Over 1.5 Acca's

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's BOLTON [3.21 , 2/4 , 1.21] v BLACKBURN [3.79 , 3/4 , 1.43] No bet BOLTON only scored in 2/4 games CHELSEA 3.57 , 3/4 , 2.21] v SPURS [3.07 , 3/4 , 1.57] @ 1.22 CRAWLEY [3.22 , 4/4 , 2.16] v ROTHERHAM [3.32 , 3/4 , 1.63] @ 1.25 MAINZ [3.23 , 4/4 , 1.23]v H BERLIN [3.08 , 1/4 , 1.00] @ 1.28 No bet BERLIN only scored 1/4 games BOCHUM [3.00 , 2/4 , 1.46] v INGOLSTADT [3.08 , 3/4 , 0.85] @ 1.25 No bet both fail , Mainz only 2/4 scored ,Ingolstadt ave under 1.00] 0-1 D DRESDEN [3.15 , 2/4 , 1.92] v MUNICH 1860 [3.08 , 1/4 , 1.54] @ 1.22 No bet both fail last 4 games scored in. 0-1 HEERENVEEN [3.92 , 3/4 , 2.30] v DEN HAAG [4.00 , 1/4 , 1.15] @ 1.08 No bet DEN HAAG only 1/4 scored DE GRAAFSCHAP [3.23 , 1/4 , 0.92] v FEYENOORD [3.23 , 4/4 , 1.77] @ 1.18 No bet DE GRAAFSCHAP only 1/4 scored AJAX [3.92 , 4/4 , 2.83] v PSV [3.23 , 4/4 , 1.77] @ 1.16 ALMERE [3.46 , 3/4 , 1.92] v FC OSS [3.71 , 4./4 , 1.36] @ 1.115 3-2 :loon VOLENDAM [3.92 , 3/4 , 2.23] v SPARTA [3.23 , 2/4 , 2/08] @ 1.175 No bet Sparta only scored in 2/4 1-0 ZWOLLE [3.62 , 3/4 , 2.61] v AGOVV [3.69 , 3/4 , 0.85] @ 1.11 [Over 2.0 goals] No bet Agovv ave under 1.00 3-0 :) HELMOND [3.31 , 4/4 , 1.69] v GO AHEAD [3.38 , 4/4 , 1.54] @ 1.175 5-1 :loon WILLEM [3.00 , 3/4 , 1.84] v DORDRECHT [3.08 , 3/4 , 0.77] @ 1.16 No bet Dordrecht ave under 1.00 1-1 Well there's more rejected by the rules than left to bet on so it'll have to be a 5-timer ALMERE ;)/ HELMOND ;)/ AJAX / CRAWLEY / CHELSEA which pays 2.33 on bet365

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's

BOLTON [3.21 ' date= 2/4 , 1.21] v BLACKBURN [3.79 , 3/4 , 1.43] No bet BOLTON only scored in 2/4 games 2-1 :) CHELSEA 3.57 , 3/4 , 2.21] v SPURS [3.07 , 3/4 , 1.57] @ 1.22 0-0 :@ CRAWLEY [3.22 , 4/4 , 2.16] v ROTHERHAM [3.32 , 3/4 , 1.63] @ 1.25 3-0 :loon MAINZ [3.23 , 4/4 , 1.23]v H BERLIN [3.08 , 1/4 , 1.00] @ 1.28 No bet BERLIN only scored 1/4 games 1-3 :) BOCHUM [3.00 , 2/4 , 1.46] v INGOLSTADT [3.08 , 3/4 , 0.85] @ 1.25 No bet both fail , Mainz only 2/4 scored ,Ingolstadt ave under 1.00] 0-1 :eyes D DRESDEN [3.15 , 2/4 , 1.92] v MUNICH 1860 [3.08 , 1/4 , 1.54] @ 1.22 No bet both fail last 4 games scored in. 0-1 :eyes HEERENVEEN [3.92 , 3/4 , 2.30] v DEN HAAG [4.00 , 1/4 , 1.15] @ 1.08 No bet DEN HAAG only 1/4 scored 4-1 :) DE GRAAFSCHAP [3.23 , 1/4 , 0.92] v FEYENOORD [3.23 , 4/4 , 1.77] @ 1.18 No bet DE GRAAFSCHAP only 1/4 scored 0-3 :) AJAX [3.92 , 4/4 , 2.83] v PSV [3.23 , 4/4 , 1.77] @ 1.16 2-0 :loon ALMERE [3.46 , 3/4 , 1.92] v FC OSS [3.71 , 4./4 , 1.36] @ 1.115 3-2 :loon VOLENDAM [3.92 , 3/4 , 2.23] v SPARTA [3.23 , 2/4 , 2/08] @ 1.175 No bet Sparta only scored in 2/4 1-0 :eyes ZWOLLE [3.62 , 3/4 , 2.61] v AGOVV [3.69 , 3/4 , 0.85] @ 1.11 [Over 2.0 goals] No bet Agovv ave under 1.00 3-0 :) HELMOND [3.31 , 4/4 , 1.69] v GO AHEAD [3.38 , 4/4 , 1.54] @ 1.175 5-1 :loon WILLEM [3.00 , 3/4 , 1.84] v DORDRECHT [3.08 , 3/4 , 0.77] @ 1.16 No bet Dordrecht ave under 1.00 1-1 :) Well there's more rejected by the rules than left to bet on so it'll have to be a 5-timer ALMERE ;)/ HELMOND ;)/ AJAX :D/ CRAWLEY :D/ CHELSEA :@ which pays 2.33 on bet365

Bloody Chelsea/Spurs the only game i the EPL to finish Under 1.5 !!! On the plus side following the rules helped us miss 3 Unders . Next week i'll simply post those games which will be bet on as it's quite time-consuming otherwise.

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Selections for this weekend are - CARLISLE [3.26 , 3/4 , 1.84] v HUDDERSFIELD [3.33 , 4/4 , 2.17] @ 1.25 BLACKBURN [3.27 , 4/4 , 1.46] v MAN UTD [3.07 , 4/4 , 2.27] @1.18 LEVERKUSEN [3.0 , 3/4 , 1.61] v FREIBURG [4.08 , 3/4 , 1.31] @ 1.2 DORTMUND [3.15 , 3/4 , 2.53] v STUTTGART [3.08 , 3/4 , 1.46] @ 1.14 GRONINGEN [3.31 , 3/4 , 2.0] v HEERENVEEN [3.62 , 3/4 , 2.08] @ 1.14 TWENTE [ 3.54 , 3/4 , 2.53] v RODA [4/08 , 4/4 , 1.15] @ 1.11 FC OSS [4.23 , 4/4 , 2.23] v WILLEM [3.36 , 3/4 , 1.86] @ No odds from 365 yet VOLENDAM [3.71 , 3/4 , 2.14] v ALMERE [3.36 , 3/4 , 1.36] @ No odds from 365 yet HORSENS [3.00 , 3/4 , 1.5] v AALBORG [3.09 , 3/4 , 3.09] @ 1.3

[lorro]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's A bit off-topic but I would like to know if you ever contemplated developing a similar system but in the opposite direction. I mean, for instance betting on the under 3.5goals market. Following the statistics of the same site (for instance a combination of criteria like including a season average below 2 goals per match or so)

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's

A bit off-topic but I would like to know if you ever contemplated developing a similar system but in the opposite direction. I mean, for instance betting on the under 3.5goals market. Following the statistics of the same site (for instance a combination of criteria like including a season average below 2 goals per match or so)

Looking into it Lorro ;)

[lorro]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's That's great to hear ;) Have been experimenting a little bit too, but I had the feeling it was more a mixture of basic stats and a gut feeling so very eager to know if you'll come up with some "reliable" filtering criteria ;) But I'm definitely convinced there is value to gain.

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's

Selections for this weekend are - CARLISLE [3.26 , 3/4 , 1.84] v HUDDERSFIELD [3.33 , 4/4 , 2.17] @ 1.25 2-1 BLACKBURN [3.27 , 4/4 , 1.46] v MAN UTD [3.07 , 4/4 , 2.27] @1.18 0-2 LEVERKUSEN [3.0 , 3/4 , 1.61] v FREIBURG [4.08 , 3/4 , 1.31] @ 1.2 0-2 DORTMUND [3.15 , 3/4 , 2.53] v STUTTGART [3.08 , 3/4 , 1.46] @ 1.14 4-4 GRONINGEN [3.31 , 3/4 , 2.0] v HEERENVEEN [3.62 , 3/4 , 2.08] @ 1.14 1-3 TWENTE [ 3.54 , 3/4 , 2.53] v RODA [4/08 , 4/4 , 1.15] @ 1.11 2-0 FC OSS [4.23 , 4/4 , 2.23] v WILLEM [3.36 , 3/4 , 1.86] 1-1 VOLENDAM [3.71 , 3/4 , 2.14] v ALMERE [3.36 , 3/4 , 1.36] 3-1 HORSENS [3.00 , 3/4 , 1.5] v AALBORG [3.09 , 3/4 , 3.09] @ 1.3 1-0 :@

Yet again one game lets the system down !! This weekend there is only 3 qualifying games - CHELSEA [3.33 , 3/4 , 2.06] v WIGAN [3.00 , 4/4 , 1.00] @ 1.16 MAN U [3.67 , 4/4 , 2.66] v QPR [3.00 , 4/4 , 1.07] @ 1.12 ALMERE [3.57 , 4/4 , 2.00] v GO AHEAD [3.57 , 4/4 , 1.5] @ 1.14 Thats spurred me on to take up Lorro's challenge about finding a way to incorporate the UNDER 3.5 goals market . Still using soccerstats.com i've changed the criteria from that which i've used in the Over 1.5 section . Here i'm looking at the Trends scetion of the leagues and concentrating those home sides who have a home average of 1.00 and UNDER who are playing against teams who have away averages of 1.07 and UNDER , the total number when added together has to be 2.0 or Under. The theory being simply teams who don't score many at home against teams who don't score many away from home ...simplesssss. Argentina - ARSENAL [1.00] v OLIMPO [0.50] Under 3.5 @ 1.25 Eng Champ - NOTTS FOREST [0.95] v BRISTOL CITY [0.70] @ 1.33 Eng L2 - HEREFORD [0.95] v PLYMOUTH [1.05] @ 1.22 France 2 - AMIENS [0.80] v METZ [0.53] @ 1.16 MONACO [1.00] v NANTES [0.80] @ 1.22 Serie A - CESENA [0.79] v BOLOGNA [1.07] @ 1.22 Mexico - PUEBLA [0.71] v TOLUCA [1.00] @ 1.3 PUMAS [0.67] v PACHUCA [1.00] @ 1.25 SAN LUIS [0.67] v JAGUARES [1.00] @ 1.275 Spain - GETAFE [1.07] v SP GIJON [0.93] @ 1.3 If nothing else the odds are better than the Over 1.5's !! So here we go , remember this has been untried and we're in at the deep end . For betting i would split the 10 into 2 groups with the lowest average aggregate in one group and the next 5 in the other so it's - Acca 1 - ARSENAL [Arg] / NOTTS F / AMIENS / PUMAS / SAN LUIS . Acca 2 - HEREFORD / MONACO / CESENA / PUEBLA / GETAFE.

[lorro]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's One remark: what's the reason behind the 1.07 for away teams compared to the 1.00 for home teams? :-)

[sward73]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Hi Mate, Are these odds from 365? Can't seem to get the U 3.5 on Mexican games. They have been very late in putting up over 1.5 on Dutch games in recent weeks also. Cheers S

[aderuk]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's

Hi Mate, Are these odds from 365? Can't seem to get the U 3.5 on Mexican games. They have been very late in putting up over 1.5 on Dutch games in recent weeks also. Cheers S

If you use the asian lines (goal line i think) on 365 you can get the odds

[aderuk]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Looking at todays results in England there could be some milage in the under 3.5 market.only 3 over out of 22 games I think.

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's

One remark: what's the reason behind the 1.07 for away teams compared to the 1.00 for home teams? :-)

I always have given priority to the home side stats when running a system , so i'm quite happy to allow a bit of leeway when it comes to the away teams average .

[lorro]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Allrighty :) System's going well this evening, let's hope it continues (have I jinxed it now? ^^).

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Just noticed my first mistake ...GETAFE are 1.07 and are at Home !!!!! :$

[lorro]

Worked out quite well though ;-) Sent from my Galaxy Nexus using PL Forum

[jtw1]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Argentina - ARSENAL [1.00] v OLIMPO [0.50] Under 3.5 @ 1.25 Eng Champ - NOTTS FOREST [0.95] v BRISTOL CITY [0.70] @ 1.33 Eng L2 - HEREFORD [0.95] v PLYMOUTH [1.05] @ 1.22 France 2 - AMIENS [0.80] v METZ [0.53] @ 1.16 MONACO [1.00] v NANTES [0.80] @ 1.22 Serie A - CESENA [0.79] v BOLOGNA [1.07] @ 1.22 Mexico - PUEBLA [0.71] v TOLUCA [1.00] @ 1.3 PUMAS [0.67] v PACHUCA [1.00] @ 1.25 SAN LUIS [0.67] v JAGUARES [1.00] @ 1.275 2-3 :eyes Spain - GETAFE [1.07] v SP GIJON [0.93] @ 1.3 If nothing else the odds are better than the Over 1.5's !! So here we go , remember this has been untried and we're in at the deep end . For betting i would split the 10 into 2 groups with the lowest average aggregate in one group and the next 5 in the other so it's - Acca 1 - ARSENAL [Arg] / NOTTS F / AMIENS / PUMAS :@/ SAN LUIS . -10pts Acca 2 - HEREFORD / MONACO / CESENA / PUEBLA / GETAFE. :nana returned 30.69pts Hard pressed for time [ and enthusiasim tbh] so here's the picks for this weekend - Arg - SAN LORENZO v GODOY @ 1.18 , ARGENTINO'S v BELGRANO @ 1.16 Austria - WIENER v KAPFENBERG @ 1.25 France 2 - LE MANS v AMIENS @ 1.18 , METZ v MONACO @ 1.2. Romania - CEAHLAUL PIATRA v BRASOV @ 1.2 , OTELUL GALATI v STEAUA @ 1.16 , SPORTUL v ASTRA @ 1.23 Bet 1 - WEINER / CEAHLAUL / SAN LORENZO / ARGENTINOS / LE MANS . Bet 2 - ALL 8

[Nervous Anorak]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's J, I think most of us whose watch the Argentinian Prem wouldn't recommend betting Over 1.5's on many, if any fixtures in that league ! There's been a drought of 0-0's in the Clausura so I feel a few must be lurking. Doubt it will be San Lorenzo as Godoy usually score or concede or both, but Arg Jrs v Belgrano looks a risky Over 1.5 to me. In fact those odds don't look right to me, they should be around 1.30 minimum for those two Arg games. Some of the other odds look way too low to actually do "real bets" on, I think around 1.28 is the minimum you should expect from an Over 1.5

[sward73]

Re: Over 1.5 Acca's Hi NA, Not sure if jtw1 is around but midway through the thread he started looking at the possibility of under 3.5 (your sort of bet!!!) accas! I think the above odds are for Under 3.5 Cheers S