grianaig Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 After trying this out for the 3 weeks, I've decided to start posting it here. Managed to turn a profit of £87 from a strike rate of 72.7%, yield 35.3%. Changing the staking plan a little I could have improved the yield to 78.7% and therefore the profit to £159. The Bet Football Doubles (though this sometimes was either a single or a treble) Combined odds of about 2.00 (bets ranged from 1.80 to 3.00) Stakes Messed about with this a little as I went along. Got stung after a week when I started by going all in each bet losing £67 on Chelsea and Arsenal double Then decided that if I managed to get my bank to be over £20 I would then start afresh with my attempts at success but with the new stakes being 10% of new bank. e.g. £10.00.....£1.00 @ 2.20.....Lost.....£0.00.....£9.00 £ 9.00.....£[email protected].....£2.11.....£10.11 £10.11.....£[email protected].....£4.43.....£12.43 £12.43.....£[email protected].....£11.74.....£19.74 £19.74.....£[email protected].....£33.58.....£41.58 £41.58.....£[email protected].....£8.30.....£45.73 £45.73.....£[email protected].....Lost.....£0.00.....£37.43 £37.43.....£[email protected].....£12.37.....£45.65 £45.65.....£[email protected].....£29.93.....£63.21 £63.21.....£[email protected].....£14.03.....£70.92 etc... If bet lost before hitting next £10 increase I started again using same stake as I used at start of this round of betting. New staking rules that I'm going to try with this attempt are to still start with stakes 10% of initial bank but I will only allow the stakes to be all-in for three attempts, hence "3rd time lucky". If I am successful 3 times in a row the next attempt will begin with stakes 10% of new bank. If I fail somewhere along the 3 tries the next stake will be the same as the initial stake of the 3 attempts. Think I've just confused myself trying to explain how I'm going to do this. I'll try and explain better as I go along. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Anyway onto bet #1 Bets are going to be placed on Betfair either using ordinary market or sometimes the multiples market. Polonia Warsaw and Arsenal double £2 @ 1.89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky And we have another faller at the first... So its onto 2nd attempt at trying to get three in a row. Since the last attempt was unsuccessful the stake is still £2 (10% of initial bank of £20). Attempt #2 Reading and Swindon double £2 @ 2.97 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Now its Swindons turn to bust my line Oh well Onwards and downwards :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 18, 2012 Author Share Posted April 18, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky OK so here goes for 3rd time lucky at this. Still with initial stake of £2 since I can't even get 1 never mind 3 in a row. Attempt #3 AEK Athens and PAOK Salonika double £2 @ 2.31 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky WoW off to a fantastic start here... Another loser thanks AEK Attempt #4 CSKA Sofia JJK Jyvaskyla £2 double @ 2.89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky JJK Jyvaskyla just got stuffed at home so Attempt #4 is stuffed as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Attempt #5 Southend Utd Derry City £2 double @ 2.44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Again let down by one team. Thanks Derry, couldn't beat 10 men at home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Attempt #6 Newcastle Charlton £2 double @ 2.79 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Finally a winner Starting bank was £20, Five losing attempts leaves the bank at £10. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 138]Newcastle / Charlton[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£10.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£5.40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£13.40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]16.67%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£6.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-55.0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] *Betfair commission of 5% already deducted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky OK Attempt #6, part 2 The stake for this part is however much was won from the first part, i.e. £5.40. Deportivo La Coruna Juventus £5.40 double @ 2.33 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 23, 2012 Author Share Posted April 23, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky And we have another winner!!! ---------------------------------------------------------------------- [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Deportivo La Coruna / Juventus[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£20.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£5.40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£12.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£20.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]28.57%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]£0.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]1.3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 23, 2012 Author Share Posted April 23, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Here's hoping to getting my 3 parter up in this thread. Attempt #6, part 3 Linfield Varese £12.23 double @ 2.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 24, 2012 Author Share Posted April 24, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky And it fails miserably at the third hurdle. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Linfield / Varese[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£20.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£12.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£0.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]25.00%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£12.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-40.5%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 24, 2012 Author Share Posted April 24, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky So we start again with stakes back down to £2. Attempt #7 - a Wrexham £2 single @ 2.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 24, 2012 Author Share Posted April 24, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Wrexham win 1-0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Wrexham[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.32[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£6.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£4.51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£10.51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]33.33%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£9.49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-30.0%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 25, 2012 Author Share Posted April 25, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky So it's on to part 2 Attempt #7 - b Roma Juventus £4.51 double @ 2.08 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 26, 2012 Author Share Posted April 26, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky And this one ends as Roma get beat by Fiorentina. --------------------------------------------------------------------- [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Roma / Juventus[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£10.51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£4.51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£6.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£0.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£6.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]30.00%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£14.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-38.7%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 26, 2012 Author Share Posted April 26, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Attempt #8 - a AC Horsens Elfsborg £2 double @ 2.49 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 27, 2012 Author Share Posted April 27, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]AC Horsens / Elfsborg[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£6.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£4.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£4.83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]36.36%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£11.17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-29.3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 27, 2012 Author Share Posted April 27, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky And onto part 2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Attempt #8 - b Limerick Nantes £4.83 double @ 2.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 28, 2012 Author Share Posted April 28, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky And another faller at the second. [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Limerick / Nantes[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Lost[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£8.83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£4.83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£4.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£0.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£4.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]33.33%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£16.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-37.2%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 28, 2012 Author Share Posted April 28, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Attempt #9 - a Everton Shrewsbury £2 double @ 2.47 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 28, 2012 Author Share Posted April 28, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Everton / Shrewsbury[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£4.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£4.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£6.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]38.46%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£13.21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-29.4%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 29, 2012 Author Share Posted April 29, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Attempt #9 - b Chelsea Spurs £4.79 double @ 2.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 29, 2012 Author Share Posted April 29, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 198]Chelsea / Spurs[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.01[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£6.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£4.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£9.39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£11.39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]42.86%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]-£8.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]-17.3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted April 29, 2012 Author Share Posted April 29, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Going for glory on part c Attempt #9 - c Sporting Lisbon Wisla Krakow Viktoria Plzen £9.39 treble @ 2.74 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted May 1, 2012 Author Share Posted May 1, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Ya dancer :cow Finally get 3rd time lucky. Attempt #9 - c [TABLE] [TR] [TD=width: 76]BET[/TD] [TD=width: 300]Sporting Lisbon / Wisla Krakow / Viktoria Plzen[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]ODDS[/TD] [TD]2.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RESULT[/TD] [TD]Won[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£11.39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]STAKE[/TD] [TD]£9.39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£2.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]RETURNS[/TD] [TD]£24.92[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BANK[/TD] [TD]£26.92[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WINS[/TD] [TD]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]BETS[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]S / R[/TD] [TD]46.67%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]PROFIT[/TD] [TD]£6.92[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]YIELD[/TD] [TD]11.7%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Since I got my 3 in a row, the following attempts at 3rd time lucky begin with stakes of £2.69 (i.e. 10% of bank (26.92)). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grianaig Posted May 1, 2012 Author Share Posted May 1, 2012 Re: 3rd Time Lucky Attempt #10 - a Getafe Monaco £2.69 double @ 2.57 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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