon - London[/TD] [TD]Maxime Authom[/TD] [TD]Rik de Voest[/TD] [TD=align: right]30.5%[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.49[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.571[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 16[/TD] [TD=align: right]9%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[lotsbg]

Re: ATP Tennis model so wondering, where do you get your pinnacle odds from? from oncourt?

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

so wondering' date=' where do you get your pinnacle odds from? from oncourt?[/quote'] No. Odds are added manually from pinnacle. Right after that bets are published here.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 20.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]20.06.2012[/TD] [TD]UNICEF Open - 's Hertogenbosch[/TD] [TD]Gilles Muller[/TD] [TD]Alejandro Falla[/TD] [TD=align: right]50.2%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.518[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.73[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 21[/TD] [TD=align: right]36%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 20.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]20.06.2012[/TD] [TD]UNICEF Open - 's Hertogenbosch[/TD] [TD]Olivier Rochus[/TD] [TD]Igor Sijsling[/TD] [TD=align: right]67.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.813[/TD] [TD=align: right]2.11[/TD] [TD] $ 27[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]22%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 19.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]19.06.2012[/TD] [TD]Wimbledon - London[/TD] [TD]Jurgen Zopp[/TD] [TD]Chris Eaton[/TD] [TD=align: right]48.5%[/TD] [TD=align: right]0[/TD] [TD=align: right]5.2[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 40[/TD] [TD=align: right]168%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[orhane]

Re: ATP Tennis model Hi, very nice work. I am doing quite the same but not by selecting the winners. I use it more for the HC market. The results are great for me, maybe we can share some informations or it would be nice if you want to get in contact. Keep up the great work. Here my results from the last two weeks: Handicap Selections (1 Unit per bet): Numer of Selections 169 (average odd: 1,92) 99 Win 70 Lost Profit: 21,22 Money Line Selections (1 Unit per bet): Numer of Selections (169) (average odd: 1,81) 121 Win 48 Lost Profit: 11,59

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model

Hi, very nice work. I am doing quite the same but not by selecting the winners. I use it more for the HC market. The results are great for me, maybe we can share some informations or it would be nice if you want to get in contact. Keep up the great work. Here my results from the last two weeks: Handicap Selections (1 Unit per bet): Numer of Selections 169 (average odd: 1,92) 99 Win 70 Lost Profit: 21,22 Money Line Selections (1 Unit per bet): Numer of Selections (169) (average odd: 1,81) 121 Win 48 Lost Profit: 11,59

Thank you, orhane. I'd love to discuss some points in building math models in sport. Could you send me pm?

[orhane]

Re: ATP Tennis model sure, i will message you.

[orhane]

Re: ATP Tennis model i have to get permission to use pm first. hope i will get it soon.

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 20.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]20.06.2012[/TD] [TD]AEGON International - Eastbourne[/TD] [TD]Yen-Hsun Lu[/TD] [TD]Ryan Harrison[/TD] [TD=align: right]59.4%[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.926[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.98[/TD] [TD] $ 16[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD=align: right]14%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Doktor_lektor]

Re: ATP Tennis model Bets for 20.06.2012: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 800]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]Tournament[/TD] [TD]Player 1[/TD] [TD]Player 2[/TD] [TD]Prob 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 1[/TD] [TD]Odds 2[/TD] [TD]Bet 1 usd[/TD] [TD]Bet 2 usd[/TD] [TD]Overlay[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]20.06.2012[/TD] [TD]UNICEF Open - 's Hertogenbosch[/TD] [TD]Paolo Lorenzi[/TD] [TD]Xavier Malisse[/TD] [TD=align: right]7.3%[/TD] [TD=align: right]4.68[/TD] [TD=align: right]1.234[/TD] [TD] $ -[/TD] [TD] $ 62[/TD] [TD=align: right]14%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]