Marek76 Posted January 27, 2005 Share Posted January 27, 2005 what the odds would be on a fight in Detroit @Indiana? ;) is Skip having a day off today? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marek76 Posted January 27, 2005 Author Share Posted January 27, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday a month ago Detroit beat them at Palace of Auburn Hills 98-93. ah well, i'll have a flutter on Detroit +3.5 :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 27, 2005 Share Posted January 27, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday I also wondered if this fight thing would make them go at each other in a big way and produce alot of fouling hence a high total ? The over is only 175.5 Now do I get the prize behind worst logic for a pick or what ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marek76 Posted January 27, 2005 Author Share Posted January 27, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday DateLocationResultsNov 19@ DetroitIND 97-82Dec 25IndianaDET 98-93 i was thinking of totals as well, alien. in last two they above 175.5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 27, 2005 Share Posted January 27, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday Indi in a decent (but small sample) trend spot...but yeah, no reason why Detroit won't beat them again. Indi not rebounding at all well, Rasheed had a big game last time. Tinsley, Johnson, Bender all ?? and Indi only 3-11 on the season with no rest. SA -9 League: 7-3 (Av. win 13.6) home 5+ fav, 2 days off 15+ ats loss as away 5+ fav. [sA] 6-0 (Av. win 18.8) if opp off any ats win. League: 24-22 (Av. loss 6.8) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 10+ ats win as home 5+ fav. ...but...2-9 (Av. loss 15.0) if opp off any SU loss as fav. You can see by the trends that SA are being underrated off a bad performance and Sac overrated off a decent one. SA won 101-85 @ home in Nov...18 offensive boards to 9 and 50 points in the paint to 32. SA won 103-73 4 days ago @ Sac...42 points in the paint to 24. SA also 4-0 on 2 days rest this season, winning by an average of 101-82.8 Also show Charlotte +11 as a strong play...but don't think I can take them on the road v. an ever improving Chicago. Charlotte in a situation that is 18-2 the last 20....2-0 this season...1 SU and a 1 point loss! Will play if I can get 11. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 27, 2005 Share Posted January 27, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday I was just trying to convince myself somehow it was a good bet. I mean surely somehow the fight is gonna have an impact psychologically on the players somehow, it's working out how exactly I suppose and whether or not it translates to a decent betting angle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday alien...they have played each other once since the brawl. That was last game @ Detroit...The meeting on Christmas day in Indi went off without a problem. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday Shut up dude you're ruining my amazing bet ! It's still gotta be in their mind somewhere though right, even if it's subconscious. Yes that's the new reason for the over :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday Btw would you take the +11 at 1.83 instead or does it have to be at 1.91 ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday Na...I'd leave it, tbh, alien. It should be pretty close to that 10 mark either way. Just have a cup of coffee and a sudafed and stay up to watch SA ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday Leave it ? Argh is that possible haha. Looking over at dino's board quite a few people also seem to fancy this pick, but of course there a couple making a case the other way. +11 at 1.91 doesnt seem likely, I'll try +11 at 1.83 and hope for the best ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday well...(should have done this earlier, sorry..)...here are the numbers League: 49-61-4 (Av. win 10.9) home 10+ fav, 1 day off 10- ats loss as home 5+ fav. [Chic] 14-22 (Av. win 9.3) if opp off 10- ats loss 9-18 (Av. win 8.3) if opp lost 10- ats as dog. 5-13 (Av. win 7.9) if current and previous totals were 180+ League: 43-27-1 (Av. loss 11.8) away 10+ dog, 1 day off 10- ats loss as any home dog. [Charl] 27-12-1 (Av. loss 9.1) if opp last home. 20-6 (Av. loss 6.9) if opp won SU at home.....18-2 last 20....but 4 of those wins were by more than 11. Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 28, 2005 Share Posted January 28, 2005 Re: NBA Thursday Yeah looks like a beard scratcher. That would seem like it would be close, but now they probably get humped by 40 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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